2404 S J St · Elwood, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$29,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious 3-bedroom 1 bath home with a 2-car attached garage. Close to shopping and other amenities. Come and take a look today!
Key facts
- Newer roof
- Partial basement
- 6,011 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Municipal sewer connected; Water source listed as other; No solid waste service listed
- Home design: Single-family residential fixer; One story
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: No heating system listed; No cooling system listed
- Interior features: Five total rooms on the main level; Basement present
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $548 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($977 rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $29k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 28.6% vs local median 5.3% in Elwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#482 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Elwood Community School Corporation (town): math 18% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #283 of 301 in IN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Elwood Elementary School (445 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 184 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $204 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $885 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $25k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 28.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 79.58%
- DSCR
- 4.54
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $130,964
- List price
- $29,500
- Delta
- -77.47%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2111 S I | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-5%) | 4mo | $140,000 | $146 | 73 |
| 2428 S C St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,007 (-0%) | 7mo | $119,900 | $119 | 68 |
| 2232 S H St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 870 (-14%) | 2mo | $70,000 | $80 | 62 |
| 2705 S B St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 962 (-5%) | 1mo | $167,500 | $174 | 62 |
| 1518 S G St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,072 (+6%) | 6mo | $40,000 | $37 | 51 |
| 1523 S K St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 968 (-4%) | 12mo | $135,000 | $139 | 49 |
| 2017 S B St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 959 (-5%) | 14mo | $26,000 | $27 | 49 |
| 2500 S N St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 860 (-15%) | 9mo | $159,900 | $186 | 49 |
| 1924 S A St | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 983 (-3%) | 12mo | $140,000 | $142 | 45 |
| 620 S 18th St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,104 (+9%) | 16mo | $115,000 | $104 | 42 |
| 10880 N 23rd St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 866 (-14%) | 10mo | $152,000 | $176 | 40 |
| 2827 Main St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 935 (-8%) | 15mo | $31,500 | $34 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 79.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.65×
- Total profit
- $30,134
- Equity at exit
- $4,399
- IRR
- 83.2%
- Equity multiple
- 9.63×
- Total profit
- $71,274
- Equity at exit
- $2,551
Cash invested: $8,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46036
- Home prices YoY
- -18.3%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $977 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$155
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $688/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$205
- Net cashflow
- $548
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,375
- Closing costs
- $885
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3033 S P St Elwood, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $860 | $1.49 | 2d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 209 S 16th St Elwood, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $1,135 | $1.07 | 2d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1349 S B St Unit 1 Elwood, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,250 | $1.47 | 15d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1349 S B St Unit 4 Elwood, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,400 | $1.47 | 12d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1775 Antler Ct Elwood, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $935 | $0.94 | 2d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 239 N 13th St Elwood, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 629 | $825 | $1.31 | 2d | 3 | 1.08mi |
| 9401 Frans Way Elwood, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 815 | $1,005 | $1.23 | 2d | 6 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $29,500 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $29,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $29,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $29,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $29,500 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $29,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $29,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $29,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $29,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $29,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $29,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $29,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-04-30$29,500 Active 390-char remark
-
2023-04-27soldstatus $25,000
-
2023-01-20soldstatus $25,000 Closed 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Spacious 3-bedroom 1 bath home with a 2-car attached garage. Close to shopping and other amenities. Come and take a look today!
-
2023-01-20soldstatus $25,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Spacious 3-bedroom 1 bath home with a 2-car attached garage. Close to shopping and other amenities. Come and take a look today!
-
2022-12-15status Pending
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Spacious 3-bedroom 1 bath home with a 2-car attached garage. Close to shopping and other amenities. Come and take a look today!
-
2022-12-09status Pending 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Spacious 3-bedroom 1 bath home with a 2-car attached garage. Close to shopping and other amenities. Come and take a look today!
-
2022-11-14$29,900 Active 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Spacious 3-bedroom 1 bath home with a 2-car attached garage. Close to shopping and other amenities. Come and take a look today!
-
2022-11-14$29,900 Active
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Spacious 3-bedroom 1 bath home with a 2-car attached garage. Close to shopping and other amenities. Come and take a look today!
-
2005-08-25soldstatus $16,275
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2004-12-30$19,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $688 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $688 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,728
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,652
- − Property taxes
- −$688
- − Insurance
- −$148
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$938
- − Management
- −$938
- − Depreciation
- −$858
- Taxable income
- $6,505
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,561
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,012/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elwood Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803300
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,757
- Composite
- 15.6/100
- National rank
- #9292
- State rank
- #283 of 301 in IN
Livability — Elwood
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #482
- US rank
- #17050
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elwood, IN
- County
- Madison County · 69,445 people
- City population
- 11,683
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,683
- Household income
- $62,074
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 225.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 125,800 people
- By 2030
- 122,640 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 115,420 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 108,148 · -14.0%
- By 2075
- 91,838 · -27.0%
- By 2100
- 75,670 · -39.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.9) · D 35.6% · R 62.5% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.5pp · 2024: -26.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.9 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+25.7 2012: R+4.5 2008: D+6.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.59%
- Current HPI
- 314.8526
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+48.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Listed $29,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 2023-01-20 Sold (MLS) $25,000 IRMLS
- 2023-01-20 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-15 Pending — IRMLS
- 2022-12-09 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-14 Listed $29,900 IRMLS
- 2022-11-14 Listed $29,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-08-25 Sold (MLS) $16,275 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-12-30 Listed $19,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2024): $688 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…