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79 Walnut St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 71.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$89,900

79 Walnut St · Salem, NJ 08079
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,316 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 162 Days on market
Built 1910 3,241 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Handy persons special! Excellent opportunity! This 3 bedroom twin home has lots of potential for the savvy investor. Fix up to live in, resell or rent out. Potential rent $1500- $1600 per month. Being sold as is. Schedule appt today!

Key facts

  • Built 1910
  • Listed 161 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Semi-detached property; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Other foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 20 x 162

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Radiator / hot water heating; Oil-fired heating; Electric hot water; Cooling: Other
  • Interior features: Partial basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $89,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$202,664) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $535 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 8.4% in Salem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#462 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Salem City School District (town): math 6% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #464 of 472 in NJ (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 95 units permitted in Salem County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $280 of equity ($622 loan paydown + $-342 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Salem County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 162 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $90k implies a 246% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 162 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.87%
Cap rate
14.33%
Cash-on-cash
28.69%
DSCR
2.28
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$202,664
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
304 New Market St 0.07mi 3/1.0 1,310 (-0%) 4mo $186,000 $142 92
410 Magnolia St 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,310 (-0%) 1mo $170,000 $130 72
318 Fenwick Ave 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,344 (+2%) 3mo $191,250 $142 71
197 Pine Ave 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,318 (+0%) 2mo $205,000 $156 68
201 Chestnut St 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,308 (-1%) 6mo $128,500 $98 68
208 9th St 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,149 (-13%) 1mo $224,000 $195 61
272 E Broadway 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,500 (+14%) 1mo $65,000 $43 59
14 Yorke St 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,197 (-9%) 1mo $161,000 $135 58
188 Cook Ave 0.45mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,260 (-4%) 6mo $210,000 $167 57
179 Victory Ave 0.41mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,449 (+10%) 0mo $238,000 $164 56
352 Allen Ave 0.42mi 3/1.5 1,460 (+11%) 6mo $225,000 $154 55
363 Grant St 0.56mi 3/2.5 1,424 (+8%) 0mo $250,000 $176 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.0%
Equity multiple
2.19×
Total profit
$29,999
Equity at exit
$24,408
10-year hold
IRR
29.5%
Equity multiple
4.20×
Total profit
$80,579
Equity at exit
$28,018

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08079

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,682 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$218 /mo · $2,614/yr
Insurance
$37
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$353
Net cashflow
$535

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,004
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
218 Sinnickson St Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 1008 $1,500 $1.49 1d 1 0.10mi
26 Walnut St Unit A Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,225 $1.23 1d 1 0.19mi
1 9th St Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 1d 1 0.32mi
332 E Broadway Salem, NJ 3.0 2.0 1844 $1,980 $1.07 43d 1 0.33mi
380 E Broadway Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,350 $1.04 1d 1 0.43mi
242 Grant St Unit 1ST FLOOR Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 925 $1,675 $1.81 1d 1 0.49mi
270-272 Grant St Salem, NJ 4.0 1.0 1644 $2,100 $1.28 5d 1 0.50mi
124 Yorke St Unit 37 Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 1220 $1,350 $1.11 2d 1 0.67mi
37 Eighth St Salem, NJ 3.0 1.0 1092 $1,850 $1.69 1d 1 0.71mi
23 7th St Unit B Salem, NJ 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 3d 1 0.73mi

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 162 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 161 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 160 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 159 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 157 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 156 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 153 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 152 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 151 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,900 Active 148 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,900 Active 147 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 146 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 145 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 144 DOM
  15. 2026-01-08
    listed $89,900 Active
  16. 2026-01-03
    historical $89,900
  17. 2025-06-18
    historical
  18. 2025-05-23
    listed $90,000 Active
  19. 2025-05-23
    listed $90,000 Active
  20. 2025-04-15
    historical
  21. 2024-11-24
    price $90,000
  22. 2024-10-19
    listed $80,000 Active
  23. 2021-03-31
    soldstatus $26,000 Closed
  24. 2021-03-10
    status Pending
  25. 2021-02-22
    listed $29,325 Active
  26. 2012-10-03
    historical
  27. 2012-10-03
    soldstatus $18,201 Sold
  28. 2012-10-03
    soldstatus $18,201
  29. 2012-08-23
    status Under Contract
  30. 2012-07-29
    historical
  31. 2012-05-11
    listed $25,000 Active
  32. 2012-05-11
    listed $25,000
  33. 2009-08-30
    historical
  34. 2009-02-10
    listed $68,000
  35. 2008-12-01
    historical
  36. 2007-05-17
    listed $68,000
  37. 1995-02-21
    soldstatus $42,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,614 · $218/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,614 · $218/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 98% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,180
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$2,614
− Insurance
−$1,247
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,614
− Management
−$1,614
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$5,439
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,305
After-tax cash flow
$5,118/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Salem City School District
NCES district ID
3414550
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$27,118
Composite
11.51/100
National rank
#9702
State rank
#464 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Salem

Score
61/100
State rank
#462
US rank
#17533

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing F Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Salem, NJ
County
Salem County · 24,175 people
City population
10,762
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
10,762
Household income
$54,641
Rent vs Own
42.5% rent · 57.5% own
Severe rent burden
663.0

Population outlook (Salem County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,905 people
By 2030
57,351 · -4.3%
By 2040
51,837 · -13.5%
By 2050
46,356 · -22.6%
By 2075
36,452 · -39.2%
By 2100
28,907 · -51.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Salem

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 39.6% · R 58.8% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-23.1pp toward R · 2008: 3.9pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+12.8 2016: R+15.4 2012: D+0.8 2008: D+3.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.38%
Current HPI
258.0047
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+114.0% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-08 Listed $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-03 Coming Soon $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-18 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-05-23 Listed $90,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-05-23 Listed $90,000 MOMLS
  • 2025-04-15 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-11-24 Price Changed $90,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-10-19 Listed $80,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-03-31 Sold (MLS) $26,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-03-10 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-02-22 Listed $29,325 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2012-10-03 Delisted TREND
  • 2012-10-03 Sold (MLS) $18,201 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2012-10-03 Sold (MLS) $18,201 TREND
  • 2012-08-23 Pending TREND
  • 2012-07-29 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2012-05-11 Listed $25,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2012-05-11 Listed $25,000 TREND
  • 2009-08-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-02-10 Listed $68,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-12-01 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-05-17 Listed $68,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1995-02-21 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,614 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…