911 Curtis St · Harlingen, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$57,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTOR ALERT! Don’t miss this great opportunity near downtown Harlingen. This property offers excellent potential for renovation or redevelopment in a convenient, centrally located area. Property is being sold AS IS.
Key facts
- 2,749 sq ft lot
- Built 1927
- Listed 106 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $57k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $231 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($820 rent vs $57k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 3.8% in Harlingen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#217 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, commute F.
- Harlingen CISD (urban): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #647 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 465 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $394 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.34%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $92,220
- List price
- $57,000
- Delta
- -38.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $5,856
- Equity at exit
- $8,499
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.61×
- Total profit
- $25,672
- Equity at exit
- $4,928
Cash invested: $15,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78550
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 465
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $820 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$299
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,135/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$172
- Net cashflow
- $231
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,250
- Closing costs
- $1,710
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204 S 7th St Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 713 | $725 | $1.02 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 917 N 1st St Unit 917 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $770 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $57,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $57,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $57,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $57,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $57,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $57,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $57,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $57,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $57,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $57,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $57,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $57,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $57,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $57,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-03-04$57,000 Active 224-char remark
Show marketing remark (224 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT! Don’t miss this great opportunity near downtown Harlingen. This property offers excellent potential for renovation or redevelopment in a convenient, centrally located area. Property is being sold AS IS.
-
2025-10-02$57,000 Active 218-char remark
Show marketing remark (218 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT! Don't miss this great opportunity near downtown Harlingen. This property offers excellent potential for renovation or redevelopment in a convenient, centrally located area. Property is being sold AS IS.
-
2025-08-01price $57,000
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2025-08-01price $57,000
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2025-05-24price $61,000
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2025-05-24price $61,000
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2025-02-13price $64,000
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2025-02-13price $64,000
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2024-12-07price $66,000
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2024-12-07price $66,000
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2024-11-01$69,000 Active
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2024-10-15soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,135 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,135 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,842
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,193
- − Property taxes
- −$1,135
- − Insurance
- −$285
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$787
- − Management
- −$787
- − Depreciation
- −$1,658
- Taxable income
- $1,996
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$479
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,289/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harlingen CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4822530
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,182
- Composite
- 24.94/100
- National rank
- #7566
- State rank
- #647 of 826 in TX
Livability — Harlingen
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #217
- US rank
- #5347
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harlingen, TX
- County
- Cameron County · 310,734 people
- City population
- 95,667
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,335
- Household income
- $49,007
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2251.0
Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 441,603 people
- By 2030
- 448,113 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 456,385 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 456,294 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 423,851 · -4.0%
- By 2100
- 342,787 · -22.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 83% Two or more races 29% White 14% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 76%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 51% English-only · Spanish 48%
Political lean MEDSL · Cameron
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.60%
- Current HPI
- 167.7038
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.45%
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-17.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-04 Listed $57,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-10-02 Listed $57,000 RGVMLS
- 2025-08-01 Price Changed $57,000 RGVMLS
- 2025-08-01 Price Changed $57,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-05-24 Price Changed $61,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-05-24 Price Changed $61,000 RGVMLS
- 2025-02-13 Price Changed $64,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-02-13 Price Changed $64,000 RGVMLS
- 2024-12-07 Price Changed $66,000 RGVMLS
- 2024-12-07 Price Changed $66,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2024-11-01 Listed $69,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2024-10-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+8.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,135 · +53.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…