419 Mower St · Duenweg, MO 64801

$69,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 768 sqft · Other public records · 12 Days on market

Built 1960 8,451 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Rent growth +3.2/5.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Schools +2.9/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Investors and Flippers Delight!!!! Utility Room and Bonus Room is not included in the square footage. Home is in a great area and has so much potential!

Key facts

• 8,451 sq ft lot
• Built 1960
• Listed 12 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Lot dimensions approximately 65 x 130 (0.194 acres)

Exterior

• Parking: No designated parking
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-family residence; One level
• Construction: Block foundation
• Exterior features: Roof: Other; Property has a view; Asphalt road frontage on a city street; Publicly maintained road

Interior

• Kitchen: No appliances listed
• Flooring: Flooring details listed in remarks
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Other interior features (see remarks)
• Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances listed

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $69k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $527 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#377 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Joplin Schools (urban): math 30% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #231 of 324 in MO (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Soaring Heights Elem. (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #941 of 1,115 statewide, top 86%, 407 students, 56% FRL); East Middle (math 22% / reading 40%, grade F, #279 of 391 statewide, top 72%, 597 students, 66% FRL); Joplin High (math 32% / reading 46%, grade F, #287 of 521 statewide, top 55%, 2,233 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 377 active listings in the ZIP; 602 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $69,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.77% ✓
• Cap rate: 15.45%
• Cash-on-cash: 32.71%
• DSCR: 2.46
• GRM: 4.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 27.8%
• Equity multiple: 2.15×
• Total profit: $22,298
• Equity at exit: $10,288

10-year hold

• IRR: 35.2%
• Equity multiple: 4.23×
• Total profit: $62,336
• Equity at exit: $5,966

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 64801

• Rents YoY: 3.0%
• Active inventory: 377
• Price-to-rent: 4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,220 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$362
• Tax from tax record: −$46 /mo · $556/yr
• Insurance: −$29
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$256
• Net cashflow: $527

Break-even live

Break-even rent $553

Max offer price $69,000

Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $566	-5% $546	+0% $527	+5% $507	+10% $488
Rent	-10% $430	-5% $479	+0% $527	+5% $575	+10% $623
Rate	-1.0pp $561	-0.5pp $544	base $527	+0.5pp $509	+1.0pp $491

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $17,250
• Closing costs: $2,070
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-05-11
   status Pending
2. 2026-05-07
   historical Active Under Contract
3. 2026-04-29
   listed $69,000 Active
4. 1995-11-13
   soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $556 · $46/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $669 · $56/mo
• Expected delta: +$113/yr (+$9/mo · 20.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,638
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,865
• − Property taxes: −$556
• − Insurance: −$345
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,171
• − Management: −$1,171
• − Depreciation: −$2,007
• Taxable income: $5,522
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,325
• After-tax cash flow: $4,995/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Joplin Schools
• NCES district ID: 2916350
• Math proficiency: 30% ▼ -3.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $38,648
• Composite: 28.82/100
• National rank: #6657
• State rank: #231 of 324 in MO

Livability — Duenweg

• Score: 62/100
• State rank: #377
• US rank: #16618

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Duenweg, MO
• County: Jasper County · 79,035 people
• City population: 73,303
• Metro: Joplin, MO
• Population (ZIP): 36,287
• Household income: $52,620
• Rent vs Own: 46.7% rent · 53.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 1710.0

Population outlook (Jasper County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 120,033 people
• By 2030: 120,091 · +0.0%
• By 2040: 119,297 · -0.6%
• By 2050: 117,705 · -1.9%
• By 2075: 110,402 · -8.0%
• By 2100: 99,719 · -16.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (82%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 82% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Asian 2% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jasper

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+46.8) · D 25.9% · R 72.7% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -13.6pp toward R · 2008: -33.2pp · 2024: -46.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+46.8 2020: R+46.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+33.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -174.15%
• Current HPI: 248.5056
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.95%
• Metro: Joplin, MO
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-11 Pending — SOMO
• 2026-05-07 Contingent — SOMO
• 2026-04-29 Listed $69,000 SOMO
• 1995-11-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $556 · +20.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.