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Kendall Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D Composite 44.6
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -3.9

$89,900

Kendall Plan · Leesburg, FL 34788
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured · 195 Days on market
Manufactured home 55+ age-restricted Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

55+ age qualified community. Welcome to Mid Florida Lakes a 55+ age-qualified active and vibrant community, where you can find yourself in your dream home. We have a stunning, 2019 3 bed, 2 bath home for sale featuring 1344.00 sq ft of beautifully designed living space. Located in/near Leesburg, this property offers the perfect blend of modern amenities and timeless charm. Step inside to find an open-concept floor plan, hardwood floors, high ceilings, and tons of natural light, The kitchen boasts stainless steel appliances, custom cabinetry, and an awesome bar area for entertaining perfect for both everyday living and entertaining.

Key facts

  • Custom cabinetry
  • Covered patio
  • Irrigation system

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT FLOOR PLANSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESCUSTOM CABINETRYCOVERED PATIOLOW-MAINTENANCE LANDSCAPINGIRRIGATION SYSTEM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $89,900 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $165,000.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $76 ($907/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.4% in Leesburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#751 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Treadway Elementary School (math 53% / reading 48%, grade D+, #1,055 of 2,144 statewide, top 50%, 879 students, 66% FRL); Tavares Middle School (math 43% / reading 40%, grade F, #348 of 571 statewide, top 62%, 1,070 students, 58% FRL); Tavares High School (math 32% / reading 40%, grade F, #359 of 667 statewide, top 55%, 1,507 students, 45% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 559 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 195 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 195 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.84%
Cash-on-cash
1.96%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$165,000
List price
$89,900
Delta
-45.52%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
35833 Dawn Dr 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,218 (-9%) 4mo $285,000 $234 55
304 Brigadoon Cir 1.35mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,278 (-5%) 2mo $175,000 $137 51
12409 Wedgefield Dr 1.49mi 3/2.0 1,266 (-6%) 10mo $275,000 $217 47
12058 Callicarpa Ln 1.10mi 3/2.0 1,456 (+8%) 6mo $290,000 $199 46
12204 Wedgefield Dr 1.21mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,406 (+5%) 8mo $280,000 $199 45
36528 Eagle Dr 1.26mi 3/2.0 1,450 (+8%) 8mo $312,800 $216 45
1 Durness Ct 1.47mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,200 (-11%) 1mo $182,000 $152 41
12401 Blue Heron Way 1.36mi 3/2.0 1,541 (+15%) 5mo $420,000 $273 37
35737 Shelley Dr 0.84mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,080 (-20%) 1mo $209,000 $194 34
522 Tammi Dr 0.81mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,078 (-20%) 1mo $109,900 $102 34
691 Cindi Ave 0.77mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,144 (-15%) 5mo $165,000 $144 31
10930 Isaacs Ct 1.19mi 3/2.0 1,680 (+25%) 16mo $250,000 $149 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.2%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-21,899
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
-4.2%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-12,775
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
32 active · 2 under contract
Months of supply
64.0 mo (2%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$91,578 ($71/sqft)
Median days on market
1 d
This list price
41% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+71.8% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 34788

Home prices YoY
-18.2%
Active inventory
559
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,539 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax est. 1.5%
$206 /mo · $2,475/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$323
Net cashflow
$76

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,443
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $190 -5% $133 +0% $76 +5% $19 +10% $-38
Rent -10% $-46 -5% $15 +0% $76 +5% $136 +10% $197
Rate -1.0pp $159 -0.5pp $118 base $76 +0.5pp $33 +1.0pp $-11

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
115 N Lake Dr Leesburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1460 $1,799 $1.23 60d 1 0.13mi
146 Highland Dr Leesburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1372 $1,799 $1.31 29d 1 0.18mi
158 Highland Dr Leesburg, FL 3.0 2.5 1460 $1,999 $1.37 5d 1 0.22mi
134 Hibiscus Dr Leesburg, FL 2.0 2.5 1352 $1,899 $1.40 9d 1 0.34mi
124 Hibiscus Dr Leesburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1356 $1,899 $1.40 9d 1 0.36mi
147 Woodland Dr Leesburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1372 $1,449 $1.06 119d 1 0.43mi
112 Crossways Dr Leesburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,950 $1.62 9d 1 0.47mi
35849 Dawn Dr Leesburg, FL 3.0 1.0 1244 $1,550 $1.25 4d 1 0.54mi
10602 Burlwood Dr Leesburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1848 $1,826 $0.99 40d 1 0.90mi
35689 Rose Moss Ave Leesburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1270 $1,800 $1.42 100d 1 0.91mi
12005 Pale Grass Way Unit P7402270 Leesburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1463 $2,060 $1.41 0d 1 0.95mi
12002 Callicarpa Ln Leesburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1270 $1,796 $1.41 24d 1 0.97mi
35901 Joewood Ave Leesburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1483 $2,100 $1.42 113d 1 0.98mi
35644 Rose Moss Ave Leesburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1358 $1,850 $1.36 9d 1 1.01mi
12100 Buttonbush Loop Leesburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1854 $1,919 $1.04 9d 1 1.02mi
35229 Orange Grove Ln Leesburg, FL 2.0 1.0 1194 $1,400 $1.17 119d 1 1.18mi
35 Aberdeen Cir Leesburg, FL 2.0 2.0 1072 $1,350 $1.26 70d 1 1.35mi
12449 Blue Heron Way Leesburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1528 $1,879 $1.23 6d 1 1.42mi

