453 S Dearborn Ave · Bradley, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.7/30.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$137,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Ranch in move in condition with updated flooring and freshly painted! Great enclosed front porch makes a great place to take off shoes and coats. Very open floor plan with L shaped Living/Dining room totally open to the Kitchen with a large snack bar with 3 stools. Amazing outdoor space with huge patio, privacy fenced yard and large shed 16x22! Thermal pane windows 2020, Roof approximately 4 years, 2 window air conditioners stay. "As Is" sale. Property shows well but no FHA/VA
Key facts
- 6,000 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1930
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property not currently leased; Possession at closing
- HOA & community: No required master association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (2 garage spaces, 2 total parking spaces); Owned garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story
- Construction: Built approximately 91-100 years ago; Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Fee simple ownership
- Exterior features: 40 x 150 lot; Less than 0.25 acre lot; School bus service
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (main level); Second bedroom (main level)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring in main living areas and bedrooms; Carpet in enclosed porch
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas and electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Enclosed porch; 4 total rooms; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $137k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $36 ($434/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (4.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $121k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.5% in Bradley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#569 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities D, schools F.
- Bradley Bourbonnais Chsd 307 (suburban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #413 of 620 in IL (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 145 units permitted in Kankakee County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $947 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kankakee County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 218 days — a 12% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $82k; list at $137k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 218 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.13%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $180,611
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 171 N Fulton Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-1%) | 9mo | $95,000 | $95 | 61 |
| 235 S Douglas Ave | 0.39mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 912 (-10%) | 8mo | $92,460 | $101 | 54 |
| 505 W Brookmont Blvd | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,090 (+8%) | 5mo | $145,000 | $133 | 52 |
| 148 S Grand Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,085 (+8%) | 9mo | $199,900 | $184 | 51 |
| 284 N Clinton Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 1,100 (+9%) | 2mo | $191,000 | $174 | 51 |
| 154 S Fulton Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,120 (+11%) | 8mo | $199,500 | $178 | 49 |
| 459 N Wabash Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,040 (+3%) | 9mo | $125,000 | $120 | 49 |
| 236 N Michigan Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,102 (+9%) | 8mo | $197,500 | $179 | 48 |
| 311 S Cleveland Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 960 (-5%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $182 | 47 |
| 233 S Randolph Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (-11%) | 8mo | $168,500 | $188 | 45 |
| 184 S Douglas Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 868 (-14%) | 5mo | $175,000 | $202 | 42 |
| 821 N Rosewood Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 938 (-7%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $192 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-19,842
- Equity at exit
- $20,427
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-14,099
- Equity at exit
- $11,845
Cash invested: $38,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60915
- Active inventory
- 21
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,310 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$718
- Tax from tax record
- −$223 /mo · $2,681/yr
- Insurance
- −$57
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$275
- Net cashflow
- $36
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $114 | -5% $75 | +0% $36 | +5% $-3 | +10% $-41 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-67 | -5% $-16 | +0% $36 | +5% $88 | +10% $140 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $105 | -0.5pp $71 | base $36 | +0.5pp $1 | +1.0pp $-35 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,250
- Closing costs
- $4,110
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1017 N Schuyler Ave Unit 3 Kankakee, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,375 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 243 S 5th Ave Unit 247 Kankakee, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $137,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $137,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $137,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $137,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $137,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-14statusdays on market $137,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $137,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 211 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $137,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 209 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $137,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 208 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $137,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 207 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $137,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 206 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $137,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 203 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $137,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 201 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $137,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 200 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $137,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 199 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $137,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 198 DOM
-
2026-04-12historical Contingent - Continue to Show
-
2026-03-09price $137,000
-
2026-02-04price $142,000
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2026-01-21price $148,900
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2025-12-21price $149,900
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2025-12-08price $153,900
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2025-11-20price $156,900
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2025-11-13$159,900 Active
-
2023-01-13historical 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Ranch in move in condition with updated flooring and freshly painted! Great enclosed front porch makes a great place to take off shoes and coats. Very open floor plan with L shaped Living/Dining room totally open to the Kitchen with a large snack bar with 3 stools. Amazing outdoor space with huge patio, privacy fenced yard and large shed 16x22! Thermal pane windows 2020, Roof approximately 4 years, 2 window air conditioners stay. "As Is" sale. Property shows well but no FHA/VA
