5707 East Ln · Wanakah, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This Sweet move-in ready Bungalow Ranch offers the opportunity to stop renting and start building equity! Featuring a spacious open floor plan, the bright living and dining areas flow together beautifully and are anchored by a stunning stone woodburning fireplace with airtight insert — creating the perfect cozy space to relax and entertain. This charming home includes two comfortable bedrooms, an updated kitchen remodeled in 2024, and a bathroom completed in 2021. Major updates have already been done for you, including newer appliances and mechanics, spray foam insulated attic (2024), furnace (2021), tear-off roof (2016), updated water lines, and sewer line replacement to the street i
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Newer appliances
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot is rectangular and residential, approx. 40 x 109; Full fencing around the lot
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Circuit breaker electrical service
- Home design: Single-story home; Resale property
- Construction: Composite siding; Spray foam insulation; Copper plumbing; Asphalt roof; Built (existing)
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Gravel driveway; Shed(s) / exterior storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range; Gas oven and gas range; Oven; Refrigerator; Solid surface counters; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Varied flooring types
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Window cooling units
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Combined living and dining area; Pull-down attic stairs; Solid surface counters; Programmable thermostat; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer on the main level; Tankless gas water heater; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $336 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.1% in Wanakah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#508 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Frontier Central School District (suburban): math 54% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #301 of 590 in NY (top 51%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $130k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.10%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $162,520
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5739 Dover Rd | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 704 (+4%) | 3mo | $168,500 | $239 | 74 |
| 2261 Oakley Pl | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 774 (+14%) | 21mo | $175,000 | $226 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $456
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $28,308
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14085
- Home prices YoY
- -18.0%
- Active inventory
- 49
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,672 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$249 /mo · $2,991/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$351
- Net cashflow
- $336
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending
-
2026-05-09$129,900 Active
-
2007-05-14soldstatus $60,000
-
2005-08-24soldstatus $53,000
-
1994-06-10soldstatus $56,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,991 · $249/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,991 · $249/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,066
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$2,991
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,605
- − Management
- −$1,605
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $2,160
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$518
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,519/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Frontier Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3611670
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,807
- Composite
- 47.36/100
- National rank
- #2291
- State rank
- #301 of 590 in NY
Livability — Wanakah
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #508
- US rank
- #8972
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,439
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 28% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.78%
- Current HPI
- 331.7429
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+132.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-05-09 Listed $129,900 WNYREIS
- 2007-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2005-08-24 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
- 1994-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,991 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…