408 State St E · Detroit Lakes, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Plenty of potential in this well loved home. 2-bedrooms, 1-bathroom, ranch-rambler, with a beautiful backyard, shade trees, partially fenced in, with a storage shed.
Key facts
- Private backyard
- Storage shed
- Mature trees
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual property tax listed (see listing for details)
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; One level
- Construction: 836 sq ft above-grade living area; 836 sq ft foundation area
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.14 acres; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 119 x 50 x 121
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 29.1% vs local median 5.2% in Detroit Lakes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#78 in MN, #1,847 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Detroit Lakes Public School District (town): math 44% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #155 of 301 in MN (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 301 active listings in the ZIP; 156 units permitted in Becker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Becker County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $80k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 29.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 81.46%
- DSCR
- 4.62
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 81.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.75×
- Total profit
- $83,914
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 85.1%
- Equity multiple
- 9.83×
- Total profit
- $197,893
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56501
- Active inventory
- 301
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,601 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$81 /mo · $972/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$546
- Net cashflow
- $1,521
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,566 | -5% $1,543 | +0% $1,521 | +5% $1,498 | +10% $1,475 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,315 | -5% $1,418 | +0% $1,521 | +5% $1,623 | +10% $1,726 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,561 | -0.5pp $1,541 | base $1,521 | +0.5pp $1,500 | +1.0pp $1,479 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,999 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,999 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,999 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,999 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,999 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $79,999 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $89,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $94,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $94,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $94,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $94,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $94,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-14$99,900 Active 244-char remark
-
2021-07-26soldstatus $50,000 Sold 165-char remark
Show marketing remark (165 chars)
Plenty of potential in this well loved home. 2-bedrooms, 1-bathroom, ranch-rambler, with a beautiful backyard, shade trees, partially fenced in, with a storage shed.
-
2021-07-09status Pending 165-char remark
Show marketing remark (165 chars)
Plenty of potential in this well loved home. 2-bedrooms, 1-bathroom, ranch-rambler, with a beautiful backyard, shade trees, partially fenced in, with a storage shed.
-
2021-06-29$59,900 Active 165-char remark
Show marketing remark (165 chars)
Plenty of potential in this well loved home. 2-bedrooms, 1-bathroom, ranch-rambler, with a beautiful backyard, shade trees, partially fenced in, with a storage shed.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $972 · $81/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $972 · $81/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,207
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$972
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,497
- − Management
- −$2,497
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $18,034
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,328
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,919/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Lakes Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2710230
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,571
- Composite
- 40.33/100
- National rank
- #3746
- State rank
- #155 of 301 in MN
Livability — Detroit Lakes
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #1847
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit Lakes, MN
- City population
- 18,239
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,239
Population outlook (Becker County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,604 people
- By 2030
- 35,095 · +1.4%
- By 2040
- 35,691 · +3.1%
- By 2050
- 35,869 · +3.7%
- By 2075
- 36,103 · +4.3%
- By 2100
- 32,798 · -5.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 5% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 25% Scottish 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Becker
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.1) · D 32.7% · R 65.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.3pp toward R · 2008: -6.9pp · 2024: -33.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+30.1 2016: R+33.2 2012: R+14.6 2008: R+6.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -222.40%
- Current HPI
- 217.4973
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+33.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Price Changed $79,999 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-05 Price Changed $89,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $94,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-14 Listed $99,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-26 Sold (MLS) $50,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-09 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-29 Listed $59,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+9.7%/yrLatest (2025): $972 · -3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…