607 Glade Fern Way · Tifton, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 98.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.1/30.0
- ARV discount +14.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$209,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover an excellent investment opportunity with this residential property located in Tifton, GA. Offering 3 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms with 1,560 square feet of living space, this home is ideal for investors seeking rental income or future appreciation potential.
Key facts
- Community pool
- $40 HOA
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Cypress Ridge Rd subdivision
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with $40 monthly fee
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; Paved parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential townhouse; 2 stories
- Construction: Frame construction with wood siding; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: In-ground private pool; Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $209k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($848/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (12.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $183k (12.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.3% in Tifton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#69 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, commute F, employment D-.
- Tift County (town): math 30% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #96 of 174 in GA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: G. O. Bailey Elementary School (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #435 of 1,228 statewide, top 37%, 564 students, 100% FRL); Eighth Street Middle School (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #327 of 470 statewide, top 70%, 958 students, 100% FRL); Tift County High School (math 14% / reading 26%, grade F, #232 of 424 statewide, top 56%, 2,273 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 62% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 139 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 176 units permitted in Tift County in 2024 (60 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,827/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 759% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tift County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($203k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $140k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.45%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $244,435
- List price
- $209,000
- Delta
- -14.50%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 707 Osprey Cir | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,518 (-3%) | 6mo | $293,000 | $193 | 84 |
| 210 Cypress Ridge Rd | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,638 (+5%) | 3mo | $264,000 | $161 | 80 |
| 564 Osprey Cir | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (-3%) | 8mo | $260,000 | $172 | 76 |
| 644 Osprey Cir | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,623 (+4%) | 8mo | $277,000 | $171 | 75 |
| 206 Turtle Cove Ln | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,572 (+1%) | 3mo | $282,500 | $180 | 75 |
| 204 Turtle Cove Ln | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,594 (+2%) | 1mo | $285,000 | $179 | 75 |
| 627 Whitetail Ln | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,438 (-8%) | 9mo | $266,000 | $185 | 71 |
| 703 Osprey Cir | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,413 (-9%) | 11mo | $260,000 | $184 | 69 |
| 560 Osprey Cir | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,669 (+7%) | 9mo | $263,000 | $158 | 69 |
| 109 Cypress Ridge Rd | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,732 (+11%) | 2mo | $244,900 | $141 | 68 |
| 705 Osprey Cir | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-10%) | 10mo | $259,000 | $185 | 68 |
| 214 Cypress Ridge Rd | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,756 (+13%) | 8mo | $278,000 | $158 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-29,385
- Equity at exit
- $31,163
- IRR
- -5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-19,862
- Equity at exit
- $18,071
Cash invested: $58,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31794
- Home prices YoY
- -32.1%
- Active inventory
- 139
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,827 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,096
- Tax from tax record
- −$149 /mo · $1,792/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$40
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$384
- Net cashflow
- $71
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $189 | -5% $130 | +0% $71 | +5% $11 | +10% $-48 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-74 | -5% $-2 | +0% $71 | +5% $143 | +10% $215 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $176 | -0.5pp $124 | base $71 | +0.5pp $16 | +1.0pp $-39 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,250
- Closing costs
- $6,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70 Richards Dr Tifton, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,275 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2013 Lee Ave Tifton, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1337 | $3,295 | $2.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1621 Love Ave Tifton, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1210 | $1,185 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $40 · $480/yr
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $209,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $209,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $209,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $209,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $209,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $209,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $209,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $209,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $209,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $209,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $209,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $209,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $209,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $209,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $209,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $209,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-23$209,000 Active 497-char remark
-
2025-05-30soldstatus $140,000 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Discover an excellent investment opportunity with this residential property located in Tifton, GA. Offering 3 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms with 1,560 square feet of living space, this home is ideal for investors seeking rental income or future appreciation potential.
-
2021-10-07soldstatus $285,000
-
2018-03-26soldstatus $108,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,792 · $149/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,923 · $160/mo
- Expected delta
- +$131/yr (+$11/mo · 7.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,920
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,707
- − Property taxes
- −$1,792
- − Insurance
- −$1,045
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,754
- − Management
- −$1,754
- − HOA
- −$480
- − Depreciation
- −$6,080
- Taxable loss
- −$2,691
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$646
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,494/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tift County
- NCES district ID
- 1304980
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,497
- Composite
- 25.42/100
- National rank
- #7454
- State rank
- #96 of 174 in GA
Livability — Tifton
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #69
- US rank
- #6288
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tifton, GA
- County
- Tift County · 26,178 people
- City population
- 26,178
- Metro
- Tifton, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,178
- Household income
- $46,056
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 759.0
Population outlook (Tift County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,250 people
- By 2030
- 41,146 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 40,677 · -1.4%
- By 2050
- 39,930 · -3.2%
- By 2075
- 37,078 · -10.1%
- By 2100
- 32,742 · -20.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Black 37% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Tift
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.7) · D 32.0% · R 67.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.8pp toward R · 2008: -32.8pp · 2024: -35.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.7 2020: R+33.6 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+32.6 2008: R+32.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.93%
- Current HPI
- 175.5649
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Tifton, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+93.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Listed $209,000 TBOR
- 2025-05-30 Sold (MLS) $140,000 TBOR
- 2021-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $285,000 Public Records
- 2018-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $108,100 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,792 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…