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3520 Boulder Ave
B- Composite 68.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

3520 Boulder Ave · Odessa, TX 79762
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,044 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 25 Days on market
Built 1959 7,448 sqft lot Est $182k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Wow!!! What a deal, price just reduced to sell. nice house in great eastside neighborhood. Bring all offers!!!!

Key facts

  • 7,448 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1959

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; Parking pad; 1 covered parking space (1 total parking space)
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Propane available
  • Home design: Single-family residential property
  • Construction: Brick veneer construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built on a 0.17-acre lot
  • Exterior features: Wood fencing; Paved road access; Solar panels

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Tile floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Electric water heater; Microwave; Refrigerator; None (no fireplace)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $405 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#132 in TX, #3,928 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities D.
  • Ector County ISD (urban): math 22% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #707 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Blanton El (math 33% / reading 34%, grade F, #2,174 of 4,322 statewide, top 51%, 502 students, 71% FRL); Nimitz Middle (math 29% / reading 36%, grade F, #947 of 1,662 statewide, top 58%, 1,303 students, 51% FRL); Permian H S (math 19% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,333 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 3,978 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 58% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 267 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,004 units permitted in Ector County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ector County population projected at +78% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $147,750 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
9.53%
Cash-on-cash
11.57%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$181,656
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2908 Dawn Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,152 (+10%) 23mo $199,900 $174 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.36% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.8%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-1,302
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
7.1%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$20,997
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79762

Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
267
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,697 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$86 /mo · $1,036/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$356
Net cashflow
$405

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,184
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $490 -5% $447 +0% $405 +5% $363 +10% $320
Rent -10% $271 -5% $338 +0% $405 +5% $472 +10% $539
Rate -1.0pp $481 -0.5pp $443 base $405 +0.5pp $366 +1.0pp $327

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 31 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3616 E 30th St Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1436 $1,995 $1.39 45d 1 0.34mi
2608 Cumberland Rd Odessa, TX 2.0 2.0 1404 $1,500 $1.07 14d 1 0.40mi
3824 Englewood Cir Odessa, TX 2.0 1.5 1150 $1,295 $1.13 14d 1 0.49mi
3902 Englewood Cir Odessa, TX 2.0 1.5 1280 $1,445 $1.13 14d 1 0.54mi
3904 Englewood Cir Odessa, TX 2.0 1.0 1280 $1,445 $1.13 14d 1 0.54mi
3907 Englewood Cir Odessa, TX 2.0 1.5 1170 $1,395 $1.19 14d 1 0.56mi
3802 Englewood Cir Odessa, TX 2.0 1.5 1150 $1,295 $1.13 14d 1 0.56mi
3939 Tanglewood Ln Odessa, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 825 $1,595 $1.93 14d 9 0.60mi
2901 Nabors Ln Odessa, TX 3.0 1.0 1374 $1,800 $1.31 22d 1 0.66mi
4217 Redbud Ave Odessa, TX 3.0 1.5 1203 $2,200 $1.83 14d 1 0.75mi
4233 Bonham Ave Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1144 $1,600 $1.40 45d 1 0.81mi
2701 Pagewood Ave Odessa, TX 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,615 $1.61 22d 1 0.85mi
3843 Penbrook St Odessa, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 885 $1,584 $1.79 22d 17 0.85mi
3843 Penbrook St Odessa, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 885 $1,584 $1.79 14d 24 0.85mi
4256 Bonham Ave Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1261 $1,600 $1.27 22d 1 0.88mi
2826 Hilltop Dr Odessa, TX 4.0 2.0 1307 $2,000 $1.53 14d 1 0.92mi
4315 Esmond Dr Odessa, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 839 $1,550 $1.85 22d 22 1.00mi
2702 S Colonial Dr Odessa, TX 3.0 1.0 1490 $1,500 $1.01 14d 1 1.14mi
2705 Cambridge St Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1456 $2,400 $1.65 22d 1 1.15mi
1409 E 23rd St Odessa, TX 2.0 1.0 1032 $2,400 $2.33 45d 1 1.18mi
1813 Petroleum Dr Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1299 $1,700 $1.31 22d 1 1.25mi
4600 Oakwood Dr Odessa, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 712 $1,500 $2.11 14d 19 1.25mi
1212 E Century Ave Odessa, TX 3.0 1.0 1359 $1,300 $0.96 22d 1 1.29mi
2220 E 52nd St Odessa, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 959 $1,770 $1.85 14d 7 1.33mi
2230 E 52nd St Unit B1 Odessa, TX 2.0 1.5 972 $1,450 $1.49 22d 1 1.35mi
3624 Walnut Ave Odessa, TX 3.0 1.0 1488 $1,950 $1.31 45d 1 1.36mi
1804 Cord St Odessa, TX 3.0 1.0 960 $1,700 $1.77 45d 1 1.38mi
4136 E 52nd St Odessa, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 839 $1,620 $1.93 14d 21 1.42mi
4675 Oakwood Dr Odessa, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 875 $1,550 $1.77 14d 7 1.42mi
1202 E 42nd St Odessa, TX 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,650 $1.50 45d 1 1.43mi
5335 N Grandview Ave Odessa, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 792 $1,275 $1.61 45d 5 1.45mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $150,000 Active 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $150,000 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 19 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $150,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $150,000 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $150,000 Active 3 DOM
  17. 2026-05-27
    listed $150,000 Active
  18. 2015-04-28
    soldstatus
  19. 2009-11-16
    soldstatus
  20. 2009-11-10
    soldstatus 111-char remark
    Show marketing remark (111 chars)

    Wow!!! What a deal, price just reduced to sell. nice house in great eastside neighborhood. Bring all offers!!!!

  21. 2009-01-29
    listed $87,500 111-char remark
    Show marketing remark (111 chars)

    Wow!!! What a deal, price just reduced to sell. nice house in great eastside neighborhood. Bring all offers!!!!

  22. 2007-08-29
    soldstatus
  23. 1995-04-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,036 · $86/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,745 · $229/mo
Expected delta
+$1,709/yr (+$142/mo · 165.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,361
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$1,036
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,629
− Management
−$1,629
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$2,552
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$612
After-tax cash flow
$4,248/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ector County ISD
NCES district ID
4818000
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$52,740
Composite
21.89/100
National rank
#8233
State rank
#707 of 826 in TX

Livability — Odessa

Score
75/100
State rank
#132
US rank
#3928

Category grades

Amenities D Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Odessa, TX
County
Ector County · 131,169 people
City population
131,169
Metro
Odessa, TX
Population (ZIP)
39,927
Household income
$75,272
Rent vs Own
44.1% rent · 55.9% own
Severe rent burden
1477.0

Population outlook (Ector County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
212,765 people
By 2030
241,962 · +13.7%
By 2040
306,582 · +44.1%
By 2050
379,755 · +78.5%
By 2075
568,991 · +167.4%
By 2100
709,829 · +233.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 52% White 38% Two or more races 22% Black 6% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 45% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
68% English-only · Spanish 30%

Political lean MEDSL · Ector

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.9) · D 23.2% · R 76.1%
2008→2024 swing
-4.9pp toward R · 2008: -48.0pp · 2024: -52.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.9 2020: R+47.8 2016: R+40.6 2012: R+48.9 2008: R+48.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -194.97%
Current HPI
229.6022
Rent YoY
▲ 1.36%
Metro
Odessa, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+71.4% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $150,000 ODMLS
  • 2015-04-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2009-11-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2009-11-10 Sold (MLS) ODMLS
  • 2009-01-29 Listed $87,500 ODMLS
  • 2007-08-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1995-04-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,036 · -57.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…