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1911 Dr Martin Luther King Jr Ave
C Composite 59.65
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.4/10.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$150,000

1911 Dr Martin Luther King Jr Ave · Mobile, AL 36617
6 bd · 4.0 ba · 4,354 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 508 Days on market
Built 1986 1.56 ac lot ↓ 46% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

With some TLC, endless opportunities to make this property into whatever you choose. Possibly even rezoning for a commercial venue. This 2 story home sits on a beautiful huge lot, where you will be able to enjoy lots of outside activities. This home features 7 bedrooms and 5 bathrooms. It also features an entertainment area or a man cave that opens up to a patio for your privacy. There is a huge oversize kitchen with lots of cabinets, double stainless sink. Family room features a fireplace with beautiful stained knotted pine ceiling and walls. You also have a second story veranda where you can sit and enjoy listening to the birds chirping. A new roof was just installed June 2023. This

Key facts

  • 1.56 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1986

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $219 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.9% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Florence Howard Elementary School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #536 of 627 statewide, top 88%, 488 students, 94% FRL); Booker T Washington Middle School (math 0% / reading 12%, grade F, #252 of 257 statewide, top 98%, 340 students, 95% FRL); John L Leflore Magnet School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 618 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 91% FRL vs 67% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 7% at this address vs 27% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Mobile County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
  • Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (4.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 508 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $109k (42%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 508 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.05%
Cash-on-cash
6.26%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.78% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.7%
Equity multiple
2.11×
Total profit
$46,661
Equity at exit
$82,978
10-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
4.09×
Total profit
$129,989
Equity at exit
$141,561

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36617

Home prices YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
40
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,597 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$194 /mo · $2,323/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$335
Net cashflow
$219

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,320
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $304 -5% $262 +0% $219 +5% $177 +10% $134
Rent -10% $93 -5% $156 +0% $219 +5% $282 +10% $345
Rate -1.0pp $295 -0.5pp $257 base $219 +0.5pp $180 +1.0pp $141

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-04-16
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-12
    status Active
  3. 2026-02-11
    status Pending
  4. 2026-01-28
    price $150,000
  5. 2026-01-28
    status Active
  6. 2026-01-13
    historical
  7. 2025-12-22
    status Active
  8. 2025-12-12
    status Pending
  9. 2025-10-01
    price $200,000
  10. 2025-07-02
    price $225,000
  11. 2025-07-02
    status Active
  12. 2025-07-01
    historical
  13. 2025-03-06
    status Active
  14. 2025-03-01
    historical
  15. 2025-01-29
    price $249,000
  16. 2024-10-23
    listed $259,000 Active
  17. 2024-01-11
    price $279,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,323 · $194/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,323 · $194/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,169
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,323
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,533
− Management
−$1,533
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$263
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$63
After-tax cash flow
$2,568/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mobile County
NCES district ID
0102370
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$42,455
Composite
22.9/100
National rank
#8002
State rank
#81 of 129 in AL

Livability — Mobile

Score
75/100
State rank
#20
US rank
#4262

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mobile, AL
City population
205,729
Population (ZIP)
11,952

Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,303 people
By 2030
411,755 · -0.9%
By 2040
399,670 · -3.8%
By 2050
382,616 · -7.9%
By 2075
337,353 · -18.8%
By 2100
283,391 · -31.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (97%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 97% White 2%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Mobile

2024 margin
R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.78%
Current HPI
128.8377
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-46.2% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Pending GCMLS AL
  • 2026-02-12 Relisted GCMLS AL
  • 2026-02-11 Pending GCMLS AL
  • 2026-01-28 Price Changed $150,000 GCMLS AL
  • 2026-01-28 Relisted GCMLS AL
  • 2026-01-13 Delisted GCMLS AL
  • 2025-12-22 Relisted GCMLS AL
  • 2025-12-12 Pending GCMLS AL
  • 2025-10-01 Price Changed $200,000 GCMLS AL
  • 2025-07-02 Price Changed $225,000 GCMLS AL
  • 2025-07-02 Relisted GCMLS AL
  • 2025-07-01 Delisted GCMLS AL
  • 2025-03-06 Relisted GCMLS AL
  • 2025-03-01 Delisted GCMLS AL
  • 2025-01-29 Price Changed $249,000 GCMLS AL
  • 2024-10-23 Listed $259,000 GCMLS AL
  • 2024-01-11 Price Changed $279,000 GCMLS AL

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,323 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…