38059 Quail Rd Lot 136 · Ocean View, DE
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.54%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to your perfect coastal retreat! Ideally located just steps from the community marina, this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath furnished home offers beautiful marina views and an unbeatable location near the sandy shores of Bethany Beach, Delaware. Inside, you'll find a bright and inviting living space featuring an updated kitchen with attractive cabinetry, a gas range, and ample storage. The updated bathroom cabinetry adds a fresh, modern touch, while the fully furnished interior makes this home truly move-in ready. Relax and unwind on the spacious screened porch, the perfect place to enjoy morning coffee, evening breezes, and peaceful marina views. A newer storage shed provides plenty of
Key facts
- 57.36 acre lot
- 4 parking spots
- Built 1973
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual ground rent listed as an income/expense item
- HOA & community: Land lease in place (monthly land lease); Monthly land lease payment of $511; Ground rent exists with 1 year remaining
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking for four vehicles (total 4 spaces)
- Utilities: Public sewer; Community water; Electric hot water; Propane heating (leased); Electric cooling
- Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; Modular/Manufactured construction; Average condition; Outside city limits; Bayside location in Bayshore Mobile Home Park
- Construction: Manufactured structure; Modular/Manufactured construction; Other structures above and below grade
- Exterior features: Outbuilding(s); Shed; Water view
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen open to dining area
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: 90% forced air heating; Propane (leased) heating fuel; Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Breakfast area; Carpet flooring in living spaces; Ceiling fans; Combination kitchen and dining area
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $893 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 1.9% in Ocean View — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#27 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Indian River School District (rural): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #14 of 26 in DE (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 235 active listings in the ZIP; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.58%
- DSCR
- 2.89
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $53,436
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38063 Dove Rd #1542 | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 720 (-2%) | 20mo | $52,500 | $73 | 77 |
| 38015 Dove Rd #13051 | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (+15%) | 14mo | $54,000 | $64 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.68×
- Total profit
- $42,353
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 45.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.38×
- Total profit
- $110,255
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19970
- Home prices YoY
- -18.6%
- Active inventory
- 235
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,917 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$403
- Net cashflow
- $893
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $955 | -5% $924 | +0% $893 | +5% $862 | +10% $831 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $742 | -5% $818 | +0% $893 | +5% $969 | +10% $1,045 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $939 | -0.5pp $916 | base $893 | +0.5pp $870 | +1.0pp $846 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $89,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-02$89,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 54% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,006
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,348
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,840
- − Management
- −$1,840
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $9,876
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,370
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,349/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This move-in ready home offers a good condition with updated kitchen and bathroom, and is located just steps from the community marina. Simple exterior and interior updates can significantly enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value.
- Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and rental value.
- Both Updating the flooring — Enhances the overall aesthetic and value.
- Both Reorganizing the furniture on the porch — Creates a more inviting and functional space for potential buyers or renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value. ↑
- Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and rental value. ↑
- Both Updating the flooring — Enhances the overall aesthetic and value. ↑
- Both Reorganizing the furniture on the porch — Creates a more inviting and functional space for potential buyers or renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000680
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,838
- Composite
- 28.99/100
- National rank
- #6620
- State rank
- #14 of 26 in DE
Livability — Ocean View
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #27
- US rank
- #8560
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,265
Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,853 people
- By 2030
- 264,464 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 290,980 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 311,259 · +25.1%
- By 2075
- 352,488 · +41.6%
- By 2100
- 367,406 · +47.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Serbian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sussex
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.41%
- Current HPI
- 286.3503
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Coming Soon $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…