416807 Flagship Ln · Texanna, OK
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $435 – $905
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.3/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Are you ready for your next adventure? This charming bungalow sits on three spacious lake lots, nestled among mature trees and offering the perfect blend of privacy and outdoor enjoyment. Located just minutes from the boat dock and close to a sandy beach for swimming, this property is ideal for lake lovers and those seeking a peaceful retreat. Enjoy the freedom of no HOA, giving you flexibility to truly make this property your own. Whether you're looking for a weekend getaway or a full-time residence, this one is ready to welcome you home. 10 minutes from I-40.
Key facts
- Sandy beach
- Boat dock
- Peaceful retreat
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Water available (rural); Septic tank
- Home design: 2-story property; Faces south; Slab foundation
- Construction: HardiPlank siding with wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built according to public records
- Exterior features: Patio; Gravel driveway; Chain-link fencing; Mature trees
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range / Stove; Disposal; Mini-kitchen
- Bedrooms: Master bath with bathtub (first level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Aluminum-framed windows; Ceramic counters; Electric oven connection
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric water heater; Utility room accessible from garage (first level)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $144 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 2.6% in Texanna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#140 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
- Checotah (town): math 32% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #72 of 270 in OK (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in McIntosh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($688 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- McIntosh County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.61%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $52,640
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108874 Seabreeze Dr | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,286 (+15%) | 18mo | $60,000 | $47 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.27×
- Total profit
- $63,377
- Equity at exit
- $89,637
- IRR
- 25.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.44×
- Total profit
- $179,438
- Equity at exit
- $193,307
Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74426
- Home prices YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,041 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$522
- Tax from tax record
- −$59 /mo · $709/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $670/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$219
- Net cashflow
- $144
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,875
- Closing costs
- $2,985
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $99,500 Pending 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,500 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-20$99,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $709 · $59/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $895 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- +$186/yr (+$16/mo · 26.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,490
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,574
- − Property taxes
- −$709
- − Insurance
- −$1,168
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$999
- − Management
- −$999
- − Depreciation
- −$2,895
- Taxable income
- $147
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$35
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,694/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Checotah
- NCES district ID
- 4007350
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,331
- Composite
- 24.73/100
- National rank
- #7607
- State rank
- #72 of 270 in OK
Livability — Texanna
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #140
- US rank
- #13083
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,482
Population outlook (McIntosh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,935 people
- By 2030
- 18,272 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 16,905 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 15,771 · -16.7%
- By 2075
- 14,097 · -25.6%
- By 2100
- 12,572 · -33.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Native American 18% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McIntosh
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.7) · D 22.9% · R 75.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.5pp toward R · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -52.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.7 2020: R+49.7 2016: R+42.5 2012: R+23.8 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 16.32%
- Current HPI
- 325.0751
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $99,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $709 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…