533 Glade Park Loop · Montgomery, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.1/30.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- ARV discount +5.0/15.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come check out this lovely home on a cul-de-sac in convenient Pecan Grove. This 3 bedroom 2 bath home offers lots of interior space with a living/dining room combination. The property features a completely fenced, shady back yard, outdoor patio, and outside storage room with a second floor bonus room that you can finish off to suit your needs. "Property to be sold as is. "
Key facts
- Outside storage room
- Fenced back yard
- Cul-de-sac
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Electric service available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Built per public records; Brick exterior; Slab foundation
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Fully fenced yard; City lot; Lot on a cul-de-sac; Lot dimensions approximately 89 x 122.5 (irregular)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Plank; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Gas water heater
- Interior features: Kitchen/dining combo; Living room
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $271 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (0.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $169k (0.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 209 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $83k; list at $169k implies a 103% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.87%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $160,050
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 429 Avon Rd | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,447 (-0%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $111 | 91 |
| 816 Hatcher St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,448 (-0%) | 2mo | $159,000 | $110 | 80 |
| 408 Glade Park Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,579 (+8%) | 4mo | $168,000 | $106 | 78 |
| 708 Maryethel Dr | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,616 (+11%) | 1mo | $178,000 | $110 | 67 |
| 608 Blythewood Rd | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (-9%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $98 | 66 |
| 356 Avon Rd | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,652 (+14%) | 3mo | $195,000 | $118 | 64 |
| 329 Northwestern Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (-4%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $78 | 61 |
| 330 W Vanderbilt Loop | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,515 (+4%) | 7mo | $115,000 | $76 | 60 |
| 4309 Salinas Ct | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,610 (+11%) | 2mo | $179,900 | $112 | 53 |
| 615 Sarver Ave | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,646 (+13%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $94 | 52 |
| 4208 Johnstown Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,604 (+10%) | 3mo | $204,900 | $128 | 49 |
| 4536 Wake Forest Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,244 (-14%) | 4mo | $123,000 | $99 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-10,754
- Equity at exit
- $25,198
- IRR
- 3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $10,292
- Equity at exit
- $14,612
Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36109
- Home prices YoY
- -20.1%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 209
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,688 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$886
- Tax from tax record
- −$106 /mo · $1,267/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$354
- Net cashflow
- $271
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $367 | -5% $319 | +0% $271 | +5% $223 | +10% $175 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $138 | -5% $204 | +0% $271 | +5% $338 | +10% $404 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $356 | -0.5pp $314 | base $271 | +0.5pp $227 | +1.0pp $183 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,250
- Closing costs
- $5,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 564 Glade Park Loop Unit 1043856P Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $2,736 | $1.83 | 15d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 605 Plantation Way Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1519 | $1,200 | $0.79 | 22d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 633 Groveland Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $1,200 | $0.84 | 45d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 535 Lawndale Ln Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,100 | $0.87 | 15d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 516 Lawndale Ln Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,150 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 538 Hollow Wood Rd Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1053 | $1,100 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4732 Retreat Rd Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1034 | $995 | $0.96 | 22d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 4536 Wake Forest Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1244 | $1,250 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 5712 Roxboro Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $1,450 | $0.94 | 22d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 713 Amity Ln Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1696 | $1,900 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 728 Amity Ln Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1218 | $1,700 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4365 Hillside Oaks Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 5805 Hyde Park Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1757 | $1,511 | $0.86 | 22d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5735 Sweet Meadow Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1413 | $1,525 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 760 N Burbank Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1102 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4056 Wares Ferry Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,500 | $0.83 | 15d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3806 Marie Cook Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1791 | $1,675 | $0.94 | 15d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 323 N Burbank Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $1,381 | $0.87 | 15d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3801 Cedar Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1818 | $1,681 | $0.92 | 22d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 4023 Ware Hill Dr Unit 1507324P Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $4,076 | $2.87 | 15d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1201 Dalraida Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1673 | $1,625 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 4046 Camellia Dr Unit 1 Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 6320 Burbank Crossing Loop Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1238 | $1,600 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 185 Eastdale Rd S Montgomery, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 846 | $1,100 | $1.30 | 22d | 4 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $169,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $169,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 627-char remark
-
2026-06-13$169,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,267 · $106/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,267 · $106/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,253
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,467
- − Property taxes
- −$1,267
- − Insurance
- −$845
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,620
- − Management
- −$1,620
- − Depreciation
- −$4,916
- Taxable income
- $517
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$124
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,128/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 0102430
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,902
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9093
- State rank
- #106 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #13416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, AL
- County
- Montgomery County · 190,016 people
- City population
- 175,913
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,581
- Household income
- $59,193
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1039.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 224,008 people
- By 2030
- 221,460 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 214,179 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 204,912 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 177,821 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 145,134 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.64%
- Current HPI
- 149.3867
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.65%
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+141.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $169,000 MAAR
- 2020-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $83,100 Public Records
- 2011-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2011-01-19 Sold (MLS) $45,000 MAAR
- 2010-11-05 Listed $54,900 MAAR
- 2005-02-04 Sold (MLS) $89,000 MAAR
- 2004-09-08 Listed $89,900 MAAR
- 1996-12-18 Listed $69,995 MAAR
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,267 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…