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453 S Dearborn Ave
D+ Composite 48.95
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.7/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$137,000

453 S Dearborn Ave · Bradley, IL 60915
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,009 sqft · SingleFamily · 218 Days on market
Built 1930 6,000 sqft lot Est $181k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Ranch in move in condition with updated flooring and freshly painted! Great enclosed front porch makes a great place to take off shoes and coats. Very open floor plan with L shaped Living/Dining room totally open to the Kitchen with a large snack bar with 3 stools. Amazing outdoor space with huge patio, privacy fenced yard and large shed 16x22! Thermal pane windows 2020, Roof approximately 4 years, 2 window air conditioners stay. "As Is" sale. Property shows well but no FHA/VA

Key facts

  • 6,000 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1930

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property not currently leased; Possession at closing
  • HOA & community: No required master association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (2 garage spaces, 2 total parking spaces); Owned garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story
  • Construction: Built approximately 91-100 years ago; Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Fee simple ownership
  • Exterior features: 40 x 150 lot; Less than 0.25 acre lot; School bus service

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom (main level); Second bedroom (main level)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring in main living areas and bedrooms; Carpet in enclosed porch
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas and electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Enclosed porch; 4 total rooms; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $137k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $36 ($434/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (4.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.5% in Bradley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#569 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities D, schools F.
  • Bradley Bourbonnais Chsd 307 (suburban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #413 of 620 in IL (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 145 units permitted in Kankakee County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $947 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kankakee County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 218 days — a 12% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $82k; list at $137k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $120,560 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 218 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
6.61%
Cash-on-cash
1.13%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$180,611
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
171 N Fulton Ave 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (-1%) 9mo $95,000 $95 61
235 S Douglas Ave 0.39mi 1/1.0 (-1) 912 (-10%) 8mo $92,460 $101 54
505 W Brookmont Blvd 0.51mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,090 (+8%) 5mo $145,000 $133 52
148 S Grand Ave 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,085 (+8%) 9mo $199,900 $184 51
284 N Clinton Ave 0.70mi 2/1.0 1,100 (+9%) 2mo $191,000 $174 51
154 S Fulton Ave 0.41mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,120 (+11%) 8mo $199,500 $178 49
459 N Wabash Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,040 (+3%) 9mo $125,000 $120 49
236 N Michigan Ave 0.48mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,102 (+9%) 8mo $197,500 $179 48
311 S Cleveland Ave 0.71mi 3/2.0 (+1) 960 (-5%) 3mo $175,000 $182 47
233 S Randolph Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 896 (-11%) 8mo $168,500 $188 45
184 S Douglas Ave 0.46mi 3/2.0 (+1) 868 (-14%) 5mo $175,000 $202 42
821 N Rosewood Ave 0.71mi 3/2.0 (+1) 938 (-7%) 9mo $180,000 $192 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.4%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-19,842
Equity at exit
$20,427
10-year hold
IRR
-5.7%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-14,099
Equity at exit
$11,845

Cash invested: $38,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60915

Active inventory
21
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,310 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$718
Tax from tax record
$223 /mo · $2,681/yr
Insurance
$57
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$36

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,265
Max offer price $137,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $114 -5% $75 +0% $36 +5% $-3 +10% $-41
Rent -10% $-67 -5% $-16 +0% $36 +5% $88 +10% $140
Rate -1.0pp $105 -0.5pp $71 base $36 +0.5pp $1 +1.0pp $-35

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,250
Closing costs
$4,110
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1017 N Schuyler Ave Unit 3 Kankakee, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,375 $1.72 44d 1 0.46mi
243 S 5th Ave Unit 247 Kankakee, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 44d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $137,000 Active 218 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $137,000 Active 217 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $137,000 Active 216 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $137,000 Active 215 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $137,000 Active 214 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $137,000 Active 212 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $137,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 211 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $137,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 209 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $137,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 208 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $137,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 207 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $137,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 206 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $137,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 203 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $137,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 201 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $137,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 200 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $137,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 199 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $137,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 198 DOM
  17. 2026-04-12
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  18. 2026-03-09
    price $137,000
  19. 2026-02-04
    price $142,000
  20. 2026-01-21
    price $148,900
  21. 2025-12-21
    price $149,900
  22. 2025-12-08
    price $153,900
  23. 2025-11-20
    price $156,900
  24. 2025-11-13
    listed $159,900 Active
  25. 2023-01-13
    historical 497-char remark
    Show marketing remark (497 chars)

    Ranch in move in condition with updated flooring and freshly painted! Great enclosed front porch makes a great place to take off shoes and coats. Very open floor plan with L shaped Living/Dining room totally open to the Kitchen with a large snack bar with 3 stools. Amazing outdoor space with huge patio, privacy fenced yard and large shed 16x22! Thermal pane windows 2020, Roof approximately 4 years, 2 window air conditioners stay. "As Is" sale. Property shows well but no FHA/VA

  26. 2023-01-12
    soldstatus $82,000 Closed 497-char remark
    Show marketing remark (497 chars)

    Ranch in move in condition with updated flooring and freshly painted! Great enclosed front porch makes a great place to take off shoes and coats. Very open floor plan with L shaped Living/Dining room totally open to the Kitchen with a large snack bar with 3 stools. Amazing outdoor space with huge patio, privacy fenced yard and large shed 16x22! Thermal pane windows 2020, Roof approximately 4 years, 2 window air conditioners stay. "As Is" sale. Property shows well but no FHA/VA

