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321 W South St
D Composite 43.11
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +9.2/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.3/15.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0

$112,000

321 W South St · Cambridge, IL 61238
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 770 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 151 Days on market
Built 1920 0.30 ac lot $145/sqft · 19% above area Est $114k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome Home to this wonderfully maintained ranch in beautiful Cambridge. Nestled on a quiet street, and not far from the center of town. Just a quick trip to Geneseo! This home boasts not one but two sheds for your tools and toys, a nice sized backyard with firepit. A deck just off the kitchen overlooking the yard would be perfect for relaxing and soaking up the sun, or for entertaining. Walk inside from the deck and you'll find the kitchen, well lit with natural light and complete with stainless steel appliances (including brand new fridge). Water filtration system is an added bonus. Washer and Dryer hookups on the main level! What a great home at a great price - come check it out before it's gone!

Key facts

  • Sliding glass doors
  • Ensuite full bath
  • Ranch style home

Tags

RANCH STYLE HOMEENSUITE FULL BATHMAIN LEVEL LAUNDRYPARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENTEGRESS WINDOWSLIDING GLASS DOORS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $112k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-96 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $95k (15.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (14.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $95k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#584 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Cambridge CUSD 227 (rural): math 28% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #215 of 620 in IL (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($774 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (8.3% local appreciation)).
  • Henry County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask is 13% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $94,997 (15.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
5.26%
Cash-on-cash
-3.68%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$113,952
List price
$112,000
Delta
-1.71%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
207 S Prospect St 0.32mi 2/1.0 720 (-6%) 23mo $93,500 $130 55
207 S Prospect St 0.32mi 2/1.0 720 (-6%) 23mo $93,500 $130 55
109 N Pleasant St 0.62mi 2/1.0 720 (-6%) 16mo $62,500 $87 47
109 N Pleasant St 0.62mi 2/1.0 720 (-6%) 16mo $62,500 $87 47
312 E Center St 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 864 (+12%) 11mo $140,000 $162 35
312 E Center St 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 864 (+12%) 11mo $140,000 $162 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.34% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
2.36×
Total profit
$42,516
Equity at exit
$87,693
10-year hold
IRR
17.0%
Equity multiple
5.09×
Total profit
$128,181
Equity at exit
$176,613

Cash invested: $31,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61238

Home prices YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
15
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$955 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$587
Tax from tax record
$217 /mo · $2,598/yr
Insurance
$47
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$200
Net cashflow
$-96

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,077
Max offer price $94,997
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,000
Closing costs
$3,360
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  2. 2026-05-07
    price $112,000
  3. 2026-05-04
    status Active
  4. 2026-04-26
    status Pending
  5. 2026-04-24
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  6. 2026-04-06
    price $114,900
  7. 2026-03-13
    price $117,500
  8. 2026-01-16
    status Active
  9. 2026-01-14
    historical
  10. 2026-01-08
    status Active
  11. 2026-01-06
    historical
  12. 2026-01-05
    historical
  13. 2025-12-06
    listed Active
  14. 2022-08-16
    soldstatus $99,000
  15. 2022-08-12
    soldstatus $99,000 709-char remark
    Show marketing remark (709 chars)

    Welcome Home to this wonderfully maintained ranch in beautiful Cambridge. Nestled on a quiet street, and not far from the center of town. Just a quick trip to Geneseo! This home boasts not one but two sheds for your tools and toys, a nice sized backyard with firepit. A deck just off the kitchen overlooking the yard would be perfect for relaxing and soaking up the sun, or for entertaining. Walk inside from the deck and you'll find the kitchen, well lit with natural light and complete with stainless steel appliances (including brand new fridge). Water filtration system is an added bonus. Washer and Dryer hookups on the main level! What a great home at a great price - come check it out before it's gone!

  16. 2022-08-12
    soldstatus $99,000 Closed 709-char remark
    Show marketing remark (709 chars)

    Welcome Home to this wonderfully maintained ranch in beautiful Cambridge. Nestled on a quiet street, and not far from the center of town. Just a quick trip to Geneseo! This home boasts not one but two sheds for your tools and toys, a nice sized backyard with firepit. A deck just off the kitchen overlooking the yard would be perfect for relaxing and soaking up the sun, or for entertaining. Walk inside from the deck and you'll find the kitchen, well lit with natural light and complete with stainless steel appliances (including brand new fridge). Water filtration system is an added bonus. Washer and Dryer hookups on the main level! What a great home at a great price - come check it out before it's gone!

