737 Jefferson Ave #305 · Miami Beach, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 32 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.0/30.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Appreciation +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
$349,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Best deal on the building! Best price per sq. ft. on the market! Lovingly renovated two bedroom condo on the top floor of a charming 1920’s old Spanish Mediterranean building. Features desirable split floor plan layout, lots of closet space & flooded with sunlight. W/ D in the unit. Open and renovated kitchen boasts new appliances & Mexican tile throughout. Conveniently located walking distance to the beach, Lincoln Road shopping and dining and Flamingo Park. Unit comes unfurnished. For showing instructions see broker remarks.
Key facts
- Skyline views
- Washer and dryer
- Split floor plan
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed with restrictions
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association fee covers common areas, hot water, insurance, structure maintenance, sewer, trash and water
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Security: Lobby secured; Complex fenced; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
- Home design: Condominium with attached property; 3 total stories; Entry on third floor
- Construction: Block construction; Resale property
- Exterior features: Courtyard; Complex fenced; Lobby secured; Smoke detectors
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Blinds on windows; Third-floor entry; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $349k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $196 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $349k).
- Recommended offer: $307k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 1.5% in Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#108 in FL, #1,672 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities D-, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 1214 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,486/mo this rent would consume 77% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 4052% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($307k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask is 11934% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 8→32/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.65%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.19% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-44,564
- Equity at exit
- $64,804
- IRR
- -10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-60,318
- Equity at exit
- $52,569
Cash invested: $97,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33139
- Home prices YoY
- -0.8%
- Rents YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 1214
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,486 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,830
- Tax from tax record
- −$395 /mo · $4,738/yr
- Insurance
- −$145
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$551
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$942
- Net cashflow
- $196
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $394 | -5% $295 | +0% $196 | +5% $97 | +10% $-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-158 | -5% $19 | +0% $196 | +5% $373 | +10% $551 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $372 | -0.5pp $285 | base $196 | +0.5pp $106 | +1.0pp $14 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,250
- Closing costs
- $10,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1602 Meridian Ave Miami Beach, FL | 4.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 917 | $11,900 | $12.97 | 15d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 15713 Fisher Island Dr #15713 Miami Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 670 | $20,000 | $29.85 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2201 Collins Ave Miami Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1121 | $22,500 | $20.06 | 25d | 2 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $551 · $6,612/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 43 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $349,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $349,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $349,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $349,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $349,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $349,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $349,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $349,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $349,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $349,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $349,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $349,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $349,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $349,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $349,000
-
2026-05-14historical $2,900
-
2026-04-27$2,900
-
2026-04-24price $379,000
-
2026-02-16$398,000 Active
-
2025-11-18historical
-
2025-09-10$375,000 Active
-
2023-10-20historical $2,600
-
2023-10-07$2,600
-
2023-02-06soldstatus $342,000
-
2023-01-31soldstatus $342,000 Closed 550-char remark
Show marketing remark (550 chars)
Best deal on the building! Best price per sq. ft. on the market! Lovingly renovated two bedroom condo on the top floor of a charming 1920’s old Spanish Mediterranean building. Features desirable split floor plan layout, lots of closet space & flooded with sunlight. W/ D in the unit. Open and renovated kitchen boasts new appliances & Mexican tile throughout. Conveniently located walking distance to the beach, Lincoln Road shopping and dining and Flamingo Park. Unit comes unfurnished. For showing instructions see broker remarks.
-
2022-12-29historical Active Under Contract 550-char remark
Show marketing remark (550 chars)
Best deal on the building! Best price per sq. ft. on the market! Lovingly renovated two bedroom condo on the top floor of a charming 1920’s old Spanish Mediterranean building. Features desirable split floor plan layout, lots of closet space & flooded with sunlight. W/ D in the unit. Open and renovated kitchen boasts new appliances & Mexican tile throughout. Conveniently located walking distance to the beach, Lincoln Road shopping and dining and Flamingo Park. Unit comes unfurnished. For showing instructions see broker remarks.
-
2022-09-25$349,000 Active 550-char remark
Show marketing remark (550 chars)
Best deal on the building! Best price per sq. ft. on the market! Lovingly renovated two bedroom condo on the top floor of a charming 1920’s old Spanish Mediterranean building. Features desirable split floor plan layout, lots of closet space & flooded with sunlight. W/ D in the unit. Open and renovated kitchen boasts new appliances & Mexican tile throughout. Conveniently located walking distance to the beach, Lincoln Road shopping and dining and Flamingo Park. Unit comes unfurnished. For showing instructions see broker remarks.
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2021-08-20soldstatus $207,000 Closed
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2021-07-15status Pending
-
2021-07-02price $219,000
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2021-05-04price $228,000
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2021-03-19$248,000 Active
-
2020-02-29historical
-
2020-02-19price $225,000
-
2019-11-19price $230,000
-
2019-10-14price $249,000
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2019-09-16$260,000 Active
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2018-08-03historical
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2018-03-06price $250,000
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2017-11-06$292,000 Active
-
2007-04-20soldstatus $232,500
-
2007-04-05soldstatus $232,500
-
2000-11-01soldstatus $128,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,738 · $395/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,738 · $395/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 8 d/yr ≥101°F today · 32 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $53,834
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,549
- − Property taxes
- −$4,738
- − Insurance
- −$6,864
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,307
- − Management
- −$4,307
- − HOA
- −$6,612
- − Depreciation
- −$10,153
- Taxable loss
- −$2,695
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$647
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,000/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Miami Beach
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #108
- US rank
- #1672
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Miami Beach, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 90,533
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,753
- Household income
- $69,793
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4052.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 51% White 40% Two or more races 17% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 15% Salvadoran 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 56% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 37% English-only · Spanish 49% Other Indo-European 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.19%
- Current HPI
- 277.9321
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.36%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+172.7% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $349,000 MARMLS
- 2026-05-14 Rental Removed $2,900 MARMLS
- 2026-04-27 Listed for Rent $2,900 MARMLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $379,000 MARMLS
- 2026-02-16 Listed $398,000 MARMLS
- 2025-11-18 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-09-10 Listed $375,000 MARMLS
- 2023-10-20 Rental Removed $2,600 MARMLS
- 2023-10-07 Listed for Rent $2,600 MARMLS
- 2023-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $342,000 Public Records
- 2023-01-31 Sold (MLS) $342,000 MARMLS
- 2022-12-29 Contingent — MARMLS
- 2022-09-25 Listed $349,000 MARMLS
- 2021-08-20 Sold (MLS) $207,000 MARMLS
- 2021-07-15 Pending — MARMLS
- 2021-07-02 Price Changed $219,000 MARMLS
- 2021-05-04 Price Changed $228,000 MARMLS
- 2021-03-19 Listed $248,000 MARMLS
- 2020-02-29 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2020-02-19 Price Changed $225,000 MARMLS
- 2019-11-19 Price Changed $230,000 MARMLS
- 2019-10-14 Price Changed $249,000 MARMLS
- 2019-09-16 Listed $260,000 MARMLS
- 2018-08-03 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2018-03-06 Price Changed $250,000 MARMLS
- 2017-11-06 Listed $292,000 MARMLS
- 2007-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $232,500 Public Records
- 2007-04-05 Sold (MLS) $232,500 MARMLS
- 2000-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $128,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $4,738 · -10.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…