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416807 Flagship Ln
B- Composite 65.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,500

416807 Flagship Ln · Texanna, OK 74426
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1980 0.93 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Are you ready for your next adventure? This charming bungalow sits on three spacious lake lots, nestled among mature trees and offering the perfect blend of privacy and outdoor enjoyment. Located just minutes from the boat dock and close to a sandy beach for swimming, this property is ideal for lake lovers and those seeking a peaceful retreat. Enjoy the freedom of no HOA, giving you flexibility to truly make this property your own. Whether you're looking for a weekend getaway or a full-time residence, this one is ready to welcome you home. 10 minutes from I-40.

Key facts

  • Sandy beach
  • Boat dock
  • Peaceful retreat

Tags

THREE SPACIOUS LAKE LOTSBOAT DOCKSANDY BEACHNO HOAPEACEFUL RETREAT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Security: No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Water available (rural); Septic tank
  • Home design: 2-story property; Faces south; Slab foundation
  • Construction: HardiPlank siding with wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built according to public records
  • Exterior features: Patio; Gravel driveway; Chain-link fencing; Mature trees

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range / Stove; Disposal; Mini-kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Master bath with bathtub (first level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Aluminum-framed windows; Ceramic counters; Electric oven connection
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric water heater; Utility room accessible from garage (first level)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $144 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 2.6% in Texanna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#140 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
  • Checotah (town): math 32% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #72 of 270 in OK (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in McIntosh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($688 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • McIntosh County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $98,007 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
8.70%
Cash-on-cash
8.61%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$52,640
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
108874 Seabreeze Dr 0.22mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,286 (+15%) 18mo $60,000 $47 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.8%
Equity multiple
3.27×
Total profit
$63,377
Equity at exit
$89,637
10-year hold
IRR
25.0%
Equity multiple
7.44×
Total profit
$179,438
Equity at exit
$193,307

Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74426

Home prices YoY
5.3%
Active inventory
147
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,041 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$522
Tax from tax record
$59 /mo · $709/yr
Insurance
$41
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $670/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$219
Net cashflow
$144

Break-even live

Break-even rent $858
Max offer price $99,500
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,875
Closing costs
$2,985
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $99,500 Pending 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,500 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,500 Active 18 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,500 Active 17 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,500 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,500 Active 13 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,500 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,500 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,500 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-05-20
    listed $99,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$709 · $59/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$895 · $75/mo
Expected delta
+$186/yr (+$16/mo · 26.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,490
− Mortgage interest
−$5,574
− Property taxes
−$709
− Insurance
−$1,168
− Repairs & maintenance
−$999
− Management
−$999
− Depreciation
−$2,895
Taxable income
$147
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$35
After-tax cash flow
$1,694/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Checotah
NCES district ID
4007350
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$34,331
Composite
24.73/100
National rank
#7607
State rank
#72 of 270 in OK

Livability — Texanna

Score
65/100
State rank
#140
US rank
#13083

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
9,482

Population outlook (McIntosh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,935 people
By 2030
18,272 · -3.5%
By 2040
16,905 · -10.7%
By 2050
15,771 · -16.7%
By 2075
14,097 · -25.6%
By 2100
12,572 · -33.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Native American 18% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McIntosh

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.7) · D 22.9% · R 75.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-33.5pp toward R · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -52.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.7 2020: R+49.7 2016: R+42.5 2012: R+23.8 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 16.32%
Current HPI
325.0751
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $99,500 MLS Technology, Inc.

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $709 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…