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2678 E 28th St Duplex
C- Composite 52.35
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.5/30.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$749,000

2678 E 28th St · New York, NY 11235
6 bd · 4.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 118 Days on market
Built 1905 2,400 sqft lot Est $933k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

OPPORTUNITY IS KNOCKING The Property is a Detached, Frame Home located in the prime area of Sheepshead Bay. This is a rare opportunity to get a 2 family home that has so much opportunity for an affordable price to make it your own. The Home consists of 2 kitchens, 2 living rooms 2 - 2 bedroom units with a full basement with a side entrance. Rear yard with a detached Garage. This one won't last!

Key facts

  • Side entrance
  • Detached frame home
  • 2 family home

Tags

DETACHED FRAME HOME2 FAMILY HOMEFULL BASEMENTSIDE ENTRANCEREAR YARDDETACHED GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $749k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $83/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $629k (16.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $629k (16.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Jhs 383 Philippa Schuyler (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 822 students, 85% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 524 active listings in the ZIP; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,294/mo this rent would consume 127% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 7823% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($682k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $629,400 (16.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.56%
Cash-on-cash
0.95%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$932,736
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3322 Shore Pkwy 0.63mi 5/2.5 (-1) 1,152 (-14%) 16mo $800,000 $694 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.7%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-97,733
Equity at exit
$111,678
10-year hold
IRR
-1.0%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-15,613
Equity at exit
$64,760

Cash invested: $209,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11235

Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
524
Price-to-rent
19.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,294 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,928
Tax from tax record
$566 /mo · $6,793/yr
Insurance
$312
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,322
Net cashflow
$166

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,084
Max offer price $749,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $590 -5% $378 +0% $166 +5% $-46 +10% $-258
Rent -10% $-331 -5% $-82 +0% $166 +5% $415 +10% $663
Rate -1.0pp $543 -0.5pp $357 base $166 +0.5pp $-28 +1.0pp $-225

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $6,294

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$187,250
Closing costs
$22,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-03-17
    status Pending
  2. 2025-11-19
    listed $749,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,793 · $566/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$9,726 · $810/mo
Expected delta
+$2,933/yr (+$244/mo · 43.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$75,528
− Mortgage interest
−$41,956
− Property taxes
−$6,793
− Insurance
−$3,745
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,042
− Management
−$6,042
− Depreciation
−$21,789
Taxable loss
−$10,839
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,601
After-tax cash flow
$4,596/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Kings County · 2,614,986 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
78,558
Household income
$59,661
Rent vs Own
65.2% rent · 34.8% own
Severe rent burden
7823.0

Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,847,441 people
By 2030
2,937,006 · +3.1%
By 2040
3,095,491 · +8.7%
By 2050
3,228,968 · +13.4%
By 2075
3,321,723 · +16.7%
By 2100
3,111,387 · +9.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Asian 15% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 15% Subsaharan African 12% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
63% · China, Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
24% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 48% Chinese 7% Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Kings

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
2008→2024 swing
-15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -181.73%
Current HPI
303.6714
Rent YoY
▲ 5.04%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-17 Pending BNYMLS
  • 2025-11-19 Listed $749,000 BNYMLS

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,793 · -2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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