  27. 2022-12-12
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show 497-char remark
    Show marketing remark (497 chars)

    Ranch in move in condition with updated flooring and freshly painted! Great enclosed front porch makes a great place to take off shoes and coats. Very open floor plan with L shaped Living/Dining room totally open to the Kitchen with a large snack bar with 3 stools. Amazing outdoor space with huge patio, privacy fenced yard and large shed 16x22! Thermal pane windows 2020, Roof approximately 4 years, 2 window air conditioners stay. "As Is" sale. Property shows well but no FHA/VA

  28. 2022-11-11
    price $95,000 497-char remark
    Show marketing remark (497 chars)

    Ranch in move in condition with updated flooring and freshly painted! Great enclosed front porch makes a great place to take off shoes and coats. Very open floor plan with L shaped Living/Dining room totally open to the Kitchen with a large snack bar with 3 stools. Amazing outdoor space with huge patio, privacy fenced yard and large shed 16x22! Thermal pane windows 2020, Roof approximately 4 years, 2 window air conditioners stay. "As Is" sale. Property shows well but no FHA/VA

  29. 2022-10-17
    price $99,900 497-char remark
    Show marketing remark (497 chars)

    Ranch in move in condition with updated flooring and freshly painted! Great enclosed front porch makes a great place to take off shoes and coats. Very open floor plan with L shaped Living/Dining room totally open to the Kitchen with a large snack bar with 3 stools. Amazing outdoor space with huge patio, privacy fenced yard and large shed 16x22! Thermal pane windows 2020, Roof approximately 4 years, 2 window air conditioners stay. "As Is" sale. Property shows well but no FHA/VA

  30. 2022-10-03
    price $107,000 497-char remark
    Show marketing remark (497 chars)

    Ranch in move in condition with updated flooring and freshly painted! Great enclosed front porch makes a great place to take off shoes and coats. Very open floor plan with L shaped Living/Dining room totally open to the Kitchen with a large snack bar with 3 stools. Amazing outdoor space with huge patio, privacy fenced yard and large shed 16x22! Thermal pane windows 2020, Roof approximately 4 years, 2 window air conditioners stay. "As Is" sale. Property shows well but no FHA/VA

  31. 2022-09-19
    price $110,900 497-char remark
    Show marketing remark (497 chars)

    Ranch in move in condition with updated flooring and freshly painted! Great enclosed front porch makes a great place to take off shoes and coats. Very open floor plan with L shaped Living/Dining room totally open to the Kitchen with a large snack bar with 3 stools. Amazing outdoor space with huge patio, privacy fenced yard and large shed 16x22! Thermal pane windows 2020, Roof approximately 4 years, 2 window air conditioners stay. "As Is" sale. Property shows well but no FHA/VA

  32. 2022-09-14
    price $112,900 497-char remark
    Show marketing remark (497 chars)

    Ranch in move in condition with updated flooring and freshly painted! Great enclosed front porch makes a great place to take off shoes and coats. Very open floor plan with L shaped Living/Dining room totally open to the Kitchen with a large snack bar with 3 stools. Amazing outdoor space with huge patio, privacy fenced yard and large shed 16x22! Thermal pane windows 2020, Roof approximately 4 years, 2 window air conditioners stay. "As Is" sale. Property shows well but no FHA/VA

  33. 2022-08-22
    listed $114,900 Active 497-char remark
    Show marketing remark (497 chars)

    Ranch in move in condition with updated flooring and freshly painted! Great enclosed front porch makes a great place to take off shoes and coats. Very open floor plan with L shaped Living/Dining room totally open to the Kitchen with a large snack bar with 3 stools. Amazing outdoor space with huge patio, privacy fenced yard and large shed 16x22! Thermal pane windows 2020, Roof approximately 4 years, 2 window air conditioners stay. "As Is" sale. Property shows well but no FHA/VA

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,681 · $223/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,896 · $241/mo
Expected delta
+$214/yr (+$18/mo · 8.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,724
− Mortgage interest
−$7,674
− Property taxes
−$2,681
− Insurance
−$685
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,258
− Management
−$1,258
− Depreciation
−$3,985
Taxable loss
−$1,818
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$436
After-tax cash flow
$871/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bradley Bourbonnais Chsd 307
NCES district ID
1706960
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$59,302
Composite
18.35/100
National rank
#8945
State rank
#413 of 620 in IL

Livability — Bradley

Score
66/100
State rank
#569
US rank
#11945

Category grades

Amenities D Commute B- Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bradley, IL
City population
10,217
Population (ZIP)
10,217

Population outlook (Kankakee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
105,479 people
By 2030
101,792 · -3.5%
By 2040
93,479 · -11.4%
By 2050
85,061 · -19.4%
By 2075
67,314 · -36.2%
By 2100
52,439 · -50.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Lithuanian 6% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kankakee

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.7% · R 59.5% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-25.4pp toward R · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: -20.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.5 2016: R+13.3 2012: R+3.4 2008: D+4.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -136.35%
Current HPI
178.3271
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+19.2% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-12 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $137,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $142,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-21 Price Changed $148,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-21 Price Changed $149,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-08 Price Changed $153,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-20 Price Changed $156,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-13 Listed $159,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-01-13 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-01-12 Sold (MLS) $82,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-12 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-11-11 Price Changed $95,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-10-17 Price Changed $99,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-10-03 Price Changed $107,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-19 Price Changed $110,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-14 Price Changed $112,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-08-22 Listed $114,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,681 · +42.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…