🏷️ Likely Rental
201 Park St · Dunlap, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$9,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This property is an excellent investment opportunity for fix and flip, rental, or make it your own. Repairs are needed, but there is a ton of potential with this bargain. Call today- don't wait around!
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 24 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Wood siding construction; Above-grade finished area 1,332
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.17 acres (75 x 100)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Basement present
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $10k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $797 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $10k).
- Recommended offer: $10k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#246 in IA, #4,732 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Boyer Valley Community School District (rural): math 67% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #205 of 289 in IA (top 71%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 41 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $599 of equity ($68 loan paydown + $531 appreciation (5.4% local appreciation)).
- Harrison County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($10k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $8k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 11.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 102.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 345.01%
- DSCR
- 16.35
- GRM
- 0.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $134,532
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 Park St | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 1,332 (0%) | 3mo | $7,700 | $6 | 97 |
| 308 S Eleventh St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,333 (+0%) | 6mo | $135,000 | $101 | 66 |
| 1105 Clinton St | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 | 1,300 (-2%) | 13mo | $179,000 | $138 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 20.22×
- Total profit
- $53,267
- Equity at exit
- $5,828
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 43.24×
- Total profit
- $117,092
- Equity at exit
- $10,244
Cash invested: $2,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51529
- Home prices YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 0.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,104 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$52
- Tax from tax record
- −$19 /mo · $228/yr
- Insurance
- −$4
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$232
- Net cashflow
- $797
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $2,475
- Closing costs
- $297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $9,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $9,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $9,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $9,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $9,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $9,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $9,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $9,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $9,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $9,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $9,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $9,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $9,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $9,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $9,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-25$9,900 Active
-
2026-03-18soldstatus $7,700 Closed 201-char remark
Show marketing remark (201 chars)
This property is an excellent investment opportunity for fix and flip, rental, or make it your own. Repairs are needed, but there is a ton of potential with this bargain. Call today- don't wait around!
-
2026-03-05status Pending 201-char remark
Show marketing remark (201 chars)
This property is an excellent investment opportunity for fix and flip, rental, or make it your own. Repairs are needed, but there is a ton of potential with this bargain. Call today- don't wait around!
-
2026-02-11historical Active Under Contract 201-char remark
Show marketing remark (201 chars)
This property is an excellent investment opportunity for fix and flip, rental, or make it your own. Repairs are needed, but there is a ton of potential with this bargain. Call today- don't wait around!
-
2026-02-10$7,900 Active 201-char remark
Show marketing remark (201 chars)
This property is an excellent investment opportunity for fix and flip, rental, or make it your own. Repairs are needed, but there is a ton of potential with this bargain. Call today- don't wait around!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $228 · $19/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $228 · $19/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,246
- − Mortgage interest
- −$555
- − Property taxes
- −$228
- − Insurance
- −$50
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,060
- − Management
- −$1,060
- − Depreciation
- −$288
- Taxable income
- $10,006
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,402
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,162/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Boyer Valley Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1909570
- Math proficiency
- 67% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,628
- Composite
- 54.51/100
- National rank
- #1346
- State rank
- #205 of 289 in IA
Livability — Dunlap
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #246
- US rank
- #4732
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dunlap, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,026
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,193 people
- By 2030
- 12,519 · -5.1%
- By 2040
- 11,134 · -15.6%
- By 2050
- 9,749 · -26.1%
- By 2075
- 7,254 · -45.0%
- By 2100
- 5,298 · -59.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 1% Black 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Iranian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.8) · D 28.3% · R 70.1% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.2pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -41.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.8 2020: R+38.4 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+4.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.36%
- Current HPI
- 197.8202
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
+25.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Listed $9,900 IAR
- 2026-03-18 Sold (MLS) $7,700 IAR
- 2026-03-05 Pending — IAR
- 2026-02-11 Contingent — IAR
- 2026-02-10 Listed $7,900 IAR
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $228 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…