6816 Bales Ave · Kansas City, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.4/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- ARV discount +4.8/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Super cute recently updated ranch home in the Marlborough neighborhood! 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. FULL WALK-OUT BASEMENT! Great for storage and could be turned into finished living space! Quiet street. This would be great for a first-time buyer or investor!
Key facts
- 7,031 sq ft lot
- Built 1957
- Listed 12 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Ranch floor plan
- Construction: Shingle and wood siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Not located in a flood plain
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Full, walk-out basement with concrete finish
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $299 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- Kansas City 33 (urban): math 12% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #308 of 324 in MO (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.14%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $108,528
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4015 E 68th Ter | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 916 (+0%) | 5mo | $139,900 | $153 | 78 |
| 3608 E 72nd St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 959 (+5%) | 3mo | $74,900 | $78 | 68 |
| 7040 Agnes Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 840 (-8%) | 2mo | $99,900 | $119 | 66 |
| 7103 Agnes Ave | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 854 (-6%) | 0mo | $65,000 | $76 | 64 |
| 6815 S Benton Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 832 (-9%) | 5mo | $99,000 | $119 | 60 |
| 3822 E 68th Ter | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 799 (-12%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $138 | 59 |
| 2230 E 67th Ter | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 897 (-2%) | 1mo | $99,900 | $111 | 57 |
| 6656 Bales Ave | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 780 (-14%) | 5mo | $79,000 | $101 | 57 |
| 2407 E 69th Ter | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 875 (-4%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $120 | 56 |
| 4211 E 67th Ter | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 800 (-12%) | 0mo | $140,000 | $175 | 51 |
| 7409 Walrond Ave | 0.73mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 974 (+7%) | 1mo | $109,900 | $113 | 48 |
| 6329 S Benton St | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 832 (-9%) | 3mo | $119,900 | $144 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 2.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.53×
- Total profit
- $81,615
- Equity at exit
- $103,601
- IRR
- 28.0%
- Equity multiple
- 8.00×
- Total profit
- $225,247
- Equity at exit
- $223,420
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64132
- Home prices YoY
- 23.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,274 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $674/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$267
- Net cashflow
- $299
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $364 | -5% $332 | +0% $299 | +5% $266 | +10% $234 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $198 | -5% $249 | +0% $299 | +5% $349 | +10% $400 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $357 | -0.5pp $328 | base $299 | +0.5pp $269 | +1.0pp $239 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6817 Cleveland Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 779 | $1,100 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 6703 Walrond Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,200 | $1.32 | 3d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 7115 Bales Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $1,350 | $1.56 | 17d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 7127 Bales Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 7036 Bellefontaine Ave Unit A Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,200 | $1.48 | 4d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 6901 Jackson Ave Unit 6903 Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 7022 S Benton Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,095 | $1.00 | 16d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 7133 Agnes Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,645 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 6941 Spruce Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $950 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2430 E 67th Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,195 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2421 E 67th Ter Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,125 | $1.38 | 17d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2422 E 70th Ter Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 748 | $1,356 | $1.81 | 13d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 7317 Agnes Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 767 | $895 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 7426 Indiana Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 7412 Bellefontaine Ave Unit A Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,200 | $1.54 | 4d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3106 E 75th St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 985 | $1,225 | $1.24 | 22d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2120 E 68th Ter Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,200 | $1.29 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 7411 Montgall Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,200 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3604 E 61st St Unit 3604 Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,300 | $1.49 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 6029 Indiana Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,150 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1831 E 68th St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1043 | $1,250 | $1.20 | 17d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1805 E 67th St Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,200 | $1.13 | 17d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4250 E 60 Ter Unit 4250 Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 783 | $895 | $1.14 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 7427 Arleta Blvd Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 805 | $1,150 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1435 E 66th Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,340 | $1.36 | 13d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 5752 College Ave Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,600 | $1.43 | 18d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3615 E 58th St Unit 1 Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $875 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3617 E 58th St Unit 2 Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $875 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2512 E 59th St Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,150 | $1.53 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 6653 Lydia Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 17d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 6404 The Paseo Kansas City, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 942 | $1,600 | $1.70 | 4d | 6 | 1.37mi |
| 5709 Bales Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 782 | $1,095 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2205 E 59th St Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 724 | $1,025 | $1.42 | 17d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3600 E 57th St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1037 | $1,250 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1702 Bushman Dr Kansas City, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 895 | $1,065 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $115,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 436-char remark
-
2026-06-09$115,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $674 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,116 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- +$441/yr (+$37/mo · 65.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,284
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$674
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,223
- − Management
- −$1,223
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $1,802
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$432
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,156/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kansas City 33
- NCES district ID
- 2916400
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,227
- Composite
- 14.8/100
- National rank
- #9387
- State rank
- #308 of 324 in MO
Livability — Kansas City
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #2671
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kansas City, MO
- County
- Jackson County · 687,798 people
- City population
- 439,467
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,084
- Household income
- $45,622
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 679.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 719,589 people
- By 2030
- 731,456 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 746,689 · +3.8%
- By 2050
- 749,289 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 736,227 · +2.3%
- By 2100
- 668,210 · -7.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 16% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Scotch-Irish 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 79.13%
- Current HPI
- 414.4305
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.98%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+2090.5% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $115,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-12 Rental Removed $1,275 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-10-20 Price Changed $1,275 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-09-14 Listed for Rent $1,350 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-08-22 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-28 Rental Removed $1,300 APPFOLIO
- 2024-06-17 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-12 Listed $115,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-22 Price Changed $1,300 APPFOLIO
- 2024-04-26 Listed for Rent $1,350 APPFOLIO
- 2021-06-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-03-05 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-02-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-01-07 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-12-30 Price Changed $50,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-12-30 Listed $500,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-08-07 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-05-06 Listed $5,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-04-17 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-03-13 Listed $5,250 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $674 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…