208 11th St · Aspinwall, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.5/30.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.9/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This property is a two- car garage with work- space on the first floor. The second floor is a two-bedroom laundry in the unit. The rent is $975 plus gas and electric. The owner pays for water, sewer and trash removal. We need to give a 24-hr. notice to the second floor for showings.
Key facts
- 22 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Public transportation access
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Built-in parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Resale property
- Construction: Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 120
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating with hot water system; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Screens on windows; Basement present
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Some gas appliances
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 88/100 on livability (#39 in PA, #224 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: schools C-.
- Fox Chapel Area SD (suburban): math 73% / reading 85% proficiency, ranked #7 of 539 in PA (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.78%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $339,240
- List price
- $129,900
- Delta
- -61.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208 11th St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,325 (+2%) | 0mo | $123,500 | $93 | 92 |
| 401 Valley Dr | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 1,480 (+14%) | 5mo | $503,000 | $340 | 65 |
| 210 Center Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,324 (+2%) | 7mo | $325,000 | $245 | 64 |
| 407 Center | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,400 (+8%) | 2mo | $445,000 | $318 | 62 |
| 902 Delafield Rd | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,334 (+3%) | 6mo | $421,700 | $316 | 59 |
| 300 S Pasadena Dr | 0.51mi | 2/1.5 | 1,228 (-5%) | 11mo | $365,265 | $297 | 57 |
| 113 4th St | 0.35mi | 2/1.5 | 1,252 (-3%) | 23mo | $388,500 | $310 | 57 |
| 307 Highland Ter | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,377 (+6%) | 20mo | $268,041 | $195 | 53 |
| 108 W Marshall Dr | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 | 1,371 (+6%) | 5mo | $325,000 | $237 | 52 |
| 122 22nd St | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,388 (+7%) | 2mo | $199,900 | $144 | 47 |
| 215 Virginia Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,443 (+11%) | 10mo | $329,000 | $228 | 41 |
| 116 1st St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,120 (-14%) | 18mo | $295,000 | $263 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $262
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.12×
- Total profit
- $40,758
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15215
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,811 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$430 /mo · $5,155/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$380
- Net cashflow
- $266
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $340 | -5% $303 | +0% $266 | +5% $229 | +10% $193 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $123 | -5% $195 | +0% $266 | +5% $338 | +10% $409 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $331 | -0.5pp $299 | base $266 | +0.5pp $232 | +1.0pp $198 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 514 Guyasuta Rd Apt 7 Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,000 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 514 Guyasuta Rd Unit 2 Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,050 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 131 5th St Unit Na Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1840 | $1,800 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 307 Highland Ter Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $4,000 | $2.76 | 5d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 133 2nd St Unit 1 Aspinwall, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,300 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 416 Virginia Ave Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1360 | $2,500 | $1.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 209 Mary St Sharpsburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,395 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 207 Mary St Sharpsburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,395 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-17status $129,900 Pending 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Contingent 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Contingent 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Contingent 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Contingent 45 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Contingent 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Contingent 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Contingent 39 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Contingent 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Contingent 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Contingent 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Contingent 32 DOM
-
2026-05-14historical Contingent 283-char remark
-
2026-05-01status Active 283-char remark
-
2026-04-24$129,900 Active 283-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,155 · $430/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,155 · $430/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,737
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$5,155
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,739
- − Management
- −$1,739
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $1,399
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$336
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,857/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fox Chapel Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4210070
- Math proficiency
- 73% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 85% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,326
- Composite
- 69.02/100
- National rank
- #324
- State rank
- #7 of 539 in PA
Livability — Aspinwall
- Score
- 88/100
- State rank
- #39
- US rank
- #224
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Aspinwall, PA
- County
- Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,907
- Household income
- $99,071
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 311.0
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Asian 5% Two or more races 4% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · China, South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -171.68%
- Current HPI
- 284.7359
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.24%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-4.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) $123,500 West Penn MLS
- 2026-05-14 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2026-05-01 Relisted — West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $129,900 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2026): $5,155 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…