392 Elk Trl · Melissa, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.6/15.0
- Cash flow +7.0/30.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Appreciation +2.7/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- DSCR +1.2/10.0
$279,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 392 Elk Trail, a charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in the heart of Melissa, one of the fastest growing cities in the U.S. Known for its highly acclaimed school district and proud home of the Melissa Cardinals, this community offers the perfect mix of small-town charm and modern convenience. Located just north of McKinney with easy access to Highway 75, this home features an open-concept layout centered around a cozy fireplace, perfect for family gatherings and everyday living. Step outside to a quaint back porch, ideal for relaxing with a Texas-sized glass of sweet tea. With recent paint, fresh carpet and replaced back deck, this one won't last long!
Key facts
- Quaint back porch
- Cozy fireplace
- Open-concept layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-411 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $207k (26.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $213k (23.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $207k (26.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 2.8% in Melissa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#477 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D, amenities F, commute F.
- Melissa ISD (suburban): math 65% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #24 of 826 in TX (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 503 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $36k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.30%
- DSCR
- 0.72
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $315,484
- List price
- $279,500
- Delta
- -11.41%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 389 Elk Trl | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,598 (+4%) | 2mo | $315,000 | $197 | 90 |
| 508 Basswood Ln | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,674 (+9%) | 8mo | $324,000 | $194 | 70 |
| 278 Salmon Lake Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,744 (+14%) | 3mo | $300,000 | $172 | 69 |
| 396 Elk Trl | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,411 (-8%) | 20mo | $320,000 | $227 | 68 |
| 495 Hunters Ridge Dr | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,676 (+9%) | 19mo | $338,499 | $202 | 66 |
| 516 Teal Ln | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,676 (+9%) | 16mo | $339,900 | $203 | 62 |
| 614 Buck Pass | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,744 (+14%) | 11mo | $339,900 | $195 | 57 |
| 502 Hunters Ridge Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,744 (+14%) | 23mo | $319,900 | $183 | 53 |
| 1114 Baylor Rd | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,755 (+14%) | 6mo | $329,000 | $187 | 37 |
| 1103 Baylor Rd | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,755 (+14%) | 20mo | $359,900 | $205 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -30.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.01×
- Total profit
- $-77,581
- Equity at exit
- $41,674
- IRR
- -56.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.60×
- Total profit
- $-124,870
- Equity at exit
- $24,166
Cash invested: $78,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75454
- Home prices YoY
- -1.9%
- Rents YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 503
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,133 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,466
- Tax from tax record
- −$484 /mo · $5,814/yr
- Insurance
- −$116
- HOA
- −$29
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$448
- Net cashflow
- $-411
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-253 | -5% $-332 | +0% $-411 | +5% $-490 | +10% $-569 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-579 | -5% $-495 | +0% $-411 | +5% $-327 | +10% $-242 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-270 | -0.5pp $-340 | base $-411 | +0.5pp $-483 | +1.0pp $-557 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,875
- Closing costs
- $8,385
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 380 Elk Trl Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1798 | $1,950 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 365 Basswood Ln Melissa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1792 | $1,795 | $1.00 | 17d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 504 Teal Ln Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1798 | $2,100 | $1.17 | 11d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2305 Pheasant Run Melissa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1872 | $2,000 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2304 Pheasant Run Melissa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1872 | $2,150 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 2504 Quail Ridge Rd Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2099 | $2,100 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 508 Fisherman Trl Melissa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1797 | $2,050 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 315 Willow Grove Way Unit 3103 Melissa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1312 | $1,875 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 315 Willow Grove Way Unit 3303 Melissa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1312 | $1,645 | $1.25 | 13d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 401 Willow Grove Way Melissa, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1172 | $1,599 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1824 Central Expy Unit 813 Melissa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1312 | $1,645 | $1.25 | 8d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1824 Central Expy Unit 2202 Melissa, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1172 | $1,439 | $1.23 | 13d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1824 Central Expy Melissa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1312 | $1,645 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2201 River Trl Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2129 | $2,800 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3000 Harmon Dr Melissa, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.5–3.5 | 1983 | $2,590 | $1.31 | 3d | 110 | 0.49mi |
| 300 Willow Grove Way Melissa, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1069 | $1,950 | $1.82 | 3d | 8 | 0.50mi |
