Multi-family
4472 Felton St · San Diego, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Special
Key facts
- 6
- 534 sq ft lot
- Full bathrooms
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a ?-bed/21.0-bath multifamily listed at $1.10M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($51k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($14k rent vs $1.10M).
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 2.0% in San Diego — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#123 in CA, #4,206 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, cost of living F.
- San Diego Unified (urban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #393 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $13,546/mo this rent would consume 166% of the median local household income ($98k/yr) (locally 2385% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $33k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $308k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.70%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4416-18 34th St | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,481 | 0mo | $950,000 | $641 | 63 |
| 4585 Felton St | 0.15mi | 11/11.0 | 5,954 | 1mo | $2,350,000 | $395 | 60 |
| 4354-4358 34th St | 0.16mi | 7/4.5 | 2,830 | 2mo | $1,775,000 | $627 | 58 |
| 3351,3355,3359 Madison Ave | 0.16mi | —/8.0 | 6,743 | 4mo | $3,500,000 | $519 | 57 |
| 4580 33rd St | 0.18mi | 14/8.0 | 5,414 | 3mo | $2,500,000 | $462 | 57 |
| 4515 35th Pl | 0.25mi | 8/4.0 | 2,400 | 2mo | $1,503,000 | $626 | 54 |
| 4674 Bancroft St | 0.34mi | 9/9.0 | 4,292 | 1mo | $2,355,000 | $549 | 51 |
| 4156-62 Swift Ave | 0.42mi | 10/5.0 | 3,212 | 2mo | $2,000,000 | $623 | 47 |
| 4636-40 Cherokee Ave | 0.47mi | 4/3.0 | 1,819 | 2mo | $1,257,000 | $691 | 44 |
| 4881-4883 33rd St | 0.59mi | 3/3.0 | 1,780 | 2mo | $1,275,000 | $716 | 39 |
| 4668 39th St | 0.65mi | 8/7.5 | 3,377 | 1mo | $2,100,000 | $622 | 36 |
| 4354 Utah St | 0.69mi | 38/26.0 | 6,011 | 2mo | $2,900,000 | $482 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $79,672
- Equity at exit
- $164,014
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.17×
- Total profit
- $360,310
- Equity at exit
- $95,108
Cash invested: $308,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92116
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 119
- Price-to-rent
- 40.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $13,546 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,769
- Tax from tax record
- −$188 /mo · $2,256/yr
- Insurance
- −$458
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,845
- Net cashflow
- $4,286
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $4,909 | -5% $4,598 | +0% $4,286 | +5% $2,719 | +10% $2,339 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $3,216 | -5% $3,751 | +0% $4,286 | +5% $4,822 | +10% $5,357 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $4,840 | -0.5pp $4,566 | base $4,286 | +0.5pp $4,001 | +1.0pp $3,711 |
6-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6× units | 1 | 1 | $13,548 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $2,258 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $2,258 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $2,258 |
| #4 | 1 | 1 | $2,258 |
| #5 | 1 | 1 | $2,258 |
| #6 | 1 | 1 | $2,258 |
| Total (6 units) | $13,546 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $275,000
- Closing costs
- $33,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3418 Monroe Ave #20 San Diego, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,800 | $4.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 4525 Felton St Apt G San Diego, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,650 | $3.31 | 25d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 4542 Felton St Apt E San Diego, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | — | $3,600 | — | 18d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 4576 Hawley Blvd #8 San Diego, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $2,595 | $3.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3470 Monroe Ave Apt 4 San Diego, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $2,495 | — | 25d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3470 Monroe Ave Apt 7 San Diego, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $2,250 | — | 25d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 4584 Felton St #3 San Diego, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 744 | $3,300 | $4.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 4515 Bancroft St Unit 1 San Diego, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $2,145 | — | 22d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 4515 Bancroft St Unit 3 San Diego, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $2,350 | — | 22d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 4609 34th St Apt 4 San Diego, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $2,200 | — | 4d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 4366 Felton St Unit 4368 San Diego, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,100 | $2.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 4367 33rd St San Diego, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $2,250 | — | 22d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 4361 33rd St Unit 4363 San Diego, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $2,250 | — | 21d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 4580 33rd St Apt 6 San Diego, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,200 | $2.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 4397 Swift Ave San Diego, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,650 | $2.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 4620 Hawley Blvd Unit HAW4620-7 San Diego, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,895 | $2.92 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 4627 34th St Unit 06 San Diego, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,495 | $2.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 4514 Bancroft St San Diego, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 465 | $2,475 | $5.32 | 2d | 4 | 0.20mi |
