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2934 Brentwood Dr
B Composite 71.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +9.6/10.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0

$89,900

2934 Brentwood Dr · Grand Marsh, WI 53936
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · Other · 206 Days on market
Built 1979 2.22 ac lot $107/sqft · 36% below area Est $141k · 36% under ↓ 20% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 Lots! 020-01918-0000, 1917 and 1919 totaling 2.22 acres. Nice quiet subdivision 20 minutes from Wisconsin Dells! This 1979 singlewide mobile home is on one lot and then the other 2 lots are on each side. No neighbors on top of you!

Key facts

  • 3 lots
  • Quiet subdivision
  • 2.22 acres

Tags

3 LOTS2.22 ACRESQUIET SUBDIVISION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $175 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($908 rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#703 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D, schools F.
  • Adams-Friendship Area School District (rural): math 22% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #331 of 342 in WI (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 126 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (9.2% local appreciation)).
  • Adams County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (9.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 206 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 206 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
8.62%
Cash-on-cash
8.33%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$140,514
List price
$89,900
Delta
-36.02%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

9.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.7%
Equity multiple
3.19×
Total profit
$55,057
Equity at exit
$75,673
10-year hold
IRR
25.2%
Equity multiple
7.05×
Total profit
$152,229
Equity at exit
$157,847

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 53936

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
16
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$908 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $406/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$191
Net cashflow
$175

Break-even live

Break-even rent $687
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $89,900 Pending 206 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,900 Active 205 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 204 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 203 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 202 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    pricedays on market $89,900 Active 201 DOM
  7. 2026-05-10
    price $99,900 233-char remark
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    3 Lots! 020-01918-0000, 1917 and 1919 totaling 2.22 acres. Nice quiet subdivision 20 minutes from Wisconsin Dells! This 1979 singlewide mobile home is on one lot and then the other 2 lots are on each side. No neighbors on top of you!

  8. 2026-03-28
    status Active 233-char remark
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    3 Lots! 020-01918-0000, 1917 and 1919 totaling 2.22 acres. Nice quiet subdivision 20 minutes from Wisconsin Dells! This 1979 singlewide mobile home is on one lot and then the other 2 lots are on each side. No neighbors on top of you!

  9. 2026-03-10
    historical Offer Show 233-char remark
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    3 Lots! 020-01918-0000, 1917 and 1919 totaling 2.22 acres. Nice quiet subdivision 20 minutes from Wisconsin Dells! This 1979 singlewide mobile home is on one lot and then the other 2 lots are on each side. No neighbors on top of you!

  10. 2025-12-24
    price $112,500 233-char remark
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    3 Lots! 020-01918-0000, 1917 and 1919 totaling 2.22 acres. Nice quiet subdivision 20 minutes from Wisconsin Dells! This 1979 singlewide mobile home is on one lot and then the other 2 lots are on each side. No neighbors on top of you!

  11. 2025-11-09
    listed $125,000 Active 233-char remark
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    3 Lots! 020-01918-0000, 1917 and 1919 totaling 2.22 acres. Nice quiet subdivision 20 minutes from Wisconsin Dells! This 1979 singlewide mobile home is on one lot and then the other 2 lots are on each side. No neighbors on top of you!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$406 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,034 · $86/mo
Expected delta
+$629/yr (+$52/mo · 155.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,897
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$406
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$872
− Management
−$872
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$647
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$155
After-tax cash flow
$1,941/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Adams-Friendship Area School District
NCES district ID
5500060
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$38,165
Composite
17.22/100
National rank
#9100
State rank
#331 of 342 in WI

Livability — Grand Marsh

Score
60/100
State rank
#703
US rank
#19092

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,174

Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,560 people
By 2030
17,523 · -5.6%
By 2040
14,888 · -19.8%
By 2050
12,359 · -33.4%
By 2075
8,662 · -53.3%
By 2100
6,000 · -67.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Portuguese 8% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Adams

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.8) · D 34.6% · R 60.4% · Other 5.0%
2008→2024 swing
-44.2pp toward R · 2008: 18.3pp · 2024: -25.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.8 2020: R+25.7 2016: R+21.8 2012: D+8.7 2008: D+18.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.18%
Current HPI
268.0272
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-20.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-10 Price Changed $99,900 SCWMLS
  • 2026-03-28 Relisted SCWMLS
  • 2026-03-10 Contingent SCWMLS
  • 2025-12-24 Price Changed $112,500 SCWMLS
  • 2025-11-09 Listed $125,000 SCWMLS

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $406 · +35.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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