781 Country Place Dr #1061 · Houston, TX
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.4/30.0
- ARV discount +13.8/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautifully remodeled first-floor condo in a prime location, offering 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. The kitchen features brand-new appliances, updated flooring, fresh paint, and modern light fixtures throughout, creating a move-in-ready space with stylish appeal. Enjoy the convenience of two reserved parking spots located directly in front of the unit, with gated access for added security. The front patio overlooks a large open green space—ideal for children to play or hosting family gatherings—while the back patio includes a locked storage closet housing the utility room. Located close to shopping centers, restaurants, and schools, this property combines comfort, convenience, and value. Don’t miss your chance to own this well-priced gem—schedule your showing today before it’s gone! Trash, water and outside maintenance is included with the HOA
Key facts
- Gated access
- Updated flooring
- Brand-new appliances
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $286 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 3.1% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Spring Branch ISD (urban): math 47% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #215 of 826 in TX (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 235 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $688 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $31k; list at $100k implies a 221% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 25% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.18%
- DSCR
- 1.68
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $115,587
- List price
- $99,500
- Delta
- -13.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-3,580
- Equity at exit
- $14,836
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-1,505
- Equity at exit
- $8,603
Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77079
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 235
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,090 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$522
- Tax from tax record
- −$210 /mo · $2,520/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$525
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$439
- Net cashflow
- $286
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $342 | -5% $314 | +0% $286 | +5% $258 | +10% $230 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $121 | -5% $204 | +0% $286 | +5% $369 | +10% $451 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $336 | -0.5pp $311 | base $286 | +0.5pp $260 | +1.0pp $234 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,875
- Closing costs
- $2,985
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 781 Country Place Dr Houston, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 2264 | $1,800 | $0.80 | 5d | 6 | 0.08mi |
| 681 Dairy Ashford Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1492 | $1,886 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 681 Dairy Ashford Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1492 | $1,886 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 14759 Perthshire Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1272 | $1,925 | $1.51 | 25d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 777 Bateswood Dr Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1488 | $1,459 | $0.98 | 6d | 4 | 0.55mi |
| 738 Bateswood Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1010 | $1,459 | $1.44 | 21d | 12 | 0.57mi |
| 14800 Memorial Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–3.0 | 1371 | $3,885 | $2.83 | 2d | 14 | 0.59mi |
| 14800 Memorial Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–3.0 | 1368 | $3,966 | $2.90 | 11d | 21 | 0.59mi |
| 14814 Perthshire Rd Houston, TX | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1381 | $1,748 | $1.26 | 2d | 81 | 0.63mi |
| 14806 Memorial Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1565 | $2,750 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 14553 Still Meadow Dr Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1264 | $1,900 | $1.50 | 19d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1305 Country Place Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1886 | $1,550 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 14855 Memorial Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1098 | $2,040 | $1.86 | 2d | 29 | 0.75mi |
| 1200 Dairy Ashford Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 974 | $1,851 | $1.90 | 0d | 31 | 0.88mi |
| 770 N Eldridge Pkwy Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1099 | $2,544 | $2.31 | 2d | 19 | 0.95mi |
| 1200 S Dairy Ashford Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1000 | $1,572 | $1.57 | 2d | 13 | 0.96mi |
| 12658 Briar Patch Rd Houston, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2405 | $2,500 | $1.04 | 8d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 632 N Eldridge Pkwy Unit 1258 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1305 | $1,685 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 632 N Eldridge Pkwy Unit 1442 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $2,002 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 776 N Eldridge Pkwy Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $1,909 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 15100 Turkey Creek Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1766 | $2,648 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 881 N Eldridge Pkwy Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1766 | $2,483 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 881 N Eldridge Pkwy Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1766 | $2,483 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 875 N Eldridge Pkwy Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1197 | $2,688 | $2.25 | 2d | 29 | 1.18mi |
| 12750 Briar Forest Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1081 | $1,900 | $1.76 | 4d | 9 | 1.31mi |
| 15206 Memorial Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1772 | $2,718 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 15206 Memorial Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1772 | $2,718 | $1.53 | 22d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 874 Yorkchester Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1282 | $1,620 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 611 N Dairy Ashford Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 879 | $2,056 | $2.34 | 2d | 19 | 1.38mi |
