330 Mission Trl N · Venice Gardens, FL 34285

$189,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,064 sqft · Other · 26 Days on market

Built 1996 Good condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +21.3/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.8/10.0
• 1% rule +5.6/10.0
• Schools +5.4/10.0
• Rent growth +4.7/5.0
• Condition / age +3.8/5.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Nice condo community, very reasonable hoa & acirc; & euro; & trade; s clean move in ready. Nice lake view from back lanai with painted sky ceiling and fountain Newer paint, electric, water heater, most flooring and AC unit is 2023

Key facts

• Newer electric
• Fountain
• Lake view

Tags

• LAKE VIEW
• BACK LANAI
• FOUNTAIN
• NEWER PAINT
• NEWER ELECTRIC
• NEWER WATER HEATER

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $189k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $189k).
• Recommended offer: $186k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#537 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.8%/yr); 468 active listings in the ZIP; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($186k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $186,165 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.06% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.06%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.31%
• DSCR: 1.28
• GRM: 7.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -1.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.96×
• Total profit: $-2,273
• Equity at exit: $28,181

10-year hold

• IRR: 13.3%
• Equity multiple: 2.31×
• Total profit: $69,207
• Equity at exit: $16,341

Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34285

• Rents YoY: 8.8%
• Active inventory: 468
• Price-to-rent: 7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,006 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$991
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$236 /mo · $2,835/yr
• Insurance: −$79
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$421
• Net cashflow: $278

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,653

Max offer price $189,000

Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $409	-5% $344	+0% $278	+5% $213	+10% $148
Rent	-10% $120	-5% $199	+0% $278	+5% $358	+10% $437
Rate	-1.0pp $373	-0.5pp $326	base $278	+0.5pp $229	+1.0pp $179

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $47,250
• Closing costs: $5,670
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 15 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $189,000 Active 26 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $189,000 Active 23 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $189,000 Active 22 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $189,000 Active 20 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $189,000 Active 18 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $189,000 Active 17 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $189,000 Active 15 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $189,000 Active 14 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $189,000 Active 12 DOM
10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $189,000 Active 9 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $189,000 Active 8 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,000 Active 7 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,000 Active 6 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,000 Active 5 DOM
15. 2026-05-26
    listed $189,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,067
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,587
• − Property taxes: −$2,835
• − Insurance: −$945
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,925
• − Management: −$1,925
• − Depreciation: −$5,498
• Taxable income: $351
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$84
• After-tax cash flow: $3,255/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in good condition with recent updates, but a fresh exterior paint job and some interior updates would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint the exterior and replace any missing or damaged siding — Enhances curb appeal and value for both resale and rental
• Resale Replace countertops with more durable materials — Improves the kitchen's aesthetic and functionality
• Resale Install new flooring in the bathrooms — Enhances the overall look and feel of the home

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Paint the exterior and replace any missing or damaged siding — Enhances curb appeal and value for both resale and rental ↑
• Resale Replace countertops with more durable materials — Improves the kitchen's aesthetic and functionality ↑
• Resale Install new flooring in the bathrooms — Enhances the overall look and feel of the home ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Sarasota
• NCES district ID: 1201680
• Math proficiency: 63% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 63% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $51,167
• Composite: 53.68/100
• National rank: #1428
• State rank: #7 of 73 in FL

Livability — Venice Gardens

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #537
• US rank: #10074

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Sarasota County · 448,376 people
• City population: 86,541
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• Population (ZIP): 18,677
• Household income: $68,301
• Rent vs Own: 20.3% rent · 79.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 747.0

Population outlook (Sarasota County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 452,380 people
• By 2030: 474,175 · +4.8%
• By 2040: 511,577 · +13.1%
• By 2050: 541,467 · +19.7%
• By 2075: 604,947 · +33.7%
• By 2100: 621,965 · +37.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (88%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 5% Lithuanian 5% Italian 3%
• Foreign-born: 11% · Canada
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Sarasota

• 2024 margin: R (+18.2) · D 40.5% · R 58.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -18.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: R+0.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -329.42%
• Current HPI: 264.6389
• Rent YoY: ▲ 8.78%
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-26 Listed $189,000 FSBO.com