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6816 Bales Ave
B- Composite 67.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.8/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0

$115,000

6816 Bales Ave · Kansas City, MO 64132
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 912 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1957 7,031 sqft lot Est $109k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Super cute recently updated ranch home in the Marlborough neighborhood! 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. FULL WALK-OUT BASEMENT! Great for storage and could be turned into finished living space! Quiet street. This would be great for a first-time buyer or investor!

Key facts

  • 7,031 sq ft lot
  • Built 1957
  • Listed 12 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Ranch floor plan
  • Construction: Shingle and wood siding; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Not located in a flood plain

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Full, walk-out basement with concrete finish

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $299 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • Kansas City 33 (urban): math 12% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #308 of 324 in MO (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $115,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.41%
Cash-on-cash
11.14%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$108,528
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4015 E 68th Ter 0.36mi 3/1.0 916 (+0%) 5mo $139,900 $153 78
3608 E 72nd St 0.45mi 3/1.0 959 (+5%) 3mo $74,900 $78 68
7040 Agnes Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 840 (-8%) 2mo $99,900 $119 66
7103 Agnes Ave 0.44mi 2/1.0 (-1) 854 (-6%) 0mo $65,000 $76 64
6815 S Benton Ave 0.35mi 2/1.0 (-1) 832 (-9%) 5mo $99,000 $119 60
3822 E 68th Ter 0.28mi 2/1.0 (-1) 799 (-12%) 2mo $110,000 $138 59
2230 E 67th Ter 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 897 (-2%) 1mo $99,900 $111 57
6656 Bales Ave 0.22mi 2/1.0 (-1) 780 (-14%) 5mo $79,000 $101 57
2407 E 69th Ter 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 875 (-4%) 2mo $105,000 $120 56
4211 E 67th Ter 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 800 (-12%) 0mo $140,000 $175 51
7409 Walrond Ave 0.73mi 4/1.0 (+1) 974 (+7%) 1mo $109,900 $113 48
6329 S Benton St 0.70mi 4/2.0 (+1) 832 (-9%) 3mo $119,900 $144 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 2.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.4%
Equity multiple
3.53×
Total profit
$81,615
Equity at exit
$103,601
10-year hold
IRR
28.0%
Equity multiple
8.00×
Total profit
$225,247
Equity at exit
$223,420

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64132

Home prices YoY
23.6%
Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,274 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$56 /mo · $674/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$267
Net cashflow
$299

Break-even live

Break-even rent $895
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $364 -5% $332 +0% $299 +5% $266 +10% $234
Rent -10% $198 -5% $249 +0% $299 +5% $349 +10% $400
Rate -1.0pp $357 -0.5pp $328 base $299 +0.5pp $269 +1.0pp $239

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 35 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6817 Cleveland Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 779 $1,100 $1.41 45d 1 0.19mi
6703 Walrond Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 912 $1,200 $1.32 3d 1 0.26mi
7115 Bales Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 865 $1,350 $1.56 17d 1 0.35mi
7127 Bales Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 900 $1,350 $1.50 25d 1 0.37mi
7036 Bellefontaine Ave Unit A Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 810 $1,200 $1.48 4d 1 0.39mi
6901 Jackson Ave Unit 6903 Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 22d 1 0.45mi
7022 S Benton Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,095 $1.00 16d 1 0.46mi
7133 Agnes Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,645 $1.50 25d 1 0.49mi
6941 Spruce Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 815 $950 $1.17 45d 1 0.54mi
2430 E 67th Ter Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 960 $1,195 $1.24 45d 1 0.65mi
2421 E 67th Ter Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 816 $1,125 $1.38 17d 1 0.65mi
2422 E 70th Ter Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 748 $1,356 $1.81 13d 1 0.65mi
7317 Agnes Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 767 $895 $1.17 25d 1 0.68mi
7426 Indiana Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 45d 1 0.75mi
7412 Bellefontaine Ave Unit A Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 780 $1,200 $1.54 4d 1 0.76mi
3106 E 75th St Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 985 $1,225 $1.24 22d 1 0.82mi
2120 E 68th Ter Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 930 $1,200 $1.29 25d 1 0.83mi
7411 Montgall Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 840 $1,200 $1.43 45d 1 0.87mi
3604 E 61st St Unit 3604 Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 875 $1,300 $1.49 45d 1 0.94mi
6029 Indiana Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 832 $1,150 $1.38 45d 1 0.98mi
1831 E 68th St Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1043 $1,250 $1.20 17d 1 0.99mi
1805 E 67th St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1064 $1,200 $1.13 17d 1 1.07mi
4250 E 60 Ter Unit 4250 Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 783 $895 $1.14 25d 1 1.15mi
7427 Arleta Blvd Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 805 $1,150 $1.43 45d 1 1.18mi
1435 E 66th Ter Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 988 $1,340 $1.36 13d 1 1.27mi
5752 College Ave Kansas City, MO 4.0 1.0 1120 $1,600 $1.43 18d 1 1.30mi
3615 E 58th St Unit 1 Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 936 $875 $0.93 45d 1 1.31mi
3617 E 58th St Unit 2 Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 936 $875 $0.93 45d 1 1.31mi
2512 E 59th St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $1,150 $1.53 45d 1 1.33mi
6653 Lydia Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 962 $1,500 $1.56 17d 1 1.34mi
6404 The Paseo Kansas City, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 942 $1,600 $1.70 4d 6 1.37mi
5709 Bales Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 782 $1,095 $1.40 25d 1 1.37mi
2205 E 59th St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 724 $1,025 $1.42 17d 1 1.41mi
3600 E 57th St Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1037 $1,250 $1.21 45d 1 1.41mi
1702 Bushman Dr Kansas City, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 895 $1,065 $1.19 45d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $115,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,000 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    remarks 436-char remark
  8. 2026-06-09
    listed $115,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$674 · $56/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,116 · $93/mo
Expected delta
+$441/yr (+$37/mo · 65.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,284
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$674
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,223
− Management
−$1,223
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$1,802
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$432
After-tax cash flow
$3,156/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kansas City 33
NCES district ID
2916400
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$35,227
Composite
14.8/100
National rank
#9387
State rank
#308 of 324 in MO

Livability — Kansas City

Score
78/100
State rank
#28
US rank
#2671

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kansas City, MO
County
Jackson County · 687,798 people
City population
439,467
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
Population (ZIP)
12,084
Household income
$45,622
Rent vs Own
51.2% rent · 48.8% own
Severe rent burden
679.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
719,589 people
By 2030
731,456 · +1.6%
By 2040
746,689 · +3.8%
By 2050
749,289 · +4.1%
By 2075
736,227 · +2.3%
By 2100
668,210 · -7.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 16% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Scotch-Irish 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 79.13%
Current HPI
414.4305
Rent YoY
▲ 2.98%
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2090.5% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $115,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-12 Rental Removed $1,275 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-10-20 Price Changed $1,275 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-09-14 Listed for Rent $1,350 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-08-22 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-28 Rental Removed $1,300 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-06-17 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-12 Listed $115,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-22 Price Changed $1,300 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-04-26 Listed for Rent $1,350 APPFOLIO
  • 2021-06-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-03-05 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-02-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-01-07 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-12-30 Price Changed $50,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-12-30 Listed $500,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-08-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2013-08-07 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-05-06 Listed $5,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-04-17 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-03-13 Listed $5,250 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $674 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…