1901 Canterbury Ln #19 · Sun City Center, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.5/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Appreciation +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$104,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Priced to Move - furniture is negotiable/for sale. Welcome Home to a serene, sun-drenched sanctuary that is turnkey. This could be your golden nest. - presents a 2 bedroom, 2 full bath residence with an open floor plan including a spacious Florida room. This home has updated hurricane windows in both bedrooms, a newer sub panel and hot water heater. Condo fees cover a 24 hr. gated security, premium cable, high-speed internet, water, sewer, trash removal, exterior and grounds upkeep, pest control, roof maintenance and irrigation. Resort style living with 2 luxurious clubhouses, heated pools, a theatre, full-service spa, pickle ball and tennis courts, golf course and driving range, hot tubs, billiards and a cutting edge fitness center. There are countless social and sports clubs plus a complimentary transportation system. An active 55+ golf cart community convenient to medical facilities, shopping and dining. Close to world renowned beaches, cruise ports and Disney. Opportunity awaits!
Key facts
- Heated pools
- Hurricane windows
- Pickle ball courts
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $104k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $5 ($55/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $104k).
- Recommended offer: $95k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#178 in FL, #2,736 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
- Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 602 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $722 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($95k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $67k; list at $104k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 41% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.19%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-16,842
- Equity at exit
- $15,581
- IRR
- -8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-15,106
- Equity at exit
- $9,035
Cash invested: $29,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33573
- Home prices YoY
- -1.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 602
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,658 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$548
- Tax from tax record
- −$29 /mo · $342/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$685
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$348
- Net cashflow
- $5
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,125
- Closing costs
- $3,135
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 Kings Blvd #138 Sun City Center, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1020 | $1,800 | $1.76 | 22d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 302 Canton Ct #62 Sun City Center, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 800 | $1,575 | $1.97 | 17d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 323 Knottwood Ct #1 Sun City Center, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 908 | $1,090 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 323 Knottwood Ct Sun City Center, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 908 | $1,290 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1902 Dandridge St #12 Sun City Center, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 800 | $1,495 | $1.87 | 14d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 409 Feltham Trl Unit B Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $1,650 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 101 Cambridge Trl Sun City Center, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 880 | $1,650 | $1.88 | 11d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 403 Finchley Ct Unit B Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $2,000 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1901 Andover Way #38 Sun City Center, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 800 | $1,495 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2202 Clubhouse Dr #169 Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $1,450 | $1.47 | 5d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2202 Clubhouse Dr #187 Sun City Center, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 800 | $1,550 | $1.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 201 Bedford Trl Unit F128 Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,275 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 202 Bedford Trl #99 Sun City Center, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 5d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 201 Kings Blvd #19 Sun City Center, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 800 | $1,495 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 306 Fowling Ct Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,700 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 201 Bedford St #95 Sun City Center, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 800 | $1,450 | $1.81 | 14d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2345 Glenmore Cir Unit 294 Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $1,500 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1814 Foxhunt Dr Unit A Sun City Center, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 800 | $1,475 | $1.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 704 Tremont Greens Ln Unit 107 Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 974 | $1,700 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1802 Bedford Ln Sun City Center, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $1,800 | $1.89 | 11d | 2 | 0.52mi |
| 1802 Bedford Ter #182 Sun City Center, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 800 | $1,400 | $1.75 | 17d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1802 Bedford Ter #182 Sun City Center, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $1,375 | $1.43 | 22d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2124 Hailstone Cir Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 207 Islip Way Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 992 | $1,500 | $1.51 | 17d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2102 Hereford Dr #513 Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1301 Warwick Ct Unit 1301 Sun City Center, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1102 | $1,575 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $685 · $8,220/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrashinternetcablelandscapingroofpoolgymsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $104,500 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $104,500 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $104,500 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $104,500 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $104,500 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $104,500 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $104,500 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $104,500 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $104,500 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $104,500 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $104,500 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $104,500 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $104,500 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $104,500 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-05-17price $104,500 999-char remark
Show marketing remark (999 chars)
Priced to Move - furniture is negotiable/for sale. Welcome Home to a serene, sun-drenched sanctuary that is turnkey. This could be your golden nest. - presents a 2 bedroom, 2 full bath residence with an open floor plan including a spacious Florida room. This home has updated hurricane windows in both bedrooms, a newer sub panel and hot water heater. Condo fees cover a 24 hr. gated security, premium cable, high-speed internet, water, sewer, trash removal, exterior and grounds upkeep, pest control, roof maintenance and irrigation. Resort style living with 2 luxurious clubhouses, heated pools, a theatre, full-service spa, pickle ball and tennis courts, golf course and driving range, hot tubs, billiards and a cutting edge fitness center. There are countless social and sports clubs plus a complimentary transportation system. An active 55+ golf cart community convenient to medical facilities, shopping and dining. Close to world renowned beaches, cruise ports and Disney. Opportunity awaits!