-
2023-01-12soldstatus $82,000 Closed 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Ranch in move in condition with updated flooring and freshly painted! Great enclosed front porch makes a great place to take off shoes and coats. Very open floor plan with L shaped Living/Dining room totally open to the Kitchen with a large snack bar with 3 stools. Amazing outdoor space with huge patio, privacy fenced yard and large shed 16x22! Thermal pane windows 2020, Roof approximately 4 years, 2 window air conditioners stay. "As Is" sale. Property shows well but no FHA/VA
-
2022-12-12historical Contingent - Continue to Show 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Ranch in move in condition with updated flooring and freshly painted! Great enclosed front porch makes a great place to take off shoes and coats. Very open floor plan with L shaped Living/Dining room totally open to the Kitchen with a large snack bar with 3 stools. Amazing outdoor space with huge patio, privacy fenced yard and large shed 16x22! Thermal pane windows 2020, Roof approximately 4 years, 2 window air conditioners stay. "As Is" sale. Property shows well but no FHA/VA
-
2022-11-11price $95,000 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Ranch in move in condition with updated flooring and freshly painted! Great enclosed front porch makes a great place to take off shoes and coats. Very open floor plan with L shaped Living/Dining room totally open to the Kitchen with a large snack bar with 3 stools. Amazing outdoor space with huge patio, privacy fenced yard and large shed 16x22! Thermal pane windows 2020, Roof approximately 4 years, 2 window air conditioners stay. "As Is" sale. Property shows well but no FHA/VA
-
2022-10-17price $99,900 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Ranch in move in condition with updated flooring and freshly painted! Great enclosed front porch makes a great place to take off shoes and coats. Very open floor plan with L shaped Living/Dining room totally open to the Kitchen with a large snack bar with 3 stools. Amazing outdoor space with huge patio, privacy fenced yard and large shed 16x22! Thermal pane windows 2020, Roof approximately 4 years, 2 window air conditioners stay. "As Is" sale. Property shows well but no FHA/VA
-
2022-10-03price $107,000 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Ranch in move in condition with updated flooring and freshly painted! Great enclosed front porch makes a great place to take off shoes and coats. Very open floor plan with L shaped Living/Dining room totally open to the Kitchen with a large snack bar with 3 stools. Amazing outdoor space with huge patio, privacy fenced yard and large shed 16x22! Thermal pane windows 2020, Roof approximately 4 years, 2 window air conditioners stay. "As Is" sale. Property shows well but no FHA/VA
-
2022-09-19price $110,900 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Ranch in move in condition with updated flooring and freshly painted! Great enclosed front porch makes a great place to take off shoes and coats. Very open floor plan with L shaped Living/Dining room totally open to the Kitchen with a large snack bar with 3 stools. Amazing outdoor space with huge patio, privacy fenced yard and large shed 16x22! Thermal pane windows 2020, Roof approximately 4 years, 2 window air conditioners stay. "As Is" sale. Property shows well but no FHA/VA
-
2022-09-14price $112,900 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Ranch in move in condition with updated flooring and freshly painted! Great enclosed front porch makes a great place to take off shoes and coats. Very open floor plan with L shaped Living/Dining room totally open to the Kitchen with a large snack bar with 3 stools. Amazing outdoor space with huge patio, privacy fenced yard and large shed 16x22! Thermal pane windows 2020, Roof approximately 4 years, 2 window air conditioners stay. "As Is" sale. Property shows well but no FHA/VA
-
2022-08-22$114,900 Active 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Ranch in move in condition with updated flooring and freshly painted! Great enclosed front porch makes a great place to take off shoes and coats. Very open floor plan with L shaped Living/Dining room totally open to the Kitchen with a large snack bar with 3 stools. Amazing outdoor space with huge patio, privacy fenced yard and large shed 16x22! Thermal pane windows 2020, Roof approximately 4 years, 2 window air conditioners stay. "As Is" sale. Property shows well but no FHA/VA
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,681 · $223/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,896 · $241/mo
- Expected delta
- +$214/yr (+$18/mo · 8.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,724
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,674
- − Property taxes
- −$2,681
- − Insurance
- −$685
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,258
- − Management
- −$1,258
- − Depreciation
- −$3,985
- Taxable loss
- −$1,818
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$436
- After-tax cash flow
- $871/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bradley Bourbonnais Chsd 307
- NCES district ID
- 1706960
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,302
- Composite
- 18.35/100
- National rank
- #8945
- State rank
- #413 of 620 in IL
Livability — Bradley
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #569
- US rank
- #11945
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bradley, IL
- City population
- 10,217
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,217
Population outlook (Kankakee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 105,479 people
- By 2030
- 101,792 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 93,479 · -11.4%
- By 2050
- 85,061 · -19.4%
- By 2075
- 67,314 · -36.2%
- By 2100
- 52,439 · -50.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Lithuanian 6% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kankakee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.7% · R 59.5% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.5 2016: R+13.3 2012: R+3.4 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -136.35%
- Current HPI
- 178.3271
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+19.2% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-12 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $137,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed $142,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-21 Price Changed $148,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-21 Price Changed $149,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-08 Price Changed $153,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-20 Price Changed $156,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-13 Listed $159,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-13 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-12 Sold (MLS) $82,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-12 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-11 Price Changed $95,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-17 Price Changed $99,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-03 Price Changed $107,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-19 Price Changed $110,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-14 Price Changed $112,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-22 Listed $114,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2024): $2,681 · +42.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…