Duplex
182 Beach 97th St · New York, NY
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.98%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.3/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- ARV discount +3.8/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$979,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
, Additional information: Interior Features:Lr/Dr
Key facts
- Private terrace
- Converted garage
- Finished basement
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.8-bath units multifamily listed at $979k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-75 ($-897/yr) — negative. Per door: $-37/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $966k (1.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $763k (22.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $763k (22.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $105k of equity ($7k loan paydown + $98k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $274k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$168k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($964k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $380k; list at $979k implies a 158% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.04%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $905,509
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-16 Beach 98 St | 0.09mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,902 (+0%) | 4mo | $907,000 | $313 | 76 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.93×
- Total profit
- $528,133
- Equity at exit
- $881,961
- IRR
- 21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.69×
- Total profit
- $1,558,427
- Equity at exit
- $1,901,982
Cash invested: $274,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11693
- Home prices YoY
- 17.7%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 21.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,628 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,134
- Tax from tax record
- −$493 /mo · $5,911/yr
- Insurance
- −$408
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,602
- Net cashflow
- $-75
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 2.8 | $7,628 |
| #1 | 2 | 2.8 | $3,814 |
| #2 | 2 | 2.8 | $3,814 |
| Total (2 units) | $7,628 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $244,750
- Closing costs
- $29,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-27R Beach 99th St Rockaway Park, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2208 | $3,500 | $1.59 | 25d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 75-18 Aquatic Dr Unit B Arverne, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2034 | $3,500 | $1.72 | 25d | 1 | 0.82mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-03-02status Pending
-
2026-02-02$979,000 Active
-
2022-04-18price $2,500
-
2014-06-18historical
-
2014-06-17soldstatus $380,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (49 chars)
, Additional information: Interior Features:Lr/Dr
-
2014-06-17soldstatus $380,000 49-char remark
Show marketing remark (49 chars)
, Additional information: Interior Features:Lr/Dr
-
2014-03-18status Under Contract
-
2014-02-03$385,000 New
Show marketing remark (49 chars)
, Additional information: Interior Features:Lr/Dr
-
2014-02-03$385,000 49-char remark
Show marketing remark (49 chars)
, Additional information: Interior Features:Lr/Dr
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,911 · $493/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,228 · $936/mo
- Expected delta
- +$5,317/yr (+$443/mo · 90.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 98% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $91,536
- − Mortgage interest
- −$54,839
- − Property taxes
- −$5,911
- − Insurance
- −$5,692
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,323
- − Management
- −$7,323
- − Depreciation
- −$28,480
- Taxable loss
- −$18,032
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,328
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,430/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,066
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 4% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 4% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 16% Russian/Polish/Slavic 8% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 121.58%
- Current HPI
- 807.44
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+154.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-02 Pending — BNYMLS
- 2026-02-02 Listed $979,000 BNYMLS
- 2022-04-18 Price Changed $2,500 RENT.
- 2014-06-18 Delisted — MLSLI
- 2014-06-17 Sold (MLS) $380,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-17 Sold (MLS) $380,000 MLSLI
- 2014-03-18 Pending — MLSLI
- 2014-02-03 Listed $385,000 MLSLI
- 2014-02-03 Listed $385,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $5,911 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…