1597 Alamo Dr #144 · Vacaville, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 21 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This well-loved home sits in a tucked away nice Senior park with a pool, spa, club house and pool tables. Home has new flooring throughout as well as fresh interior paint. This cozy bright home is ready to move into.
Key facts
- Covered deck
- Newer stove
- Galley-style kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Land lease amount listed
- HOA & community: No association; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: Public sewer; No on-site power production (no solar)
- Home design: Manufactured in park; Double wide
- Construction: Fleetwood Sandalwood model; Skirt: Other
- Exterior features: Located in a manufactured home park (Skylark); Land lease community
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Laundry hookups only; Tub with shower over
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups (hookups only)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $846 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $143k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 3.0% in Vacaville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#88 in CA, #3,156 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, cost of living F.
- Vacaville Unified (suburban): math 37% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #522 of 1,400 in CA (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 263 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,472 units permitted in Solano County in 2024 (131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Solano County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $89k; list at $145k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.01%
- DSCR
- 2.11
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $199,296
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Calle Francisca | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (0%) | 13mo | $80,000 | $69 | 73 |
| 1597 Alamo Dr #187 | 0.01mi | 2/2.0 | 1,250 (+8%) | 21mo | $193,000 | $154 | 68 |
| 61 Calle Chapala | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (0%) | 8mo | $179,900 | $156 | 66 |
| 123 Calle Chapultepec St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (0%) | 12mo | $220,000 | $191 | 65 |
| 1597 Alamo Dr #157 | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,293 (+12%) | 16mo | $199,000 | $154 | 60 |
| 91 Calle Jalisco | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+8%) | 1mo | $229,000 | $183 | 59 |
| 118 Calle Chapultepec | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+8%) | 3mo | $186,000 | $149 | 58 |
| 68 Calle Chapala | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (0%) | 23mo | $188,000 | $163 | 54 |
| 121 Calle Chapultepec | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+8%) | 10mo | $234,000 | $188 | 53 |
| 163 Avenida Hidalgo Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,213 (+5%) | 23mo | $210,000 | $173 | 47 |
| 110 Calle Jalisco | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,222 (+6%) | 24mo | $230,000 | $188 | 45 |
| 110 Calle Jalisco | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,222 (+6%) | 24mo | $230,000 | $188 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $23,568
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.57×
- Total profit
- $63,555
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95687
- Rents YoY
- -0.6%
- Active inventory
- 263
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,339 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$491
- Net cashflow
- $846
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $946 | -5% $896 | +0% $846 | +5% $796 | +10% $746 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $661 | -5% $754 | +0% $846 | +5% $938 | +10% $1,031 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $919 | -0.5pp $883 | base $846 | +0.5pp $808 | +1.0pp $770 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1567 Alamo Dr #22 Vacaville, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1797 Brookwood Dr Vacaville, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1258 | $2,800 | $2.23 | 14d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1510 Alamo Dr Vacaville, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1047 | $2,425 | $2.32 | 14d | 2 | 0.22mi |
| 2001 Eastwood Dr Vacaville, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,950 | $2.18 | 24d | 2 | 0.49mi |
| 1970 Peabody Rd #4 Vacaville, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 819 | $1,800 | $2.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 999 Marshall Rd Vacaville, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 847 | $2,482 | $2.93 | 14d | 8 | 0.61mi |
| 591 Peabody Rd Vacaville, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 735 | $2,339 | $3.18 | 14d | 13 | 0.64mi |
| 343 Moon River Pl Vacaville, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 893 | $2,720 | $3.05 | 14d | 22 | 0.64mi |
| 945 Davis St Vacaville, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,800 | $2.24 | 14d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 901 Sara Ct Vacaville, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 643 | $2,475 | $3.85 | 14d | 14 | 0.90mi |
| 361 Gabiano Ct Vacaville, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1229 | $3,000 | $2.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 212 Stonyford Dr Vacaville, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $3,000 | $2.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 148 Peabody Rd Vacaville, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1046 | $2,998 | $2.86 | 3d | 15 | 1.02mi |
| 293 Shasta Dr Vacaville, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 735 | $2,250 | $3.06 | 14d | 5 | 1.04mi |
| 520 McKnight Ln Vacaville, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1129 | $2,895 | $2.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 500 Elizabeth St Unit C Vacaville, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,995 | $2.49 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 116 Elm St Vacaville, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 948 | $2,100 | $2.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 300 Bel Air Dr Vacaville, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 773 | $2,350 | $3.04 | 14d | 9 | 1.25mi |
| 812 Beelard Dr Vacaville, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $2,150 | $3.19 | 14d | 2 | 1.27mi |
| 1101 Farmington Dr Vacaville, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,213 | $2.46 | 14d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 199 Aegean Way Vacaville, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,975 | $2.71 | 2d | 7 | 1.32mi |
| 432 Zachary Dr Vacaville, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,850 | $2.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1701 Marshall Rd Vacaville, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 836 | $2,496 | $2.99 | 14d | 10 | 1.34mi |
| 800 El Camino Ave Vacaville, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 899 | $1,795 | $2.00 | 13d | 2 | 1.39mi |
| 209 Aegean Way Vacaville, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 760 | $2,275 | $2.99 | 2d | 12 | 1.40mi |
| 111 Woodbury Cir Unit 113 Vacaville, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,400 | $2.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1000 Allison Dr Vacaville, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 990 | $3,100 | $3.13 | 14d | 15 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $145,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $145,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $145,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $145,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-20$145,000 Active
-
2016-11-07soldstatus $89,000 Sold 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
This well-loved home sits in a tucked away nice Senior park with a pool, spa, club house and pool tables. Home has new flooring throughout as well as fresh interior paint. This cozy bright home is ready to move into.
-
2016-10-21historical Contingent 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
This well-loved home sits in a tucked away nice Senior park with a pool, spa, club house and pool tables. Home has new flooring throughout as well as fresh interior paint. This cozy bright home is ready to move into.
-
2016-10-18$89,000 Active 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
This well-loved home sits in a tucked away nice Senior park with a pool, spa, club house and pool tables. Home has new flooring throughout as well as fresh interior paint. This cozy bright home is ready to move into.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 21 unhealthy d/yr today · 22 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,072
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$2,175
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,246
- − Management
- −$2,246
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $8,340
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,002
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,151/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vacaville Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0640590
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,383
- Composite
- 42.48/100
- National rank
- #6877
- State rank
- #522 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Vacaville
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #88
- US rank
- #3156
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vacaville, CA
- County
- Solano County · 433,239 people
- City population
- 109,591
- Metro
- Vallejo, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 69,390
- Household income
- $109,566
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1761.0
Population outlook (Solano County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 478,685 people
- By 2030
- 497,974 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 528,515 · +10.4%
- By 2050
- 549,115 · +14.7%
- By 2075
- 587,229 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 571,378 · +19.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 13% Black 10% Asian 10% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 13% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 12% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Solano
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.0) · D 60.0% · R 37.1% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 23.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.0 2020: D+30.3 2016: D+30.5 2012: D+28.1 2008: D+28.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -299.59%
- Current HPI
- 268.0777
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.55%
- Metro
- Vallejo, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+62.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $145,000 BAREIS
- 2016-11-07 Sold (MLS) $89,000 BAREIS
- 2016-10-21 Contingent — BAREIS
- 2016-10-18 Listed $89,000 BAREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…