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208 11th St
B- Composite 66.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.5/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.9/10.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

208 11th St · Aspinwall, PA 15215
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 49 Days on market
Built 1900 22 ac lot $100/sqft · 61% below area ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This property is a two- car garage with work- space on the first floor. The second floor is a two-bedroom laundry in the unit. The rent is $975 plus gas and electric. The owner pays for water, sewer and trash removal. We need to give a 24-hr. notice to the second floor for showings.

Key facts

  • 22 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1900

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Public transportation access

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Built-in parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Resale property
  • Construction: Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 120

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating with hot water system; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Screens on windows; Basement present
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Some gas appliances

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 88/100 on livability (#39 in PA, #224 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: schools C-.
  • Fox Chapel Area SD (suburban): math 73% / reading 85% proficiency, ranked #7 of 539 in PA (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $126,003 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.39%
Cap rate
8.75%
Cash-on-cash
8.78%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$339,240
List price
$129,900
Delta
-61.71%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
208 11th St 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,325 (+2%) 0mo $123,500 $93 92
401 Valley Dr 0.15mi 2/2.0 1,480 (+14%) 5mo $503,000 $340 65
210 Center Ave 0.43mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,324 (+2%) 7mo $325,000 $245 64
407 Center 0.34mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,400 (+8%) 2mo $445,000 $318 62
902 Delafield Rd 0.57mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,334 (+3%) 6mo $421,700 $316 59
300 S Pasadena Dr 0.51mi 2/1.5 1,228 (-5%) 11mo $365,265 $297 57
113 4th St 0.35mi 2/1.5 1,252 (-3%) 23mo $388,500 $310 57
307 Highland Ter 0.31mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,377 (+6%) 20mo $268,041 $195 53
108 W Marshall Dr 0.72mi 2/2.0 1,371 (+6%) 5mo $325,000 $237 52
122 22nd St 0.68mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,388 (+7%) 2mo $199,900 $144 47
215 Virginia Ave 0.52mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,443 (+11%) 10mo $329,000 $228 41
116 1st St 0.52mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,120 (-14%) 18mo $295,000 $263 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.2%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$262
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
12.5%
Equity multiple
2.12×
Total profit
$40,758
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15215

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
56
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,811 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$430 /mo · $5,155/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$380
Net cashflow
$266

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,475
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $340 -5% $303 +0% $266 +5% $229 +10% $193
Rent -10% $123 -5% $195 +0% $266 +5% $338 +10% $409
Rate -1.0pp $331 -0.5pp $299 base $266 +0.5pp $232 +1.0pp $198

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
514 Guyasuta Rd Apt 7 Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 2.0 1400 $2,000 $1.43 24d 1 0.11mi
514 Guyasuta Rd Unit 2 Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 875 $1,050 $1.20 24d 1 0.11mi
131 5th St Unit Na Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.5 1840 $1,800 $0.98 44d 1 0.29mi
307 Highland Ter Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 2.0 1450 $4,000 $2.76 5d 1 0.30mi
133 2nd St Unit 1 Aspinwall, PA 2.0 1.0 875 $1,300 $1.49 44d 1 0.44mi
416 Virginia Ave Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 2.5 1360 $2,500 $1.84 44d 1 0.44mi
209 Mary St Sharpsburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,395 $1.27 24d 1 1.23mi
207 Mary St Sharpsburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,395 $1.27 24d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $129,900 Pending 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Contingent 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Contingent 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Contingent 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Contingent 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Contingent 41 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Contingent 40 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,900 Contingent 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,900 Contingent 35 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,900 Contingent 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,900 Contingent 33 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,900 Contingent 32 DOM
  13. 2026-05-14
    historical Contingent 283-char remark
  14. 2026-05-01
    status Active 283-char remark
  15. 2026-04-24
    listed $129,900 Active 283-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,155 · $430/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,155 · $430/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,737
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$5,155
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,739
− Management
−$1,739
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$1,399
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$336
After-tax cash flow
$2,857/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fox Chapel Area SD
NCES district ID
4210070
Math proficiency
73% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
85% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$73,326
Composite
69.02/100
National rank
#324
State rank
#7 of 539 in PA

Livability — Aspinwall

Score
88/100
State rank
#39
US rank
#224

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Aspinwall, PA
County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
11,907
Household income
$99,071
Rent vs Own
26.7% rent · 73.3% own
Severe rent burden
311.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Asian 5% Two or more races 4% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
7% · China, South Korea, Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -171.68%
Current HPI
284.7359
Rent YoY
▲ 5.24%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) $123,500 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-05-14 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2026-05-01 Relisted West Penn MLS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $129,900 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $5,155 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…