| 2911 Central Expy Melissa, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 961 | $2,101 | $2.19 | 2d | 37 | 0.51mi |
| 2425 Central Expy Melissa, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1145 | $2,995 | $2.61 | 2d | 35 | 0.57mi |
| 311 Lexington Ave Melissa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1937 | $2,295 | $1.18 | 6d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 5900 County Road 277 Melissa, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 936 | $2,259 | $2.41 | 2d | 18 | 0.75mi |
| 1106 Ellis Rd Melissa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1873 | $2,150 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1113 Haskell Dr Melissa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1873 | $2,200 | $1.17 | 6d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1114 Haskell Dr Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2075 | $2,225 | $1.07 | 13d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1116 Haskell Dr Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1929 | $2,395 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 5901 County Road 277 Melissa, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1024 | $2,180 | $2.13 | 2d | 30 | 0.95mi |
| 1103 Bexar Ave Melissa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2045 | $2,245 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1103 Bexar Ave Melissa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2045 | $2,150 | $1.05 | 17d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1114 Bexar Ave Melissa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1522 | $1,875 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1115 Dickenson Dr Melissa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2054 | $2,250 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3406 Van Zandt Rd Melissa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1873 | $2,350 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3601 Brazos St Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2069 | $2,400 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3610 Bastrop St Melissa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2036 | $2,500 | $1.23 | 25d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 8629 White River Trl McKinney, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2182 | $3,150 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3708 Mason Dr Melissa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1679 | $2,295 | $1.37 | 11d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $29 · $348/yr
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $279,500 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $279,500 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $279,500 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $279,500 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $279,500 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $279,500 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-09pricedays on market $279,500 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $290,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $290,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $290,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $290,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $290,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $290,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $290,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-04-24price $290,000 668-char remark
Show marketing remark (668 chars)
Welcome to 392 Elk Trail, a charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in the heart of Melissa, one of the fastest growing cities in the U.S. Known for its highly acclaimed school district and proud home of the Melissa Cardinals, this community offers the perfect mix of small-town charm and modern convenience. Located just north of McKinney with easy access to Highway 75, this home features an open-concept layout centered around a cozy fireplace, perfect for family gatherings and everyday living. Step outside to a quaint back porch, ideal for relaxing with a Texas-sized glass of sweet tea. With recent paint, fresh carpet and replaced back deck, this one won't last long!
-
2026-04-13price $295,000 668-char remark
Show marketing remark (668 chars)
Welcome to 392 Elk Trail, a charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in the heart of Melissa, one of the fastest growing cities in the U.S. Known for its highly acclaimed school district and proud home of the Melissa Cardinals, this community offers the perfect mix of small-town charm and modern convenience. Located just north of McKinney with easy access to Highway 75, this home features an open-concept layout centered around a cozy fireplace, perfect for family gatherings and everyday living. Step outside to a quaint back porch, ideal for relaxing with a Texas-sized glass of sweet tea. With recent paint, fresh carpet and replaced back deck, this one won't last long!
-
2026-04-07price $310,000 668-char remark
Show marketing remark (668 chars)
Welcome to 392 Elk Trail, a charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in the heart of Melissa, one of the fastest growing cities in the U.S. Known for its highly acclaimed school district and proud home of the Melissa Cardinals, this community offers the perfect mix of small-town charm and modern convenience. Located just north of McKinney with easy access to Highway 75, this home features an open-concept layout centered around a cozy fireplace, perfect for family gatherings and everyday living. Step outside to a quaint back porch, ideal for relaxing with a Texas-sized glass of sweet tea. With recent paint, fresh carpet and replaced back deck, this one won't last long!
-
2026-03-06$315,000 Active 668-char remark
Show marketing remark (668 chars)
Welcome to 392 Elk Trail, a charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in the heart of Melissa, one of the fastest growing cities in the U.S. Known for its highly acclaimed school district and proud home of the Melissa Cardinals, this community offers the perfect mix of small-town charm and modern convenience. Located just north of McKinney with easy access to Highway 75, this home features an open-concept layout centered around a cozy fireplace, perfect for family gatherings and everyday living. Step outside to a quaint back porch, ideal for relaxing with a Texas-sized glass of sweet tea. With recent paint, fresh carpet and replaced back deck, this one won't last long!
