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36 Hilton Rd
D+ Composite 46.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.8/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$389,900

36 Hilton Rd · Jobstown, NJ 08060
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,644 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1956 9,997 sqft lot Est $421k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Recently updated and completely move-in ready, this charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath split-level is just waiting for you to call it home! Inside, you'll find nearly 1,700 square feet of bright, sun-drenched living space featuring a fresh neutral palette and durable LVP flooring throughout. The updated kitchen is a chef’s delight, boasting crisp white cabinetry, a gas range, and ample counter space for meal prep. Its seamless flow into the dining area ensures you're always part of the conversation. Entertaining is a breeze thanks to the expansive, open-concept living and dining rooms. Upstairs, all three spacious bedrooms feature ceiling fans and share a pristine hall bath with a tub/showe

Key facts

  • Updated kitchen
  • Open-concept living
  • Gas range

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENGAS RANGEOPEN-CONCEPT LIVINGBRICK HEARTH FIREPLACESUN-DRENCHED SUNROOMLARGE FENCED BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (100 amp) available; Natural gas available; Hot water: natural gas
  • Home design: Detached property; Main entrance faces south
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Building not winterized
  • Exterior features: Patio(s); Gutter system

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas oven/range; Range hood; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Combination dining/living area; Traditional floor plan; Eat-in kitchen; Basement (unfinished)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $390k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $152 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $377k (3.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $377k (3.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 1.9% in Jobstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Rancocas Valley Regional High School District (suburban): math 29% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #236 of 472 in NJ (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,161 units permitted in Burlington County in 2024 (988 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($109k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Burlington County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $270k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $377,248 (3.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
6.76%
Cash-on-cash
1.67%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$420,864
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
237 Front St 0.07mi 3/1.5 1,644 (0%) 8mo $366,000 $223 90
38 Tinker Dr 0.20mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,663 (+1%) 4mo $460,000 $277 78
216 Blue Jay Ln 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,685 (+2%) 4mo $335,000 $199 66
200 Front St 0.20mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,444 (-12%) 6mo $406,000 $281 58
142 Cherry St 0.63mi 3/1.5 1,508 (-8%) 1mo $170,000 $113 56
7 Ridgley St 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,500 (-9%) 7mo $438,000 $292 56
207 Canary Ln 0.59mi 3/1.5 1,802 (+10%) 1mo $369,900 $205 55
76 Branch St 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,563 (-5%) 4mo $436,000 $279 55
1010 Woodlane Rd 0.52mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,760 (+7%) 6mo $450,000 $256 52
619 Holly Ln 0.53mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,421 (-14%) 4mo $280,000 $197 44
43 Mount Holly Ave 0.73mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,779 (+8%) 9mo $400,000 $225 36
710 Smith Ln 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,409 (-14%) 10mo $365,000 $259 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.5%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-59,279
Equity at exit
$58,135
10-year hold
IRR
-10.0%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-62,076
Equity at exit
$33,711

Cash invested: $109,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08060

Home prices YoY
-34.5%
Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,772 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,045
Tax from tax record
$621 /mo · $7,456/yr
Insurance
$162
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$792
Net cashflow
$152

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,580
Max offer price $389,900
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $372 -5% $262 +0% $152 +5% $41 +10% $-69
Rent -10% $-146 -5% $3 +0% $152 +5% $301 +10% $450
Rate -1.0pp $348 -0.5pp $251 base $152 +0.5pp $51 +1.0pp $-52

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$97,475
Closing costs
$11,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
209 Front St Mount Holly, NJ 4.0 2.5 1500 $4,950 $3.30 0d 1 0.11mi
3a Hunter Cir Eastampton Township, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 865 $2,255 $2.61 0d 25 0.65mi
64 Regency Dr Mt Holly, NJ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1066 $2,800 $2.63 0d 1 0.66mi
209 Mill St Mount Holly, NJ 3.0 1.5 1274 $2,400 $1.88 2d 1 0.82mi
12000 Hamilton Way Eastampton Township, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1100 $2,894 $2.63 0d 12 0.87mi
1 Kirby Ct Mt Holly, NJ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1349 $3,125 $2.32 0d 13 0.87mi
10 Stanton Rd Mount Holly, NJ 3.0 2.5 2208 $3,300 $1.49 0d 1 0.88mi
302 Barrington Ct Mt Holly, NJ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1226 $2,959 $2.41 0d 11 0.97mi
37 Church St Mount Holly, NJ 3.0 1.5 1900 $2,370 $1.25 11d 1 1.01mi
501 Bloomfield Dr Westampton, NJ 4.0 2.0 1975 $4,950 $2.51 0d 1 1.15mi
502 Bloomfield Dr Westampton, NJ 4.0 3.0 1666 $4,950 $2.97 0d 1 1.17mi
144 Washington St Unit C Mt Holly, NJ 3.0 1.0 1450 $2,370 $1.63 16d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $389,900 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $389,900 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $389,900 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $389,900 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $389,900 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $389,900 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 693-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    listed $389,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,456 · $621/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,582 · $715/mo
Expected delta
+$1,126/yr (+$94/mo · 15.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$45,270
− Mortgage interest
−$21,840
− Property taxes
−$7,456
− Insurance
−$1,950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,622
− Management
−$3,622
− Depreciation
−$11,343
Taxable loss
−$4,562
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,095
After-tax cash flow
$2,916/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rancocas Valley Regional High School District
NCES district ID
3413620
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$58,992
Composite
34.45/100
National rank
#5195
State rank
#236 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Jobstown

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Burlington County · 323,710 people
City population
788
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
25,835
Household income
$109,292
Rent vs Own
26.0% rent · 74.0% own
Severe rent burden
562.0

Population outlook (Burlington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
453,425 people
By 2030
452,359 · -0.2%
By 2040
445,033 · -1.9%
By 2050
431,760 · -4.8%
By 2075
406,277 · -10.4%
By 2100
364,732 · -19.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Black 25% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 13% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Burlington

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.6% · R 41.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-2.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+19.5 2016: D+14.8 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+18.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -156.50%
Current HPI
296.564
Rent YoY
▲ 1.42%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+862.7% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $389,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-04-19 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-02-20 Listed $134,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-11-27 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-05-30 Listed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-12-13 Sold (Public Records) $270,000 Public Records
  • 2007-09-14 Sold (MLS) $265,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-08-07 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-06-08 Listed $265,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1984-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 1984-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 1978-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,456 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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