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209 New St
D Composite 44.26
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.4/15.0
  • Schools +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.5/5.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$405,000

209 New St · Exton, PA 19341
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1956 10,260 sqft lot $384/sqft · 16% above area Est $413k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this charming and well-maintained home in the heart of Exton! Offering 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, this property combines comfort, thoughtful updates, and inviting living spaces both inside and out. The home features a cozy gas fireplace that was installed just 3 years ago, creating the perfect space to relax and unwind. Major updates include a roof that is only 2 years old and windows replaced approximately 5 years ago, providing added peace of mind for the next owner. One of the standout features of this home is the spacious four-season room complete with heat and air conditioning, allowing you to enjoy the space comfortably year-round. The unfinished basement offers excell

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership

Exterior

  • Parking: Front-entry attached garage (1-car); Driveway parking for 2 cars; On-street parking; Total of 3 garage/parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (cooling and hot water); Oil-fired heating
  • Home design: Detached property; Architectural shingle roof; Frame construction with aluminum siding; Block foundation; Year built (assessor source)
  • Construction: Frame and aluminum siding construction; Block foundation; Architectural shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Awning(s); Patio(s); Gazebo; Personal (private) pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Commercial range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate plank
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (oil); Central air conditioning; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Attic; Dining area; Traditional floor plan; Screened porch; Full unfinished basement; One fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer (laundry located in basement)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $405k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-48 ($-579/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $396k (2.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $323k (20.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $323k (20.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.1% in Exton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 89/100 on livability (#22 in PA, #136 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
  • West Chester Area SD (suburban): math 56% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #34 of 539 in PA (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Exton El Sch (math 56% / reading 73%, grade B, #249 of 1,518 statewide, top 19%, 442 students, 16% FRL); J R Fugett Ms (math 40% / reading 75%, grade B, #61 of 512 statewide, top 13%, 908 students, 23% FRL); West Chester East Hs (math 86%, 1,251 students, 20% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 47 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,513 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($122k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chester County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $322,986 (20.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.15%
Cash-on-cash
-0.51%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$413,385
List price
$405,000
Delta
-2.03%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
222 New St 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,200 (+14%) 11mo $363,210 $303 60
218 N Laurel Ln 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,207 (+14%) 22mo $419,500 $348 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.6%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-63,791
Equity at exit
$60,387
10-year hold
IRR
-4.9%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-38,723
Equity at exit
$35,017

Cash invested: $113,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 19341

Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,230 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,124
Tax from tax record
$307 /mo · $3,686/yr
Insurance
$169
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$678
Net cashflow
$-48

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,291
Max offer price $396,483
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $181 -5% $66 +0% $-48 +5% $-163 +10% $-277
Rent -10% $-303 -5% $-176 +0% $-48 +5% $79 +10% $207
Rate -1.0pp $156 -0.5pp $55 base $-48 +0.5pp $-153 +1.0pp $-260

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$101,250
Closing costs
$12,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
109 Commerce Dr Exton, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1120 $3,798 $3.39 0d 16 0.48mi
181 N Pottstown Pike Exton, PA 2.0 1.0–2.0 886 $2,844 $3.21 0d 22 0.51mi
350 Waterloo Blvd Exton, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1113 $4,814 $4.33 0d 16 0.80mi
365 Waterloo Blvd Exton, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 987 $2,612 $2.65 0d 15 0.87mi
779 Reading Ct #40 West Chester, PA 2.0 2.0 1112 $2,300 $2.07 45d 1 0.88mi
320 Henley Dr Franklin Center, PA 2.0–3.0 2.5 1883 $4,496 $2.39 0d 8 1.16mi
279 Lindenwood Dr Exton, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1169 $3,200 $2.74 5d 17 1.33mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-17
    status Pending 1099-char remark
  2. 2026-05-15
    listed $405,000 Active 1099-char remark
  3. 2026-05-13
    historical $405,000 1099-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,686 · $307/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,043 · $420/mo
Expected delta
+$1,356/yr (+$113/mo · 36.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,758
− Mortgage interest
−$22,686
− Property taxes
−$3,686
− Insurance
−$2,025
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,101
− Management
−$3,101
− Depreciation
−$11,782
Taxable loss
−$7,622
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,829
After-tax cash flow
$1,251/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Chester Area SD
NCES district ID
4225290
Math proficiency
56% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
74% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$87,125
Composite
58.7/100
National rank
#980
State rank
#34 of 539 in PA

Livability — Exton

Score
89/100
State rank
#22
US rank
#136

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Exton, PA
County
Chester County · 432,350 people
City population
21,709
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
21,709
Household income
$121,680
Rent vs Own
51.0% rent · 49.0% own
Severe rent burden
658.0

Population outlook (Chester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
546,756 people
By 2030
559,441 · +2.3%
By 2040
576,377 · +5.4%
By 2050
580,602 · +6.2%
By 2075
581,575 · +6.4%
By 2100
540,922 · -1.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Asian 13% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% German 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
14% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
84% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Chinese 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Chester

2024 margin
D (+14.5) · D 56.7% · R 42.2% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: 14.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.5 2020: D+17.0 2016: D+9.2 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -237.85%
Current HPI
291.7761
Rent YoY
▲ 4.51%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $405,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-13 Coming Soon $405,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,686 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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