| 15200 Memorial Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1250 | $2,852 | $2.28 | 2d | 23 | 1.42mi |
| 777 S Mayde Creek Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1279 | $3,011 | $2.35 | 3d | 20 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $525 · $6,300/yr
- Likely covers
- watertrashsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,500 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,500 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,500 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,500 Active 61 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $99,500 Active 60 DOM
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2026-04-17price $99,500 897-char remark
Show marketing remark (897 chars)
Beautifully remodeled first-floor condo in a prime location, offering 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. The kitchen features brand-new appliances, updated flooring, fresh paint, and modern light fixtures throughout, creating a move-in-ready space with stylish appeal. Enjoy the convenience of two reserved parking spots located directly in front of the unit, with gated access for added security. The front patio overlooks a large open green space—ideal for children to play or hosting family gatherings—while the back patio includes a locked storage closet housing the utility room. Located close to shopping centers, restaurants, and schools, this property combines comfort, convenience, and value. Don’t miss your chance to own this well-priced gem—schedule your showing today before it’s gone! Trash, water and outside maintenance is included with the HOA
-
2026-04-01$105,000 Active 897-char remark
Show marketing remark (897 chars)
Beautifully remodeled first-floor condo in a prime location, offering 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. The kitchen features brand-new appliances, updated flooring, fresh paint, and modern light fixtures throughout, creating a move-in-ready space with stylish appeal. Enjoy the convenience of two reserved parking spots located directly in front of the unit, with gated access for added security. The front patio overlooks a large open green space—ideal for children to play or hosting family gatherings—while the back patio includes a locked storage closet housing the utility room. Located close to shopping centers, restaurants, and schools, this property combines comfort, convenience, and value. Don’t miss your chance to own this well-priced gem—schedule your showing today before it’s gone! Trash, water and outside maintenance is included with the HOA
-
2026-04-01historical
Show marketing remark (897 chars)
Beautifully remodeled first-floor condo in a prime location, offering 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. The kitchen features brand-new appliances, updated flooring, fresh paint, and modern light fixtures throughout, creating a move-in-ready space with stylish appeal. Enjoy the convenience of two reserved parking spots located directly in front of the unit, with gated access for added security. The front patio overlooks a large open green space—ideal for children to play or hosting family gatherings—while the back patio includes a locked storage closet housing the utility room. Located close to shopping centers, restaurants, and schools, this property combines comfort, convenience, and value. Don’t miss your chance to own this well-priced gem—schedule your showing today before it’s gone! Trash, water and outside maintenance is included with the HOA
-
2026-03-18price $109,000
-
2026-03-04status Active
-
2025-12-18status Pending
-
2025-12-12status Pending
-
2025-10-17historical
-
2025-10-17$119,900 Active
-
2025-10-16price $119,900
-
2025-10-02price $129,900
-
2025-09-17$144,900 Active
-
2014-12-18soldstatus
-
2006-11-22soldstatus
-
2000-10-09soldstatus
-
2000-10-09soldstatus
-
2000-10-01soldstatus $31,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,520 · $210/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,520 · $210/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,075
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,574
- − Property taxes
- −$2,520
- − Insurance
- −$1,295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,006
- − Management
- −$2,006
- − HOA
- −$6,300
- − Depreciation
- −$2,895
- Taxable income
- $2,480
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$595
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,838/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Spring Branch ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4841100
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,311
- Composite
- 40.88/100
- National rank
- #3624
- State rank
- #215 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,276
- Household income
- $101,995
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1811.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 15% Black 13% Asian 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 5% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -316.55%
- Current HPI
- 286.7958
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.80%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+221.0% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $99,500 HARMLS
- 2026-04-01 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $105,000 HARMLS
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $109,000 HARMLS
- 2026-03-04 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2025-12-18 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-12-12 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-10-17 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-10-17 Listed $119,900 HARMLS
- 2025-10-16 Price Changed $119,900 HARMLS
- 2025-10-02 Price Changed $129,900 HARMLS
- 2025-09-17 Listed $144,900 HARMLS
- 2014-12-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-11-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2000-10-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2000-10-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2000-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,520 · -7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…