Triplex
824 C St · Marysville, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 26 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- ARV discount +3.9/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$450,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Back on the market with increased rents! Three (3) unit apartment building near downtown Marysville. Each unit is 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom and are rented at $1,400 per unit, for a total monthly income of $4,200 or $50,400 annually. Each unit has its own laundry facility. Within the last 3 years, various repairs have been completed at the subject property including new ductless mini-split HVAC systems, tub/shower surrounds, kitchen appliances, flooring, paint, doors, dual pane windows, lighting fixtures and plumbing fixtures. If more than 3 units are desired, adjacent property 819/824 Oak St (triplex) is also for sale. Potential to have 6 total units for a combined annual gross income of $96
Key facts
- Tub shower surrounds
- Kitchen appliances
- Plumbing fixtures
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 1-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $450k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $51 ($618/yr) — positive. Per door: $17/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $361k (19.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $361k (19.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.7% in Marysville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#293 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Marysville Joint Unified (suburban): math 14% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #455 of 517 in CA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 254 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 750 units permitted in Yuba County in 2024 (41 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,611/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 1190% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yuba County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($436k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.49%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $416,988
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1020 - 1022 Divver St | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,536 (-10%) | 6mo | $374,000 | $243 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-73,835
- Equity at exit
- $67,096
- IRR
- -10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-76,906
- Equity at exit
- $38,908
Cash invested: $126,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95901
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 254
- Price-to-rent
- 31.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,611 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,360
- Tax from tax record
- −$254 /mo · $3,046/yr
- Insurance
- −$188
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$758
- Net cashflow
- $51
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 1 | 1 | $3,612 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $1,204 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $1,204 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $1,204 |
| Total (3 units) | $3,611 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $112,500
- Closing costs
- $13,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 817 Oak St Unit 1 Marysville, CA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $2,150 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 312 1st St Unit 312 1/2 Marysville, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1501 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1316 H St Marysville, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1735 | $2,000 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 231 E 18th St Unit A Marysville, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 502 Rideout Way Unit 502 Marysville, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,650 | $1.50 | 13d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1743 Hall St Marysville, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,895 | $1.74 | 21d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 725 Kiley Ave Yuba City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1124 | $1,950 | $1.73 | 21d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 619 E 24th St Marysville, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1375 | $2,199 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 375 Monterey Ave Yuba City, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1632 | $2,080 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-17status $450,000 Pending 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $450,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $450,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15status $450,000 Active 53 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,046 · $254/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,420 · $285/mo
- Expected delta
- +$374/yr (+$31/mo · 12.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 26 unhealthy d/yr today · 30 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,332
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,207
- − Property taxes
- −$3,046
- − Insurance
- −$2,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,467
- − Management
- −$3,467
- − Depreciation
- −$13,091
- Taxable loss
- −$7,195
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,727
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,345/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marysville Joint Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0624090
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,598
- Composite
- 18.18/100
- National rank
- #8961
- State rank
- #455 of 517 in CA
Livability — Marysville
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #293
- US rank
- #9846
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marysville, CA
- County
- Yuba County · 71,731 people
- City population
- 37,732
- Metro
- Yuba City, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,732
- Household income
- $69,776
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1190.0
Population outlook (Yuba County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 75,432 people
- By 2030
- 75,358 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 74,643 · -1.0%
- By 2050
- 72,937 · -3.3%
- By 2075
- 66,368 · -12.0%
- By 2100
- 54,524 · -27.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 17% Asian 9% Black 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yuba
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.8) · D 35.7% · R 61.5% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -14.7pp · 2024: -25.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.8 2020: R+21.6 2016: R+24.1 2012: R+19.5 2008: R+14.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -268.01%
- Current HPI
- 203.7684
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.87%
- Metro
- Yuba City, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Property tax history
+11.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,046 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…