318 Lee Ave · Poplar Bluff, MO 63901

$115,900

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,280 sqft · Other public records · 17 Days on market

Built 1970 1.09 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +25.5/30.0
• DSCR +8.5/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.7/10.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Charming brick home located in the desirable Peaceful Acres Subdivision, built in 1970 and offering 1,280 square feet of comfortable living space. This property features 3 bedrooms, 1½ bathrooms, a one-car attached carport, and a one-car detached garage, all situated on a spacious 1-acre lot. This home is being offered for sale in as-is condition.

Key facts

• 1.09 acre lot
• Garage
• Built 1970

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Above-grade finished area reported as 1,280 (assessor)
• Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

• Parking: 2 parking spaces total; Detached 14x24 garage (1-car); 1-car carport
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity with 220 volts; Natural gas connected; Utilities: electricity, natural gas, sewer connected; water available
• Home design: Single-family house; One level
• Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Metal roof
• Exterior features: Enclosed rear porch; Back yard and front yard; Level, rectangular lot; Adjoins common ground; Asphalt road frontage (county road)

Interior

• Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Electric water heater
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Double-pane windows; Crawl space basement
• Laundry & utility: Washer included; Electric dryer hookup inside on the main level; 6x6 utility room

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $116k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $146 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $116k).
• Recommended offer: $114k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.4% in Poplar Bluff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#143 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Poplar Bluff R-I (town): math 38% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #127 of 324 in MO (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Lake Road Elem. (math 48% / reading 55%, grade C-, #268 of 1,115 statewide, top 24%, 305 students, 99% FRL); Poplar Bluff High (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #356 of 521 statewide, top 71%, 1,504 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 56% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 274 active listings in the ZIP; 63 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $801 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Butler County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $114,161 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.07% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.10%
• Cash-on-cash: 10.03%
• DSCR: 1.45
• GRM: 7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -7.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.71×
• Total profit: $-9,443
• Equity at exit: $17,281

10-year hold

• IRR: 1.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.12×
• Total profit: $3,907
• Equity at exit: $10,021

Cash invested: $32,452 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 63901

• Home prices YoY: -22.4%
• Active inventory: 274
• Price-to-rent: 7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,239 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$608
• Tax from tax record: −$51 /mo · $617/yr
• Insurance: −$48
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$260
• Net cashflow: $146

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,054

Max offer price $115,900

Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $28,975
• Closing costs: $3,477
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 13 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $115,900 Active 17 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   price $115,900 Active 16 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $119,900 Active 16 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $119,900 Active 15 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $119,900 Active 14 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $119,900 Active 12 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   days on market $119,900 Active 11 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $119,900 Active 8 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $119,900 Active 7 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 6 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $119,900 Active 2 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    remarks 349-char remark
13. 2026-06-01
    listed $119,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $617 · $51/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,124 · $94/mo
• Expected delta: +$507/yr (+$42/mo · 82.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone A · 73% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,867
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,492
• − Property taxes: −$617
• − Insurance: −$2,082
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,189
• − Management: −$1,189
• − Depreciation: −$3,372
• Taxable loss: −$75
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$18
• After-tax cash flow: $1,770/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Poplar Bluff R-I
• NCES district ID: 2925450
• Math proficiency: 38% ▼ -4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 47% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $35,761
• Composite: 35.17/100
• National rank: #5001
• State rank: #127 of 324 in MO

Livability — Poplar Bluff

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #143
• US rank: #8135

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 34,920
• Population (ZIP): 34,920

Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 42,648 people
• By 2030: 42,329 · -0.7%
• By 2040: 41,498 · -2.7%
• By 2050: 40,308 · -5.5%
• By 2075: 36,168 · -15.2%
• By 2100: 28,893 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (85%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 85% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Butler

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+63.8) · D 17.7% · R 81.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -26.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.4pp · 2024: -63.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+63.8 2020: R+62.3 2016: R+61.6 2012: R+46.7 2008: R+37.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -50.64%
• Current HPI: 175.3008
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-01 Listed $119,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $617 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.