433 S 7th St #1626 · Minneapolis, MN 55415

$98,500

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 660 sqft · Condo public records · 17 Days on market

Built 1985 $702/mo HOA · 40% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +12.4/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• DSCR +3.7/10.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Rent growth +3.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +1.4/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Experience true city living with this great downtown condo! This condo boasts 1 bedroom, full bath, kitchen, and bright living and dining spaces with views of US Bank Stadium. Secure storage locker, shared laundry, outdoor pool, 2 decks, a library, game room, hot tub and gym are part of the many onsite amenities. The building is connected to the SKYWAY, making it very convenient to explore everything that downtown has to offer! Currently rented, the renters will vacate with 30 day notice.

Key facts

• Fitness center
• Game room
• Outdoor patio

Tags

• INDOOR POOL
• FITNESS CENTER
• OUTDOOR PATIO
• GRILLING AREA
• GAME ROOM
• LAUNDRY ON EVERY FLOOR

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Shared building rooms: party room, business center, community room, exercise room
• Financial info: Conventional financing type; Rental license: Standard (licensed to rent)
• HOA & community: HOA managed by First Service Residential; Monthly HOA fee; HOA amenities: 24-hour guard, laundry, deck, elevators, lobby entrance, patio, shared amenities; Association fee includes cable TV, controlled access, heating, internet, grounds maintenance, professional management, recreation facility, snow removal

Exterior

• Parking: On-street parking only; Additional onsite parking available for a fee; Additional offsite parking available for a fee
• Utilities: City water; City sewer; Other fuel
• Home design: Attached residential property; One level; 625 sq ft living area
• Construction: 625 foundation area
• Exterior features: Stone exterior; Below-ground shared pool

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (main level)
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Wall AC unit(s)
• Interior features: Accessible elevator installed; No basement
• Laundry & utility: Common area laundry

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $98k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-16 ($-197/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $96k (2.9% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $98k).
• Recommended offer: $96k (2.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.1% in Minneapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#110 in MN, #2,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
• Minneapolis Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #217 of 301 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 81 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($125k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $681 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 10 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 40% of rent.

Recommended offer $95,607 (2.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.79% ✓
• Cap rate: 6.09%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.71%
• DSCR: 0.97
• GRM: 4.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -17.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.38×
• Total profit: $-17,148
• Equity at exit: $14,687

10-year hold

• IRR: -10.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.39×
• Total profit: $-16,867
• Equity at exit: $8,516

Cash invested: $27,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 34 Tenant-Leaning
• State Minnesota: 46 Balanced · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City Minneapolis: 34 Tenant-Leaning · D+50

Tenant Opportunity to Purchase; renter's protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 55415

• Home prices YoY: -2.4%
• Rents YoY: 2.6%
• Active inventory: 81
• Price-to-rent: 4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,767 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$517
• Tax from tax record: −$152 /mo · $1,829/yr
• Insurance: −$41
• HOA: −$702
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$371
• Net cashflow: $-16

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,787

Max offer price $95,607

Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $39	-5% $12	+0% $-16	+5% $-44	+10% $-72
Rent	-10% $-156	-5% $-86	+0% $-16	+5% $53	+10% $123
Rate	-1.0pp $33	-0.5pp $9	base $-16	+0.5pp $-42	+1.0pp $-68

