Multi-family
2317 33rd Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.2/30.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.6/15.0
$1,598,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
Just Listed in Astoria! 23-17 33rd Avenue, Astoria, NY 11106 Exceptional opportunity to own a spacious property on a beautiful tree-lined block near Broadway in Astoria. Conveniently located near the N/W trains, restaurants, cafes, shopping, and neighborhood amenities. Ideal for end users or investors seeking strong long-term value in one of Queens’ most desirable neighborhoods. Private showings available by appointment.
Key facts
- Near broadway
- Near shopping
- Near restaurants
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No dedicated parking; No carport
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public sewer; Public water connected; Public trash collection
- Home design: Triplex
- Construction: Block and brick construction
- Exterior features: No waterfront; Block and brick construction
Interior
- Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit; One 3-bedroom unit
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms (total)
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: First-floor full bathroom; Formal dining room; Original details
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $1.60M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($35k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($16k rent vs $1.60M).
- Recommended offer: $1.55M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 106 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $16,068/mo this rent would consume 227% of the median local household income ($85k/yr) (locally 3679% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $44k of equity ($11k loan paydown + $33k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 7.3% rent growth), your $447k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$112k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.55M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.78%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,386,000
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23-19 33rd Ave | 0.00mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,100 (0%) | 10mo | $1,385,000 | $660 | 86 |
| 1442 33rd Ave | 0.17mi | 5/3.0 | 2,301 (+10%) | 13mo | $1,290,000 | $561 | 65 |
| 3361 29th St | 0.23mi | 4/— (-1) | 1,890 (-10%) | 6mo | $1,510,000 | $799 | 63 |
| 3329 29th St Unit 2FAM | 0.20mi | 5/2.0 | 1,800 (-14%) | 13mo | $1,725,000 | $958 | 52 |
| 3004 14th St | 0.49mi | 5/2.0 | 1,800 (-14%) | 10mo | $1,150,000 | $639 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.06% appreciation · 7.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $371,137
- Equity at exit
- $635,856
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.89×
- Total profit
- $1,291,841
- Equity at exit
- $919,934
Cash invested: $447,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11106
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Rents YoY
- 7.3%
- Active inventory
- 106
- Price-to-rent
- 24.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $16,068 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$8,380
- Tax from tax record
- −$748 /mo · $8,974/yr
- Insurance
- −$666
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$3,374
- Net cashflow
- $2,900
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $16,068 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $5,356 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $5,356 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $5,356 |
| Total (3 units) | $16,068 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $399,500
- Closing costs
- $47,940
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,598,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,598,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,598,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,598,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,598,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $1,598,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,598,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,598,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1,598,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,598,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,598,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,598,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,598,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-08$1,598,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $8,974 · $748/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $17,990 · $1,499/mo
- Expected delta
- +$9,016/yr (+$751/mo · 100.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $192,816
- − Mortgage interest
- −$89,513
- − Property taxes
- −$8,974
- − Insurance
- −$7,990
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$15,425
- − Management
- −$15,425
- − Depreciation
- −$46,487
- Taxable income
- $9,001
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,160
- After-tax cash flow
- $32,639/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,930
- Household income
- $84,867
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3679.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 42% Hispanic / Latino 27% Asian 19% Two or more races 12% Black 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 3% Romanian 3% Estonian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 39% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 13% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.06%
- Current HPI
- 348.3009
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.28%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $1,598,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $8,974 · +11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…