904 Lynnette Dr · Metairie, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.7/30.0
- ARV discount +11.2/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$245,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come See This 3 bed, 2 bath Metairie home with great living space for everyone and Vaulted ceilings throughout. The large driveway with double carport makes coming home easy in any weather. Original parkay floors in all living areas and bedrooms, no carpet. The backyard boasts a large concrete patio with sunshade for enjoying the outdoors.
Key facts
- Large concrete patio
- Large driveway
- Double carport
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Brick construction; Very good condition
- Construction: Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built with brick
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Concrete patio/porch; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Granite counters; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Granite counters; Pantry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-319 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $189k (23.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $213k (12.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $189k (23.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.6% in Metairie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 87/100 on livability (#1 in LA, #261 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
- Jefferson Parish (suburban): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #44 of 98 in LA (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 518 units permitted in Jefferson Parish in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $190k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.87%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $267,093
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 Cynthia Ave | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,557 (+3%) | 1mo | $258,000 | $166 | 86 |
| 1204 N Cumberland St | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,490 (-1%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $181 | 80 |
| 705 N Upland Ave | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,405 (-7%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $189 | 73 |
| 1101 N Starrett Rd | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,315 (-13%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $179 | 70 |
| 1720 N Bengal Rd | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,520 (+1%) | 2mo | $257,000 | $169 | 70 |
| 8114 Dalton St | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 | 1,308 (-13%) | 0mo | $260,000 | $199 | 69 |
| 1120 Trudeau Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,673 (+11%) | 1mo | $289,000 | $173 | 68 |
| 8134 Weston St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,295 (-14%) | 0mo | $175,000 | $135 | 63 |
| 1317 Frankel Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,635 (+8%) | 2mo | $290,000 | $177 | 57 |
| 1616 Eisenhower Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-7%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $150 | 54 |
| 1901 Eisenhower Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,603 (+6%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $165 | 53 |
| 1512 Massachusetts Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-11%) | 2mo | $238,000 | $177 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.10×
- Total profit
- $-61,629
- Equity at exit
- $36,530
- IRR
- -27.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.26×
- Total profit
- $-86,251
- Equity at exit
- $21,183
Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70003
- Rents YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 226
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,134 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,285
- Tax from tax record
- −$192 /mo · $2,300/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$448
- Net cashflow
- $-319
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-181 | -5% $-250 | +0% $-319 | +5% $-389 | +10% $-458 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-488 | -5% $-404 | +0% $-319 | +5% $-235 | +10% $-151 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-196 | -0.5pp $-257 | base $-319 | +0.5pp $-383 | +1.0pp $-447 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,250
- Closing costs
- $7,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 808 Cynthia Ave Metairie, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1001 Minnesota Ave Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,100 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 705 N Lester Ave Metairie, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1334 | $2,100 | $1.57 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 216 Trudeau Dr Metairie, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1825 | $2,800 | $1.53 | 5d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 606 N Wilson St Metairie, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1108 Maryland Ave Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $2,050 | $1.95 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1712 Michigan Ave Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,900 | $1.78 | 45d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2013 Minnesota Ave Kenner, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 22d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 413 Maryland Ave Metairie, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1330 | $1,400 | $1.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 6908 Christine St Metairie, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $2,000 | $1.29 | 15d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 6908 Christine St Metairie, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $2,100 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2012 Airline Park Blvd Metairie, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1583 | $2,100 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2606 Longwood Dr Metairie, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1712 Abadie Ave Metairie, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $2,750 | $1.45 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 8817 25th St Metairie, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1390 | $2,100 | $1.51 | 5d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1807 Moisant St Kenner, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,000 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1711 Moisant St Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1097 | $1,575 | $1.44 | 5d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1300 Webster St Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1300 Webster St Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1108 Cardinal Ave Metairie, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1903 | $2,650 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 10613 Chadwick Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $2,200 | $1.51 | 3d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 527 Little Farms Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1855 | $2,800 | $1.51 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 703 Linden St Metairie, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $2,500 | $1.52 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1216 Hymelia Ave Metairie, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $3,500 | $2.50 | 5d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 929 Compromise St Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 927 Compromise St Unit A Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 6016 Loraine St Metairie, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,950 | $1.22 | 3d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1808 Elise Ave Metairie, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $2,100 | $1.39 | 25d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2463 Idaho Ave Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 6801 Veterans Blvd Metairie, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 985 | $1,701 | $1.73 | 3d | 27 | 1.37mi |
| 2127 Connecticut Ave Unit A Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $2,000 | $1.53 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 10125 Stacy Ct New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1950 | $2,495 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $245,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (341 chars)
Come See This 3 bed, 2 bath Metairie home with great living space for everyone and Vaulted ceilings throughout. The large driveway with double carport makes coming home easy in any weather. Original parkay floors in all living areas and bedrooms, no carpet. The backyard boasts a large concrete patio with sunshade for enjoying the outdoors.
-
2026-06-18$245,000 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (341 chars)
Come See This 3 bed, 2 bath Metairie home with great living space for everyone and Vaulted ceilings throughout. The large driveway with double carport makes coming home easy in any weather. Original parkay floors in all living areas and bedrooms, no carpet. The backyard boasts a large concrete patio with sunshade for enjoying the outdoors.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,300 · $192/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,300 · $192/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,606
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,724
- − Property taxes
- −$2,300
- − Insurance
- −$6,344
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,048
- − Management
- −$2,048
- − Depreciation
- −$7,127
- Taxable loss
- −$7,986
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,917
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,916/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200840
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,421
- Composite
- 25.19/100
- National rank
- #7511
- State rank
- #44 of 98 in LA
Livability — Metairie
- Score
- 87/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #261
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Metairie, LA
- County
- Jefferson Parish · 426,999 people
- City population
- 137,978
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,344
- Household income
- $76,261
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 710.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 451,696 people
- By 2030
- 455,451 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 458,308 · +1.5%
- By 2050
- 461,031 · +2.1%
- By 2075
- 476,351 · +5.5%
- By 2100
- 499,377 · +10.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 12% Black 8% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 12% Scotch-Irish 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.9) · D 42.5% · R 55.5% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +13.6pp toward D · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -12.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.9 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+14.8 2012: R+18.4 2008: R+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -252.03%
- Current HPI
- 138.5632
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.15%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+124.8% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $245,000 GSREIN
- 2026-06-18 Listed $245,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2018-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
- 2018-05-10 Sold (MLS) $190,000 GSREIN
- 2018-04-09 Contingent — GSREIN
- 2018-02-19 Price Changed $199,999 GSREIN
- 2018-01-19 Price Changed $215,000 GSREIN
- 2017-12-01 Listed $199,999 AcadianaMLS
- 2017-12-01 Listed $225,000 GSREIN
- 1999-07-23 Sold (MLS) $109,000 GSREIN
- 1999-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $109,000 Public Records
- 1999-06-27 Listed $109,000 GSREIN
- 1999-06-27 Listed $109,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,300 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…