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $24,625
• Closing costs: $2,955
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
431 S 7th St #2610 Minneapolis, MN	1.0	1.0	430	$1,250	$2.91	25d	1	0.03mi
431 S 7th St Minneapolis, MN	1.0	1.0	430	$1,250	$2.91	44d	2	0.03mi
431 S 7th St Minneapolis, MN	1.0	1.0	430	$1,250	$2.91	11d	2	0.03mi
650 Portland Ave Minneapolis, MN	2.0	1.0–2.0	1104	$2,825	$2.56	0d	16	0.07mi
600 5th Ave S Minneapolis, MN	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	878	$1,440	$1.64	0d	12	0.08mi
615 S 8th St Minneapolis, MN	2.0	1.0–2.5	1252	$3,675	$2.94	0d	49	0.13mi
609 S 9th St #2 Minneapolis, MN	1.0	1.0	600	$1,095	$1.82	44d	1	0.20mi
511 S 4th St Minneapolis, MN	2.0	1.0–2.0	882	$2,222	$2.52	0d	11	0.22mi
910 Portland Ave Minneapolis, MN	1.0	1.0	392	$1,056	$2.69	14d	1	0.22mi
608 2nd Ave S Minneapolis, MN	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	999	$1,675	$1.68	0d	33	0.23mi
929 Portland Ave #1408 Minneapolis, MN	1.0	1.0	680	$1,485	$2.18	44d	1	0.24mi
900 Centennial Pl Minneapolis, MN	—	1.0	390	$825	$2.12	14d	1	0.28mi
101 S 5th St Minneapolis, MN	3.0	1.0–2.0	1249	$2,289	$1.83	0d	34	0.31mi
515 E Grant St Minneapolis, MN	1.0–2.0	1.0	820	$1,220	$1.49	2d	10	0.31mi
90 S 9th St Minneapolis, MN	2.0	1.0	823	$1,650	$2.00	0d	4	0.33mi
1400 Park Ave Minneapolis, MN	2.0	1.0–2.0	875	$2,040	$2.33	0d	23	0.34mi
1111 3rd Ave S Unit 1511914P Minneapolis, MN	4.0	1.0–2.0	1081	$5,100	$4.72	3d	2	0.36mi
700 S 4th St Minneapolis, MN	2.0	1.0–2.0	897	$2,688	$2.99	0d	25	0.36mi
465 Nicollet Mall Minneapolis, MN	2.0	1.0–3.0	1153	$3,055	$2.65	0d	14	0.37mi
250 Portland Ave Minneapolis, MN	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	902	$1,950	$2.16	0d	10	0.38mi
400 Marquette Ave Minneapolis, MN	3.0	1.0–2.0	1103	$2,440	$2.21	0d	11	0.38mi
95 S 10th St Minneapolis, MN	2.0	1.0–2.0	688	$1,744	$2.53	3d	31	0.38mi
501 E 14th St Minneapolis, MN	1.0	1.0	510	$1,055	$2.07	44d	1	0.39mi
365 Nicollet Mall Minneapolis, MN	3.0	1.0–3.5	1656	$4,354	$2.63	0d	36	0.40mi
240 Park Ave Minneapolis, MN	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	1047	$2,075	$1.98	4d	2	0.41mi
1117 Marquette Ave Minneapolis, MN	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	953	$1,373	$1.44	0d	16	0.44mi
240 Chicago Ave Minneapolis, MN	2.0	1.0–2.0	825	$2,168	$2.63	0d	14	0.45mi
225 Portland Ave Minneapolis, MN	2.0	1.0–2.0	837	$2,410	$2.88	0d	72	0.45mi
1010 S 7th St Minneapolis, MN	2.0	1.0–2.0	834	$1,928	$2.31	44d	1	0.47mi
728 E 16th St #34 Minneapolis, MN	1.0	1.0	593	$950	$1.60	44d	1	0.47mi
736 E 16th St Minneapolis, MN	1.0–2.0	1.0	650	$917	$1.41	24d	2	0.48mi
811 Washington Ave S Minneapolis, MN	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	862	$1,660	$1.93	20d	9	0.48mi
205 Park Ave Minneapolis, MN	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	859	$1,829	$2.13	0d	5	0.49mi
729 E 16th St Unit 4 Minneapolis, MN	1.0	1.0	480	$1,155	$2.41	44d	1	0.50mi
270 Hennepin Ave Minneapolis, MN	3.0	1.0–3.0	1505	$4,088	$2.72	0d	53	0.56mi
1423 11th Ave S Minneapolis, MN	1.0–2.0	1.0	818	$1,300	$1.59	0d	27	0.56mi
115 2nd Ave S Minneapolis, MN	1.0	1.0	508	$1,371	$2.70	0d	22	0.57mi
111 S Marquette Ave Minneapolis, MN	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	955	$1,516	$1.59	0d	13	0.60mi
212 10th Ave S Minneapolis, MN	3.0	1.0–2.5	1490	$4,242	$2.85	2d	10	0.61mi
1818 Park Ave Unit 181805 Minneapolis, MN	1.0	1.0	550	$1,080	$1.96	5d	1	0.66mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $702 · $8,424/yr
• Likely covers: poolgym
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 10 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $98,500 Active 17 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $98,500 Active 14 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $98,500 Active 13 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $98,500 Active 12 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $98,500 Active 11 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $98,500 Active 9 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $98,500 Active 5 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $98,500 Active 4 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   remarks 693-char remark
10. 2026-06-07
    listed $98,500 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,829 · $152/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,829 · $152/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,200
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,518
• − Property taxes: −$1,829
• − Insurance: −$492
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,696
• − Management: −$1,696
• − HOA: −$8,424
• − Depreciation: −$2,865
• Taxable loss: −$1,321
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$317
• After-tax cash flow: $121/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Minneapolis Public School District
• NCES district ID: 2721240
• Math proficiency: 35% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 46% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $50,521
• Composite: 34.92/100
• National rank: #5067
• State rank: #217 of 301 in MN

Livability — Minneapolis

• Score: 78/100
• State rank: #110
• US rank: #2525

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C- Crime F Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Minneapolis, MN
• County: Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
• City population: 417,555
• Metro: Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
• Population (ZIP): 6,900
• Household income: $124,921
• Rent vs Own: 66.3% rent · 33.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 344.0

Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,405,227 people
• By 2030: 1,492,650 · +6.2%
• By 2040: 1,660,157 · +18.1%
• By 2050: 1,823,498 · +29.8%
• By 2075: 2,221,283 · +58.1%
• By 2100: 2,509,976 · +78.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: White 61% Black 18% Asian 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 6% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 16% · Canada, South Korea, China
• Languages at home: 87% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: +14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -7.23%
• Current HPI: 289.6606
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.65%
• Metro: Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.41%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$407B
▸Retail	2	$150B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$32B
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$6B
▸Agriculture	1	$40B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$32B

Price history

+101.4% since first listed

26 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-04 Listed $98,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-09-04 Rental Removed $1,350 RMLSND
• 2024-07-19 Listed for Rent $1,350 RMLSND
• 2024-06-11 Rental Removed $1,350 RMLSND
• 2024-05-09 Listed for Rent $1,350 RMLSND
• 2024-05-03 Rental Removed $1,350 RMLSND
• 2024-05-01 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-04-12 Listed for Rent $1,350 RMLSND
• 2024-01-27 Price Changed $125,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-01-03 Listed $129,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2017-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $123,000 Public Records
• 2017-03-17 Sold (MLS) $123,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2017-03-06 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2017-02-22 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2017-02-14 Listed $129,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2013-05-20 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2013-02-27 Listed $129,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2012-04-30 Sold (MLS) $60,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2012-04-27 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2012-02-10 Listed $89,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2009-08-31 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2009-03-22 Listed $110,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2008-11-10 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2008-06-10 Listed $138,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 1990-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $42,500 Public Records
• 1986-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $48,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,829 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.