Fourplex
632 Fillmore Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.9/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$299,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity in Buffalo! Thit 4-unit property offers immediate income with 2 units currently occupied, plus additional upside potential to boost cash flow. The building features a solid layout and is conveniently located near shopping, public transportation and local amenities. Ideal for investors looking to expand their portfolio. Showings require 24 hour notice.
Key facts
- Near shopping
- 4 unit property
- Solid layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $300k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $277/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $300k).
- Recommended offer: $291k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.84%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $170,882
- List price
- $299,999
- Delta
- 75.56%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.79×
- Total profit
- $234,074
- Equity at exit
- $270,263
- IRR
- 31.0%
- Equity multiple
- 8.55×
- Total profit
- $633,891
- Equity at exit
- $582,832
Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14212
- Home prices YoY
- 20.4%
- Active inventory
- 84
- Price-to-rent
- 24.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,028 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$375 /mo · $4,500/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$846
- Net cashflow
- $1,109
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,316 | -5% $1,213 | +0% $1,109 | +5% $1,005 | +10% $902 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $791 | -5% $950 | +0% $1,109 | +5% $1,268 | +10% $1,427 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,260 | -0.5pp $1,185 | base $1,109 | +0.5pp $1,031 | +1.0pp $952 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 3 | 1.5 | $4,028 |
| #1 | 3 | 1.5 | $1,007 |
| #2 | 3 | 1.5 | $1,007 |
| #3 | 3 | 1.5 | $1,007 |
| #4 | 3 | 1.5 | $1,007 |
| Total (4 units) | $4,028 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,000
- Closing costs
- $9,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $299,999 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $299,999 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $299,999 Active 55 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $299,999 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-15status Active 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
Great investment opportunity in Buffalo! Thit 4-unit property offers immediate income with 2 units currently occupied, plus additional upside potential to boost cash flow. The building features a solid layout and is conveniently located near shopping, public transportation and local amenities. Ideal for investors looking to expand their portfolio. Showings require 24 hour notice.
-
2026-04-06$299,999 Active 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
Great investment opportunity in Buffalo! Thit 4-unit property offers immediate income with 2 units currently occupied, plus additional upside potential to boost cash flow. The building features a solid layout and is conveniently located near shopping, public transportation and local amenities. Ideal for investors looking to expand their portfolio. Showings require 24 hour notice.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $48,336
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,805
- − Property taxes
- −$4,500
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,867
- − Management
- −$3,867
- − Depreciation
- −$8,727
- Taxable income
- $9,070
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,177
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,130/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 0 photos
This 4-unit multi-family property requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate Kitchen cabinets — Worn appearance and need for replacement or refinishing.
- Moderate Bathroom fixtures — Worn appearance and need for replacement or refinishing.
- Moderate Exterior siding — Signs of wear and potential damage, requiring repair or replacement.
- Moderate Flooring — Worn appearance and need for replacement or refinishing.
- Moderate Interior walls — Signs of discoloration and minor cracks, requiring repair or repainting.
- Moderate Windows — Signs of aging and potential drafts, requiring replacement or caulking.
- Moderate HVAC units — Signs of age and potential inefficiency, requiring maintenance or replacement.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and increase its value for both resale and rental.
- Both Replace worn flooring — New flooring can significantly improve the home's appearance and increase its value for both resale and rental.
- Both Replace worn kitchen cabinets — New cabinets can improve the home's appearance and functionality, increasing its value for both resale and rental.
- Both Replace worn bathroom fixtures — New fixtures can improve the home's appearance and functionality, increasing its value for both resale and rental.
- Both Replace worn windows — New windows can improve the home's energy efficiency and appearance, increasing its value for both resale and rental.
- Both Service HVAC units — Servicing HVAC units can improve their efficiency and lifespan, increasing the home's value for both resale and rental.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Worn appearance and need for replacement or refinishing. | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Worn appearance and need for replacement or refinishing. | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Exterior siding · Signs of wear and potential damage, requiring repair or replacement. | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Flooring · Worn appearance and need for replacement or refinishing. | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Interior walls · Signs of discoloration and minor cracks, requiring repair or repainting. | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Windows · Signs of aging and potential drafts, requiring replacement or caulking. | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| HVAC units · Signs of age and potential inefficiency, requiring maintenance or replacement. | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 7 items | $21,000–105,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and increase its value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Replace worn flooring — New flooring can significantly improve the home's appearance and increase its value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Replace worn kitchen cabinets — New cabinets can improve the home's appearance and functionality, increasing its value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Replace worn bathroom fixtures — New fixtures can improve the home's appearance and functionality, increasing its value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Replace worn windows — New windows can improve the home's energy efficiency and appearance, increasing its value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Service HVAC units — Servicing HVAC units can improve their efficiency and lifespan, increasing the home's value for both resale and rental. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- City population
- 440,021
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,603
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 32% Black 27% Asian 25% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Philippines, Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Other Indo-European 18% Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 79.80%
- Current HPI
- 471.6399
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-06 Listed $299,999 WNYREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…