2500 E Harmony Rd #351 · Fort Collins, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -6.6
$45,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * This welcoming, well-maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is a perfect place to raise your family. For your convenience, we have onsite community management to assist you when you need it. With our family-friendly community amenities such as a playground, a swimming pool, and a basketball court, your family will be excited to live here. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
Key facts
- Swimming pool
- Basketball court
- Playground
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $46k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $46k).
- Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 32.5% vs local median 2.7% in Fort Collins — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#11 in CO, #1,750 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Poudre School District R-1 (urban): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #10 of 86 in CO (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Traut Core Elementary School (math 67% / reading 77%, grade A-, #26 of 966 statewide, top 4%, 502 students, 12% FRL); Kinard Core Knowledge Middle School (math 61% / reading 77%, grade A, #8 of 270 statewide, top 3%, 748 students, 7% FRL); Fort Collins High School (math 42% / reading 73%, grade C, #68 of 381 statewide, top 18%, 1,903 students, 32% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 66% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Poudre School District R-1 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 246 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,786 units permitted in Larimer County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($130k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.4%/yr); year-one equity from $317 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $650 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Larimer County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-1.4% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 93.61%
- DSCR
- 5.17
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $82,000
- List price
- $45,900
- Delta
- -44.02%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2500 E Harmony Rd #84 | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,104 (+13%) | 5mo | $83,000 | $75 | 66 |
| 5225 White Willow Dr Unit A-230 | 0.94mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 977 (-0%) | 2mo | $338,000 | $346 | 58 |
| 4545 Wheaton Dr Unit A-370 | 1.16mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 936 (-4%) | 4mo | $275,000 | $294 | 50 |
| 2519 Antelope Rd | 0.78mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,016 (+4%) | 1mo | $429,900 | $423 | 49 |
| 4545 Wheaton Dr Unit H-220 | 1.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 912 (-7%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $302 | 47 |
| 5225 White Willow Dr Unit Q220 | 0.96mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,048 (+7%) | 5mo | $356,000 | $340 | 44 |
| 3815 Steelhead St Unit 16A | 1.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,047 (+7%) | 1mo | $320,000 | $306 | 44 |
| 4545 Wheaton Dr Unit E-210 | 1.23mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,071 (+9%) | 5mo | $305,000 | $285 | 40 |
| 3465 Lochwood Dr #91 | 1.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 889 (-9%) | 2mo | $283,000 | $318 | 38 |
| 5225 White Willow Dr Unit F-200 | 1.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,090 (+11%) | 5mo | $330,000 | $303 | 37 |
| 5551 Cornerstone Dr #1 | 1.18mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,177 (+20%) | 3mo | $380,000 | $323 | 31 |
| 5551 Cornerstone Dr Unit A-1 | 1.21mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,177 (+20%) | 3mo | $380,000 | $323 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.42% appreciation · 3.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 96.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.71×
- Total profit
- $60,585
- Equity at exit
- $10,170
- IRR
- 98.0%
- Equity multiple
- 12.06×
- Total profit
- $142,171
- Equity at exit
- $9,922
Cash invested: $12,852 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 9 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 27.0 mo (4%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $68,250 ($63/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 111 d
- This list price
- 11% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +32.1% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 80528
- Home prices YoY
- -0.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 246
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,671 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$241
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$57 /mo · $688/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$351
- Net cashflow
- $1,003
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,034 | -5% $1,018 | +0% $1,003 | +5% $987 | +10% $971 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $871 | -5% $937 | +0% $1,003 | +5% $1,069 | +10% $1,135 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,026 | -0.5pp $1,014 | base $1,003 | +0.5pp $991 | +1.0pp $979 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,475
- Closing costs
- $1,377
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2921 Timberwood Dr Fort Collins, CO | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,920 | $1.72 | 0d | 3 | 0.61mi |
| 2002 Battlecreek Dr Fort Collins, CO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1029 | $2,471 | $2.40 | 0d | 17 | 0.88mi |
| 5225 White Willow Dr Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1084 | $1,870 | $1.73 | 5d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 5225 White Willow Dr Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1003 | $1,940 | $1.93 | 109d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4545 Wheaton Dr Fort Collins, CO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 903 | $2,200 | $2.44 | 109d | 5 | 1.21mi |
| 4545 Wheaton Dr Fort Collins, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 818 | $1,895 | $2.32 | 3d | 3 | 1.21mi |
| 2212 Vermont Dr Fort Collins, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 852 | $1,895 | $2.22 | 0d | 6 | 1.31mi |
| 4470 S Lemay Ave Fort Collins, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 870 | $2,071 | $2.38 | 0d | 16 | 1.35mi |
| 3707 Precision Dr Fort Collins, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 963 | $2,276 | $2.36 | 0d | 18 | 1.37mi |
