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11322 Murr Way 🏷️ Likely Rental
C Composite 57.08
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$200,000

11322 Murr Way · Houston, TX 77048
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,092 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1963 5,614 sqft lot Est $318k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

The home is tenant occupied and perfect for an investor looking for tenant-occupied properties. 11322 Murr Way, Houston, TX 77048 is a prime investment opportunity for savvy investors seeking immediate cash flow in a growing Houston market. This property is already tenant-occupied, offering built-in rental income from day one with no vacancy downtime. Located in an established community with convenient access to major highways, Downtown Houston, and the Texas Medical Center, the area continues to show strong rental demand and long-term appreciation potential. Whether you’re looking to expand your rental portfolio or secure a performing asset in a high-demand location, this property de

Key facts

  • Strong rental demand
  • Tenant occupied
  • High demand location

Tags

TENANT OCCUPIEDBUILT IN RENTAL INCOMESTRONG RENTAL DEMANDHIGH DEMAND LOCATIONINCOME PRODUCING POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Single-story entry (all main rooms listed on the first floor)
  • Construction: Built in 1963; Unknown construction materials; Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Located in a subdivision

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Seven bedrooms on the first floor (each approximately 11x11); Primary bedroom on the first floor (approximately 13x11)
  • Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric and gas); Central air conditioning (electric and gas)
  • Interior features: 8 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $200,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$317,984) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $61 ($732/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (4.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $191k (4.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Woodson School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 572 students, 99% FRL); Thomas Middle (math 3% / reading 13%, grade F, #1,654 of 1,662 statewide, top 100%, 526 students, 98% FRL); Sterling H S (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 1,421 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 71% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 303 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 1.2% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask is 6% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $191,349 (4.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
6.66%
Cash-on-cash
1.31%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$317,984
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11719 Greenshire Dr 0.31mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,100 (+0%) 6mo $295,000 $140 72
11810 Mosscrest Dr 0.34mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,903 (-9%) 0mo $202,000 $106 64
5327 Cj Walker Ln 0.72mi 4/2.5 2,088 (-0%) 2mo $317,500 $152 63
5102 Park Village Dr 0.58mi 4/2.0 1,904 (-9%) 1mo $300,000 $158 57
5218 Greylog 0.42mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,844 (-12%) 3mo $204,500 $111 53
11810 Hunkler Dr 0.63mi 4/2.5 1,932 (-8%) 7mo $199,000 $103 50
12004 Matthew Gaines Dr 0.68mi 4/3.0 1,997 (-4%) 11mo $332,889 $167 48
5318 Cj Walker Ln 0.72mi 4/3.0 1,997 (-4%) 11mo $338,134 $169 46
5332 Cj Walker Ln 0.75mi 4/2.5 1,857 (-11%) 10mo $330,428 $178 36
4710 Paradise Ln 0.67mi 5/3.0 (+1) 1,847 (-12%) 6mo $215,000 $116 36
5311 Basquiat Dr 0.73mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,788 (-14%) 4mo $299,983 $168 31
11807 Martin Luther King 0.73mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,802 (-14%) 8mo $160,000 $89 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.61% appreciation · 1.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.6%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$20,512
Equity at exit
$85,589
10-year hold
IRR
8.7%
Equity multiple
2.22×
Total profit
$68,472
Equity at exit
$128,623

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77048

Home prices YoY
1.0%
Rents YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
303
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,913 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$318 /mo · $3,822/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$402
Net cashflow
$61

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,836
Max offer price $200,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $174 -5% $118 +0% $61 +5% $4 +10% $-52
Rent -10% $-90 -5% $-15 +0% $61 +5% $137 +10% $212
Rate -1.0pp $162 -0.5pp $112 base $61 +0.5pp $9 +1.0pp $-44

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4510 Bungalow Ln Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 2100 $1,995 $0.95 44d 1 0.54mi
12207 Duane Ct Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1548 $1,646 $1.06 0d 1 0.70mi
12210 Roandale Dr Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1738 $1,775 $1.02 44d 1 0.79mi
12227 Cape Hyannis Dr Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1432 $1,705 $1.19 14d 1 0.81mi
11819 Leitrim Way Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1476 $1,150 $0.78 6d 1 0.84mi
5458 Osprey Dr Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1614 $1,595 $0.99 21d 1 0.85mi
5408 Groveton St Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1472 $1,983 $1.35 0d 1 0.86mi
5726 Waterford Dr Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 2000 $1,850 $0.93 11d 1 1.06mi
4921a Pederson St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1765 $2,150 $1.22 13d 1 1.14mi
5012 Higgins St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1611 $1,650 $1.02 25d 1 1.18mi
9509 Merle St Unit 9509A Houston, TX 4.0 2.5 1404 $1,500 $1.07 44d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 34 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $200,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $200,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $200,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $200,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $200,000 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $200,000 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $200,000 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $200,000 Active 24 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $200,000 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $200,000 Active 18 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $200,000 Active 17 DOM
  12. 2026-05-16
    price $200,000 842-char remark
  13. 2026-05-14
    listed $189,000 Active 842-char remark
  14. 2026-05-14
    historical
  15. 2026-05-09
    status Active
  16. 2026-05-06
    status Pending
  17. 2026-04-30
    status Pending
  18. 2026-03-07
    historical $707
  19. 2026-03-03
    listed $189,000 Active
  20. 2026-03-03
    historical
  21. 2026-03-01
    listed $707
  22. 2026-02-16
    listed $189,000 Active
  23. 2025-07-19
    historical $600
  24. 2025-07-17
    price $600
  25. 2025-07-13
    listed $578
  26. 2017-09-13
    soldstatus
  27. 2017-09-11
    soldstatus Sold
  28. 2017-08-07
    status Pending
  29. 2017-08-03
    price $37,500
  30. 2017-08-03
    status Active
  31. 2016-12-16
    historical
  32. 2016-12-05
    price $60,000
  33. 2016-11-22
    listed $70,000 Active
  34. 1988-01-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,822 · $318/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,822 · $318/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,962
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$3,822
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,837
− Management
−$1,837
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable loss
−$2,555
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$613
After-tax cash flow
$1,346/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
21,151
Household income
$56,747
Rent vs Own
41.4% rent · 58.6% own
Severe rent burden
1117.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 6% Asian 3% White 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 20% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.61%
Current HPI
266.4468
Rent YoY
▲ 1.17%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+185.7% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Price Changed $200,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $189,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-05-09 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-03-07 Rental Removed $707 ZUMPER1
  • 2026-03-03 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $189,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-01 Listed for Rent $707 ZUMPER1
  • 2026-02-16 Listed $189,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-07-19 Rental Removed $600 ZUMPER1
  • 2025-07-17 Price Changed $600 ZUMPER1
  • 2025-07-13 Listed for Rent $578 ZUMPER1
  • 2017-09-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-09-11 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2017-08-07 Pending HARMLS
  • 2017-08-03 Price Changed $37,500 HARMLS
  • 2017-08-03 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2016-12-16 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2016-12-05 Price Changed $60,000 HARMLS
  • 2016-11-22 Listed $70,000 HARMLS
  • 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,822 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…