-
2026-04-12price $109,999 999-char remark
Show marketing remark (999 chars)
Priced to Move - furniture is negotiable/for sale. Welcome Home to a serene, sun-drenched sanctuary that is turnkey. This could be your golden nest. - presents a 2 bedroom, 2 full bath residence with an open floor plan including a spacious Florida room. This home has updated hurricane windows in both bedrooms, a newer sub panel and hot water heater. Condo fees cover a 24 hr. gated security, premium cable, high-speed internet, water, sewer, trash removal, exterior and grounds upkeep, pest control, roof maintenance and irrigation. Resort style living with 2 luxurious clubhouses, heated pools, a theatre, full-service spa, pickle ball and tennis courts, golf course and driving range, hot tubs, billiards and a cutting edge fitness center. There are countless social and sports clubs plus a complimentary transportation system. An active 55+ golf cart community convenient to medical facilities, shopping and dining. Close to world renowned beaches, cruise ports and Disney. Opportunity awaits!
-
2026-03-02$115,000 Active 999-char remark
Show marketing remark (999 chars)
Priced to Move - furniture is negotiable/for sale. Welcome Home to a serene, sun-drenched sanctuary that is turnkey. This could be your golden nest. - presents a 2 bedroom, 2 full bath residence with an open floor plan including a spacious Florida room. This home has updated hurricane windows in both bedrooms, a newer sub panel and hot water heater. Condo fees cover a 24 hr. gated security, premium cable, high-speed internet, water, sewer, trash removal, exterior and grounds upkeep, pest control, roof maintenance and irrigation. Resort style living with 2 luxurious clubhouses, heated pools, a theatre, full-service spa, pickle ball and tennis courts, golf course and driving range, hot tubs, billiards and a cutting edge fitness center. There are countless social and sports clubs plus a complimentary transportation system. An active 55+ golf cart community convenient to medical facilities, shopping and dining. Close to world renowned beaches, cruise ports and Disney. Opportunity awaits!
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-06-19price $122,500
-
2025-05-03price $135,000
-
2025-02-18price $145,000
-
2024-12-17$160,000 Active
-
2017-10-16soldstatus $67,000
-
2011-02-16soldstatus $41,000
-
2000-01-12soldstatus $39,400
-
1997-12-12soldstatus $42,000
-
1988-10-01soldstatus $44,000
-
1977-09-01soldstatus $27,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $342 · $29/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $867 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- +$525/yr (+$44/mo · 153.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,893
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,854
- − Property taxes
- −$342
- − Insurance
- −$522
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,591
- − Management
- −$1,591
- − HOA
- −$8,220
- − Depreciation
- −$3,040
- Taxable loss
- −$1,268
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$304
- After-tax cash flow
- $359/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsborough
- NCES district ID
- 1200870
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,622
- Composite
- 41.6/100
- National rank
- #3435
- State rank
- #41 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sun City Center
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #178
- US rank
- #2736
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sun City Center, FL
- County
- Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
- City population
- 35,362
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,362
- Household income
- $72,834
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1382.0
Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,022 people
- By 2030
- 1,733,968 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 1,979,565 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 2,203,427 · +37.1%
- By 2075
- 2,667,893 · +66.0%
- By 2100
- 2,891,558 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Black 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.27%
- Current HPI
- 272.9767
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.65%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+280.0% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Price Changed $104,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-12 Price Changed $109,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-02 Listed $115,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-19 Price Changed $122,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-03 Price Changed $135,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-18 Price Changed $145,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-17 Listed $160,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-10-16 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
- 2011-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
- 2000-01-12 Sold (Public Records) $39,400 Public Records
- 1997-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
- 1988-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
- 1977-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $342 · +12.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…