| 3465 Lochwood Dr Unit J39 Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1057 | $1,795 | $1.70 | 109d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2918 S Timberline Rd Fort Collins, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 753 | $2,040 | $2.71 | 0d | 10 | 1.46mi |
| 3838 Steelhead St Unit H Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 5d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 3500 Rolling Green Dr Unit D19 Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,675 | $1.87 | 5d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- List price $45,400
Exterior
- Utilities
- Natural gas available
- Home design
- Condo/Unit (address: 2500 E Harmony Rd #351, Fort Collins, CO 80528)Plan name: 91327Currently active listing
- Exterior features
- Living area approximately 980
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Natural gas heating
- Interior features
- Spec home (new construction inventory type: Spec)
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $45,900 Active 143 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $45,900 Active 142 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $45,900 Active 141 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $45,900 Active 140 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $45,900 Active 138 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $45,900 Active 137 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $45,900 Active 136 DOM
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2026-09-15days on market $45,900 Active 135 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $45,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $45,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $45,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $45,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $45,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $45,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $45,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $45,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $45,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $45,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $45,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $45,900 Active 116 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $45,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $45,900 Active 113 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $45,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $45,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $45,900 Active 110 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $45,900 Active 109 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $45,900 Active 108 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $45,900 Active 107 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $45,900 Active 106 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $45,900 Active 105 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $45,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $45,900 Active 103 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $45,900 Active 102 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $45,900 Active 101 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $45,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $45,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $45,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $45,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $45,900 Active 96 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $45,900 Active 95 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $45,900 Active 94 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $45,900 Active 93 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $45,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $45,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $45,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $45,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $45,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $45,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $45,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $45,900 Active 80 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,048
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,571
- − Property taxes
- −$688
- − Insurance
- −$230
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,604
- − Management
- −$1,604
- − Depreciation
- −$1,335
- Taxable income
- $12,016
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,884
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,147/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This manufactured home requires moderate repairs, particularly to the roof and exterior siding, to improve its condition and value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Significant wear and tear
- Major exterior siding — Weathered and in need of replacement
Value-add opportunities
- Both repair roof — Critical to safety and appearance ↑
- Both replace exterior siding — Improves curb appeal and value ↑
- Both landscaping refresh — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Poudre School District R-1
- NCES district ID
- 0803990
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,281
- Composite
- 45.5/100
- National rank
- #2610
- State rank
- #10 of 86 in CO
Livability — Fort Collins
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #11
- US rank
- #1750
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Collins, CO
- County
- Larimer County · 415,361 people
- City population
- 202,303
- Metro
- Fort Collins, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,960
- Household income
- $130,350
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11% of renters
Population outlook (Larimer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,361 people
- By 2030
- 457,762 · +10.2%
- By 2040
- 542,310 · +30.6%
- By 2050
- 627,048 · +51.0%
- By 2075
- 833,722 · +100.7%
- By 2100
- 952,590 · +129.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 12% Asian 6% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Larimer
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.6) · D 57.4% · R 39.8% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 9.7pp · 2024: 17.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.6 2020: D+15.4 2016: D+4.9 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+9.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.42%
- Current HPI
- 244.4061
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.60%
- Metro
- Fort Collins, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…