2215 Greenwood St · San Angelo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 14.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.4/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this cozy 3 bedroom, 2 bath home featuring durable vinyl plank flooring throughout the main living areas. The warm and inviting layout offers comfortable living spaces, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Whether you're a first-time buyer or looking to downsize, this home offers charm, functionality, and easy maintenance all in one.
Key facts
- 7,448 sq ft lot
- Built 1962
- Listed 96 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-65 ($-775/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $179k (6.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (12.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $166k (12.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.8% in San Angelo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Fannin El (math 27% / reading 12%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 306 students, 92% FRL); Lincoln Middle (math 19% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,387 of 1,662 statewide, top 85%, 844 students, 78% FRL); Lake View H S (math 6% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,527 of 1,632 statewide, top 94%, 1,085 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 53% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 334 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 71% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($173k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.46%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $162,194
- List price
- $190,000
- Delta
- 17.14%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1817 Greenwood St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,430 (-5%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $150 | 73 |
| 2406 Glenwood Dr | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,391 (-7%) | 6mo | $199,000 | $143 | 69 |
| 2011 Edmund Blvd | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,308 (-13%) | 1mo | $189,900 | $145 | 64 |
| 1808 Childress St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,354 (-10%) | 5mo | $235,000 | $174 | 61 |
| 2402 Webster Ave | 0.69mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,518 (+1%) | 2mo | $184,000 | $121 | 56 |
| 1716 Edmund Blvd | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-6%) | 8mo | $245,000 | $175 | 56 |
| 3025 Catalina Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,596 (+6%) | 4mo | $185,000 | $116 | 55 |
| 2316 Juanita Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,323 (-12%) | 8mo | $230,000 | $174 | 54 |
| 2645 Raney St | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,604 (+7%) | 9mo | $189,000 | $118 | 54 |
| 2706 Lindell Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,311 (-13%) | 2mo | $255,000 | $195 | 46 |
| 2301 Webster St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,668 (+11%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $141 | 45 |
| 2710 Lindell Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (-12%) | 8mo | $249,500 | $189 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 5.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $104,198
- Equity at exit
- $171,167
- IRR
- 22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.03×
- Total profit
- $321,036
- Equity at exit
- $369,128
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76901
- Home prices YoY
- 6.4%
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 334
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,659 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$300 /mo · $3,597/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$348
- Net cashflow
- $-65
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $43 | -5% $-11 | +0% $-65 | +5% $-118 | +10% $-172 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-196 | -5% $-130 | +0% $-65 | +5% $1 | +10% $66 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $31 | -0.5pp $-16 | base $-65 | +0.5pp $-114 | +1.0pp $-164 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1905 Meadowbrook Dr San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $1,400 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2802 Field St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1384 | $1,600 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1714 Cordell Dr San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $1,850 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2102 Webster St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1233 | $1,750 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2629 Forest Park Ave San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $1,895 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1405 Hassell St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,950 | $1.83 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2425 Waco St San Angelo, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1225 | $1,395 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2804 Abilene St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,550 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1210 Guthrie St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1157 | $1,400 | $1.21 | 22d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1835 Willow St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1267 | $1,750 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 711 N Monroe St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1345 | $1,500 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 810 W 19th St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,249 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 417 N Jefferson St San Angelo, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1940 | $2,350 | $1.21 | 22d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 706 W 16th St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,590 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2430 Rio Grande St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 540 W 16th St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,364 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 210 N Jefferson St #210 San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1706 | $1,600 | $0.94 | 22d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $190,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $190,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $190,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $190,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $190,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $190,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $190,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $190,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $190,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $190,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $190,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $190,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $190,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $190,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $190,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $190,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-04-19price $194,000 347-char remark
Show marketing remark (347 chars)
Welcome to this cozy 3 bedroom, 2 bath home featuring durable vinyl plank flooring throughout the main living areas. The warm and inviting layout offers comfortable living spaces, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Whether you're a first-time buyer or looking to downsize, this home offers charm, functionality, and easy maintenance all in one.
-
2026-03-28price $196,000 347-char remark
Show marketing remark (347 chars)
Welcome to this cozy 3 bedroom, 2 bath home featuring durable vinyl plank flooring throughout the main living areas. The warm and inviting layout offers comfortable living spaces, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Whether you're a first-time buyer or looking to downsize, this home offers charm, functionality, and easy maintenance all in one.
-
2026-03-04$198,000 Active 347-char remark
Show marketing remark (347 chars)
Welcome to this cozy 3 bedroom, 2 bath home featuring durable vinyl plank flooring throughout the main living areas. The warm and inviting layout offers comfortable living spaces, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Whether you're a first-time buyer or looking to downsize, this home offers charm, functionality, and easy maintenance all in one.
-
2025-06-13soldstatus
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2024-07-17soldstatus
-
2024-07-15soldstatus Closed 272-char remark
Show marketing remark (272 chars)
Updates include: paint interior & exterior 2024, interior doors 2024, front exterior door 2024, gas cooktop/oven 2024, microwave 2024, back windows 2024, front windows 2021, roof 2020, water heater 2020, vinyl plank flooring 2018, Listing agent is related to seller.
-
2024-06-14status Pending 272-char remark
Show marketing remark (272 chars)
Updates include: paint interior & exterior 2024, interior doors 2024, front exterior door 2024, gas cooktop/oven 2024, microwave 2024, back windows 2024, front windows 2021, roof 2020, water heater 2020, vinyl plank flooring 2018, Listing agent is related to seller.
-
2024-05-20$165,000 Active 272-char remark
Show marketing remark (272 chars)
Updates include: paint interior & exterior 2024, interior doors 2024, front exterior door 2024, gas cooktop/oven 2024, microwave 2024, back windows 2024, front windows 2021, roof 2020, water heater 2020, vinyl plank flooring 2018, Listing agent is related to seller.
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2017-08-18soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,597 · $300/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,597 · $300/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,909
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$3,597
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,593
- − Management
- −$1,593
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$3,993
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$958
- After-tax cash flow
- $183/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Angelo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838700
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,501
- Composite
- 25.56/100
- National rank
- #7427
- State rank
- #627 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Angelo
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #5030
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Angelo, TX
- County
- Tom Green County · 113,188 people
- City population
- 81,357
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,831
- Household income
- $69,450
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1034.0
Population outlook (Tom Green County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 135,110 people
- By 2030
- 144,090 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 162,561 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 182,158 · +34.8%
- By 2075
- 232,274 · +71.9%
- By 2100
- 268,218 · +98.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 17% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 38%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 21% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tom Green
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.5% · R 73.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.0 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+41.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 47.96%
- Current HPI
- 798.58
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.78%
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+17.6% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-19 Price Changed $194,000 SAAR TX
- 2026-03-28 Price Changed $196,000 SAAR TX
- 2026-03-04 Listed $198,000 SAAR TX
- 2025-06-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-07-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-07-15 Sold (MLS) — SAAR TX
- 2024-06-14 Pending — SAAR TX
- 2024-05-20 Listed $165,000 SAAR TX
- 2017-08-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,597 · +67.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…