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937 21st St SW
B- Composite 65.21
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

937 21st St SW · Birmingham, AL 35211
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,122 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1950 7,840 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nice starter home or a great investment property. This all brick 3 bedroom 1 bath home has been updated with newer paint, flooring and HVAC. Home has a second building, also all brick, in back.

Key facts

  • All brick
  • Updated flooring
  • Updated hvac

Tags

ALL BRICKUPDATED WITH NEWER PAINTUPDATED FLOORINGUPDATED HVAC

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.18 acres; Subdivision: Maplehurst
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking; On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Electric water heater; Internet service availability (provider TBD)
  • Home design: Single-story living spaces (all listed rooms on main level); Existing construction; 4-side brick exterior
  • Construction: Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Open patio; Storage building; No pool; No garden/yard features listed; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Laminate countertops; Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood and laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub/shower combo
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Ceilings: Other (see remarks); No special interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry located on the main level in a closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $368 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
  • Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: West End Academy (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #601 of 627 statewide, top 98%, 503 students, 81% FRL); Wenonah High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 656 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools at 83% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.0%/yr); 155 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,551 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
11.21%
Cash-on-cash
17.57%
DSCR
1.78
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$50,490
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
700 18th Place Ln SW 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,152 (+3%) 3mo $100,833 $88 73
2526 SW Lee Ave 0.39mi 3/1.5 1,095 (-2%) 6mo $18,000 $16 71
1744 Lincoln Pl SW 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,140 (+2%) 1mo $99,000 $87 70
1311 18th Way SW 0.30mi 3/1.0 979 (-13%) 4mo $20,500 $21 61
1228 19th Pl SW 0.26mi 3/1.0 978 (-13%) 8mo $66,500 $68 60
1657 19th Pl 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,074 (-4%) 3mo $40,000 $37 58
2200 Fulton Ave SW 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,205 (+7%) 7mo $42,000 $35 53
213 SW 22nd St 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,260 (+12%) 8mo $110,000 $87 51
2724 Lee Ave SW 0.52mi 3/1.0 960 (-14%) 1mo $72,000 $75 51
201 21st St SW 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,258 (+12%) 8mo $30,000 $24 46
1524 Elm St SW 0.70mi 3/1.0 960 (-14%) 1mo $43,000 $45 42
4929 Avenue R 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 962 (-14%) 5mo $43,000 $45 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.7%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$5,363
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
12.3%
Equity multiple
1.84×
Total profit
$21,214
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35211

Rents YoY
-0.0%
Active inventory
155
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,206 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $903/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$368

Break-even live

Break-even rent $739
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $419 -5% $394 +0% $368 +5% $343 +10% $318
Rent -10% $273 -5% $321 +0% $368 +5% $416 +10% $464
Rate -1.0pp $414 -0.5pp $391 base $368 +0.5pp $345 +1.0pp $321

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
914 21st St SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 784 $1,200 $1.53 23d 1 0.09mi
1209 19th Pl SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,275 $1.21 46d 1 0.19mi
2304 Beulah Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1283 $1,025 $0.80 4d 1 0.21mi
1228 19th Pl SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 978 $1,195 $1.22 5d 1 0.24mi
1252 18th Pl SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,000 $1.05 18d 1 0.27mi
407 S Park Rd SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1050 $900 $0.86 46d 1 0.28mi
1319 18th Way SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1337 $1,345 $1.01 26d 1 0.29mi
2216 Lee Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 902 $900 $1.00 26d 1 0.39mi
312 25th St SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1159 $1,000 $0.86 26d 1 0.42mi
2026 Lee Ct SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1204 $1,100 $0.91 46d 1 0.42mi
612 26th St SW Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 988 $825 $0.84 46d 1 0.43mi
2409 Garrison Ave SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1000 $1,295 $1.29 46d 1 0.45mi
2519 Saint Charles Ave SW Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 990 $975 $0.98 46d 1 0.47mi
2028 Lee Ter SW Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 884 $695 $0.79 46d 1 0.51mi
208 22nd St SW Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 926 $1,050 $1.13 5d 1 0.51mi
1000 17th Pl SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,275 $1.06 21d 1 0.56mi
2904 Garrison Ave SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 952 $1,050 $1.10 26d 1 0.59mi
1537 18th St SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1049 $1,130 $1.08 46d 1 0.60mi
1544 18th St SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,130 $1.19 46d 1 0.60mi
1520 17th Way SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 23d 1 0.61mi
1520 17th Way SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 14d 1 0.61mi
1734 Lee Ave SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1142 $1,150 $1.01 21d 1 0.61mi
709 30th St SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1273 $1,000 $0.79 46d 1 0.63mi
2128 Mayfield Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1196 $1,200 $1.00 26d 1 0.65mi
1728 Princeton Ave SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1334 $1,300 $0.97 46d 1 0.65mi
1816 Saint Charles Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1395 $1,295 $0.93 26d 1 0.69mi
1669 19th Pl SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1373 $1,325 $0.97 26d 1 0.71mi
1933 Saint Charles Ct SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1106 $1,050 $0.95 26d 1 0.72mi
4929 Avenue R Unit R Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 962 $950 $0.99 46d 1 0.76mi
2516 Powderly Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1236 $1,050 $0.85 46d 1 0.79mi
1620 Alemeda Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1314 $1,295 $0.99 4d 1 0.82mi
1781 51st Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1069 $950 $0.89 46d 1 0.84mi
2709 Powderly Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1056 $950 $0.90 26d 1 0.84mi
4825 Avenue S Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1310 $1,050 $0.80 18d 1 0.85mi
2005 Snavely Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1380 $1,150 $0.83 46d 1 0.87mi
4813 Court S Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1118 $1,125 $1.01 46d 1 0.88mi
5211 Ter Q Unit Q Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 756 $775 $1.03 46d 1 0.89mi
3116 Steiner Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1362 $1,200 $0.88 46d 1 0.91mi
4801 Avenue S Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1310 $1,000 $0.76 46d 1 0.91mi
5320 Ter Q Unit Q Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1116 $1,250 $1.12 46d 1 0.91mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $89,900 Active 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $89,900 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 16 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 15 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 13 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,900 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 5 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    remarks 193-char remark
  13. 2026-06-03
    listed $89,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$903 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$903 · $75/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,471
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$903
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,158
− Management
−$1,158
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$3,152
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$756
After-tax cash flow
$3,665/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Birmingham City
NCES district ID
0100390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,988
Composite
9.49/100
National rank
#9850
State rank
#116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

Score
67/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Birmingham, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
210,422
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
24,924
Household income
$34,884
Rent vs Own
59.7% rent · 40.3% own
Severe rent burden
2161.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 77% White 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.29%
Current HPI
91.2903
Rent YoY
▬ -0.01%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $89,900 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

+12.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $903 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…