  17. 2022-08-01
    status Pending 709-char remark
    Show marketing remark (709 chars)

    Welcome Home to this wonderfully maintained ranch in beautiful Cambridge. Nestled on a quiet street, and not far from the center of town. Just a quick trip to Geneseo! This home boasts not one but two sheds for your tools and toys, a nice sized backyard with firepit. A deck just off the kitchen overlooking the yard would be perfect for relaxing and soaking up the sun, or for entertaining. Walk inside from the deck and you'll find the kitchen, well lit with natural light and complete with stainless steel appliances (including brand new fridge). Water filtration system is an added bonus. Washer and Dryer hookups on the main level! What a great home at a great price - come check it out before it's gone!

  18. 2022-07-03
    historical Under Contract 709-char remark
    Show marketing remark (709 chars)

    Welcome Home to this wonderfully maintained ranch in beautiful Cambridge. Nestled on a quiet street, and not far from the center of town. Just a quick trip to Geneseo! This home boasts not one but two sheds for your tools and toys, a nice sized backyard with firepit. A deck just off the kitchen overlooking the yard would be perfect for relaxing and soaking up the sun, or for entertaining. Walk inside from the deck and you'll find the kitchen, well lit with natural light and complete with stainless steel appliances (including brand new fridge). Water filtration system is an added bonus. Washer and Dryer hookups on the main level! What a great home at a great price - come check it out before it's gone!

  19. 2022-07-01
    listed $99,000 709-char remark
    Show marketing remark (709 chars)

    Welcome Home to this wonderfully maintained ranch in beautiful Cambridge. Nestled on a quiet street, and not far from the center of town. Just a quick trip to Geneseo! This home boasts not one but two sheds for your tools and toys, a nice sized backyard with firepit. A deck just off the kitchen overlooking the yard would be perfect for relaxing and soaking up the sun, or for entertaining. Walk inside from the deck and you'll find the kitchen, well lit with natural light and complete with stainless steel appliances (including brand new fridge). Water filtration system is an added bonus. Washer and Dryer hookups on the main level! What a great home at a great price - come check it out before it's gone!

  20. 2022-07-01
    listed $99,000 Active 709-char remark
    Show marketing remark (709 chars)

    Welcome Home to this wonderfully maintained ranch in beautiful Cambridge. Nestled on a quiet street, and not far from the center of town. Just a quick trip to Geneseo! This home boasts not one but two sheds for your tools and toys, a nice sized backyard with firepit. A deck just off the kitchen overlooking the yard would be perfect for relaxing and soaking up the sun, or for entertaining. Walk inside from the deck and you'll find the kitchen, well lit with natural light and complete with stainless steel appliances (including brand new fridge). Water filtration system is an added bonus. Washer and Dryer hookups on the main level! What a great home at a great price - come check it out before it's gone!

  21. 2021-07-06
    soldstatus $93,500
  22. 2021-07-06
    soldstatus $93,500
  23. 2021-07-06
    soldstatus $93,500
  24. 2021-06-10
    listed $93,500
  25. 2021-06-10
    listed $93,500
  26. 2012-10-09
    soldstatus $70,000
  27. 2012-10-05
    soldstatus $70,000
  28. 2012-10-05
    soldstatus $70,000
  29. 2012-08-20
    listed $72,500
  30. 2012-08-20
    listed $72,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,598 · $217/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,598 · $217/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,457
− Mortgage interest
−$6,274
− Property taxes
−$2,598
− Insurance
−$560
− Repairs & maintenance
−$917
− Management
−$917
− Depreciation
−$3,258
Taxable loss
−$3,066
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$736
After-tax cash flow
$-419/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cambridge CUSD 227
NCES district ID
1708160
Math proficiency
28% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$55,653
Composite
28.79/100
National rank
#6663
State rank
#215 of 620 in IL

Livability — Cambridge

Score
66/100
State rank
#584
US rank
#12167

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cambridge, IL
Population (ZIP)
2,705

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
47,376 people
By 2030
45,920 · -3.1%
By 2040
42,829 · -9.6%
By 2050
39,606 · -16.4%
By 2075
31,848 · -32.8%
By 2100
23,503 · -50.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Black 2%
Common ancestry
English 6% Scottish 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.5) · D 36.8% · R 61.3% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-32.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.7pp · 2024: -24.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.5 2020: R+21.4 2016: R+21.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+7.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.34%
Current HPI
276.25
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+54.5% since first listed
30 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $112,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-04 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-26 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-24 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $114,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $117,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-16 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-14 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-08 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-05 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-06 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $99,000 Public Records
  • 2022-08-12 Sold (MLS) $99,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-08-12 Sold (MLS) $99,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-08-01 Pending RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-07-03 Contingent RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-07-01 Listed $99,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-07-01 Listed $99,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $93,500 Public Records
  • 2021-07-06 Sold (MLS) $93,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-07-06 Sold (MLS) $93,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-06-10 Listed $93,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-06-10 Listed $93,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2012-10-05 Sold (MLS) $70,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-10-05 Sold (MLS) $70,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-08-20 Listed $72,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-08-20 Listed $72,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,598 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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