| 4515 35th St Unit 4515-04 San Diego, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 618 | $1,800 | $2.91 | 25d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 4515 35th St San Diego, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $1,800 | — | 14d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 4476 Bancroft St San Diego, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $1,900 | — | 0d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 4379 Swift Ave San Diego, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $2,095 | — | 17d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 4371 Swift Ave Unit 4371-1 San Diego, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $2,095 | — | 25d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 4371 Swift Ave Unit 4379-1 San Diego, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $1,995 | — | 25d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 4326 Felton St San Diego, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $4,400 | $3.67 | 22d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 4326 Felton St Unit 4330 San Diego, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 490 | $2,350 | $4.80 | 25d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 4455 32nd St Unit 4457A San Diego, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $2,000 | — | 4d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3231 Madison Ave San Diego, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,195 | $3.14 | 8d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3535 Monroe Ave #35 San Diego, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,475 | $2.75 | 12d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 4657 Felton St Unit 6 San Diego, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $2,195 | — | 13d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 4326 1/2 Swift Ave San Diego, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $1,895 | $4.21 | 3d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 4664 34th St Unit 04 San Diego, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $2,495 | $2.94 | 0d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 3211 Madison Ave San Diego, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $2,150 | $3.26 | 0d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 4669 34th St Unit 1 San Diego, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $2,795 | $3.37 | 0d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 4516 32nd St Unit 2A San Diego, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $2,275 | $3.95 | 25d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 4462 32nd St San Diego, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 700 | $2,195 | $3.14 | 25d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 4458 32nd St San Diego, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $3,128 | $3.68 | 14d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 4319 Swift Ave San Diego, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $3,300 | $3.88 | 25d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 4639 Bancroft St Apt 1 San Diego, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $2,100 | — | 25d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 4639 Bancroft St Unit 6 San Diego, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | — | $2,495 | — | 25d | 1 | 0.26mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-03-17status Pending
-
2026-03-17$1,100,000 Active
-
2025-11-21soldstatus $1,100,000 Closed 16-char remark
Show marketing remark (16 chars)
Investor Special
-
2025-11-21soldstatus $1,100,000
Show marketing remark (16 chars)
Investor Special
-
2025-11-03status Pending 16-char remark
Show marketing remark (16 chars)
Investor Special
-
2025-10-28status Active 16-char remark
Show marketing remark (16 chars)
Investor Special
-
2025-09-23status Pending 16-char remark
Show marketing remark (16 chars)
Investor Special
-
2025-09-23$1,100,000 Active 16-char remark
Show marketing remark (16 chars)
Investor Special
-
2025-02-21historical $1,575
-
2025-01-30$1,575
-
2023-11-29historical $1,495
-
2023-11-07price $1,495
-
2023-10-07price $1,645
-
2023-09-21price $1,745
-
2023-09-03$1,795
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,256 · $188/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,360 · $697/mo
- Expected delta
- +$6,104/yr (+$509/mo · 270.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $162,552
- − Mortgage interest
- −$61,617
- − Property taxes
- −$2,256
- − Insurance
- −$5,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$13,004
- − Management
- −$13,004
- − Depreciation
- −$32,000
- Taxable income
- $35,170
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$8,441
- After-tax cash flow
- $42,997/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Diego Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634320
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -28.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,673
- Composite
- 22.31/100
- National rank
- #8135
- State rank
- #393 of 517 in CA
Livability — San Diego
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #123
- US rank
- #4206
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Diego, CA
- County
- San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
- City population
- 1,397,612
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,843
- Household income
- $98,154
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2385.0
Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,678,185 people
- By 2030
- 3,856,546 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 4,171,407 · +13.4%
- By 2050
- 4,421,607 · +20.2%
- By 2075
- 4,831,599 · +31.4%
- By 2100
- 4,832,502 · +31.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 17% Asian 6% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Diego
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -863.79%
- Current HPI
- 378.6597
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.92%
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+61181.3% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Pending — SDMLS
- 2026-03-17 Listed $1,100,000 SDMLS
- 2025-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $1,100,000 Public Records
- 2025-11-21 Sold (MLS) $1,100,000 SDMLS
- 2025-11-03 Pending — SDMLS
- 2025-10-28 Relisted — SDMLS
- 2025-09-23 Pending — SDMLS
- 2025-09-23 Listed $1,100,000 SDMLS
- 2025-02-21 Rental Removed $1,575 APPFOLIO
- 2025-01-30 Listed for Rent $1,575 APPFOLIO
- 2023-11-29 Rental Removed $1,495 RENT.
- 2023-11-07 Price Changed $1,495 RENT.
- 2023-10-07 Price Changed $1,645 RENT.
- 2023-09-21 Price Changed $1,745 RENT.
- 2023-09-03 Listed for Rent $1,795 RENT.
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,256 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…