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2011-06-08soldstatus
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2011-06-03soldstatus Closed 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Totally upgraded 3bed 2 bath 2 car garage. Quality is displayed throughout. One of a kind. New hardwoods, new kitchen countertops, new appliances, remodeled bathrooms, new stone on fireplace and a beautiful backyard.
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2011-05-23status Pending 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Totally upgraded 3bed 2 bath 2 car garage. Quality is displayed throughout. One of a kind. New hardwoods, new kitchen countertops, new appliances, remodeled bathrooms, new stone on fireplace and a beautiful backyard.
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2011-05-06status Active 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Totally upgraded 3bed 2 bath 2 car garage. Quality is displayed throughout. One of a kind. New hardwoods, new kitchen countertops, new appliances, remodeled bathrooms, new stone on fireplace and a beautiful backyard.
-
2011-04-27status Pending 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Totally upgraded 3bed 2 bath 2 car garage. Quality is displayed throughout. One of a kind. New hardwoods, new kitchen countertops, new appliances, remodeled bathrooms, new stone on fireplace and a beautiful backyard.
-
2011-03-15price $117,900 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Totally upgraded 3bed 2 bath 2 car garage. Quality is displayed throughout. One of a kind. New hardwoods, new kitchen countertops, new appliances, remodeled bathrooms, new stone on fireplace and a beautiful backyard.
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2011-03-09price $120,000 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Totally upgraded 3bed 2 bath 2 car garage. Quality is displayed throughout. One of a kind. New hardwoods, new kitchen countertops, new appliances, remodeled bathrooms, new stone on fireplace and a beautiful backyard.
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2010-11-30price $123,900 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Totally upgraded 3bed 2 bath 2 car garage. Quality is displayed throughout. One of a kind. New hardwoods, new kitchen countertops, new appliances, remodeled bathrooms, new stone on fireplace and a beautiful backyard.
-
2010-11-08$125,900 Active 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Totally upgraded 3bed 2 bath 2 car garage. Quality is displayed throughout. One of a kind. New hardwoods, new kitchen countertops, new appliances, remodeled bathrooms, new stone on fireplace and a beautiful backyard.
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2008-01-25soldstatus
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2008-01-15soldstatus
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2007-12-15historical
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2007-12-11$114,000
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2006-11-30soldstatus
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2006-10-18historical
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2006-09-30$107,000
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2004-08-15historical
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2004-07-19$113,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,814 · $484/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,814 · $484/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,591
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,656
- − Property taxes
- −$5,814
- − Insurance
- −$1,398
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,047
- − Management
- −$2,047
- − HOA
- −$348
- − Depreciation
- −$8,131
- Taxable loss
- −$9,850
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,364
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,567/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Melissa ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4830120
- Math proficiency
- 65% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $82,500
- Composite
- 58.34/100
- National rank
- #1012
- State rank
- #24 of 826 in TX
Livability — Melissa
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #477
- US rank
- #9595
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Melissa, TX
- County
- Collin County · 1,159,394 people
- City population
- 22,990
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,990
- Household income
- $138,827
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 246.0
Population outlook (Collin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,210,074 people
- By 2030
- 1,358,201 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 1,654,061 · +36.7%
- By 2050
- 1,937,359 · +60.1%
- By 2075
- 2,567,039 · +112.1%
- By 2100
- 2,952,048 · +144.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 15% Two or more races 10% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Collin
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.1) · D 43.1% · R 54.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.4pp toward D · 2008: -25.6pp · 2024: -11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.1 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+25.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.66%
- Current HPI
- 235.2508
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.42%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+154.6% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $290,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $295,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $310,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-06 Listed $315,000 NTREIS
- 2011-06-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2011-06-03 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2011-05-23 Pending — NTREIS
- 2011-05-06 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2011-04-27 Pending — NTREIS
- 2011-03-15 Price Changed $117,900 NTREIS
- 2011-03-09 Price Changed $120,000 NTREIS
- 2010-11-30 Price Changed $123,900 NTREIS
- 2010-11-08 Listed $125,900 NTREIS
- 2008-01-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2008-01-15 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2007-12-15 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2007-12-11 Listed $114,000 NTREIS
- 2006-11-30 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2006-10-18 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2006-09-30 Listed $107,000 NTREIS
- 2004-08-15 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2004-07-19 Listed $113,900 NTREIS
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $5,814 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…