Property features AI

Finance

Financial info
List price $104,850

Exterior

Home design
New construction plan homeAddress: Leesburg, FL
Exterior features
Living area of 1344

Interior

Bedrooms
3 bedrooms
Bathrooms
2 bathrooms
Interior features
Plan: KendallActive listing

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-24
    days on market $89,900 Active 195 DOM
  2. 2026-09-23
    days on market $89,900 Active 194 DOM
  3. 2026-09-22
    days on market $89,900 Active 193 DOM
  4. 2026-09-21
    days on market $89,900 Active 192 DOM
  5. 2026-09-20
    days on market $89,900 Active 191 DOM
  6. 2026-09-19
    days on market $89,900 Active 190 DOM
  7. 2026-09-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 189 DOM
  8. 2026-09-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 188 DOM
  9. 2026-09-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 187 DOM
  10. 2026-09-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 186 DOM
  11. 2026-09-14
    days on market $89,900 Active 185 DOM
  12. 2026-09-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 184 DOM
  13. 2026-09-12
    days on market $89,900 Active 183 DOM
  14. 2026-09-11
    days on market $89,900 Active 182 DOM
  15. 2026-09-05
    days on market $89,900 Active 176 DOM
  16. 2026-09-04
    days on market $89,900 Active 175 DOM
  17. 2026-09-03
    days on market $89,900 Active 174 DOM
  18. 2026-08-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 171 DOM
  19. 2026-08-30
    days on market $89,900 Active 170 DOM
  20. 2026-08-29
    days on market $89,900 Active 169 DOM
  21. 2026-08-28
    days on market $89,900 Active 168 DOM
  22. 2026-08-27
    days on market $89,900 Active 167 DOM
  23. 2026-08-25
    days on market $89,900 Active 165 DOM
  24. 2026-08-24
    days on market $89,900 Active 164 DOM
  25. 2026-08-22
    days on market $89,900 Active 162 DOM
  26. 2026-08-21
    days on market $89,900 Active 161 DOM
  27. 2026-08-20
    days on market $89,900 Active 160 DOM
  28. 2026-08-19
    days on market $89,900 Active 159 DOM
  29. 2026-08-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 158 DOM
  30. 2026-08-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 157 DOM
  31. 2026-08-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 156 DOM
  32. 2026-08-14
    days on market $89,900 Active 154 DOM
  33. 2026-08-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 153 DOM
  34. 2026-08-12
    days on market $89,900 Active 152 DOM
  35. 2026-08-11
    days on market $89,900 Active 151 DOM
  36. 2026-08-10
    days on market $89,900 Active 150 DOM
  37. 2026-08-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 149 DOM
  38. 2026-08-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 148 DOM
  39. 2026-08-06
    days on market $89,900 Active 146 DOM
  40. 2026-08-05
    days on market $89,900 Active 145 DOM
  41. 2026-08-04
    days on market $89,900 Active 144 DOM
  42. 2026-08-03
    days on market $89,900 Active 143 DOM
  43. 2026-07-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 140 DOM
  44. 2026-07-30
    days on market $89,900 Active 139 DOM
  45. 2026-07-30
    days on market $89,900 Active 138 DOM
  46. 2026-07-28
    days on market $89,900 Active 137 DOM
  47. 2026-07-26
    days on market $89,900 Active 135 DOM
  48. 2026-07-24
    days on market $89,900 Active 133 DOM
  49. 2026-07-23
    days on market $89,900 Active 132 DOM
  50. 2026-07-22
    days on market $89,900 Active 131 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,469
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$2,475
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,478
− Management
−$1,478
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$1,829
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$439
After-tax cash flow
$1,346/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $6,720–$20,160 screening

This 2019 manufactured home in a 55+ community is in good condition with modern amenities and a well-maintained exterior. A fresh coat of paint on the exterior trim and cleaning the gutters would further enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 39/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Rimes Early Learning & Literacy Center Middle Tavares Middle School F FL #348/571 Nat'l #5,602/14,009 High Tavares High School F FL #359/667 Nat'l #9,405/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lake
NCES district ID
1201050
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,632
Composite
42.05/100
National rank
#3327
State rank
#37 of 73 in FL
C Composite livability gradescore 62/100

Livability — Leesburg

Score
62/100
State rank
#751
US rank
#16429

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lake County · 386,640 people
City population
70,232
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
22,137
Household income
$54,147
Rent vs Own
16.2% rent · 83.8% own
Severe rent burden
13% of renters

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
386,640 people
By 2030
417,107 · +7.9%
By 2040
476,676 · +23.3%
By 2050
531,296 · +37.4%
By 2075
648,303 · +67.7%
By 2100
698,530 · +80.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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