256 Curtis Ave · Carle Place, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 40.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.1/30.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
- DSCR +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$679,777
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover this unique Expanded Cape single-family residence nestled in the heart of Carle Place, New York. Perfectly situated in the highly regarded Carle Place Union Free School District. People love the easy access to top-rated education just minutes away. Key features include:1st Floor Primary Bedroom with full bath downstairs, Partial attic for extra storage, Convenient driveway and garage parking, updated boiler, roof and electric service. Located in the desirable hamlet of Carle Place in the Town of North Hempstead, Nassau County, this home offers a quiet neighborhood vibe while being close to shopping, parks, and major parkways for an easy commute to Manhattan and beyond. Don't miss your chance to own this one-of-a-kind home in a prime location!
Key facts
- 6,000 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1948
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $680k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-966 ($-12k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $509k (25.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $481k (29.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $481k (29.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#52 in NY, #801 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, amenities A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Carle Place Union Free School District (suburban): math 74% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #99 of 590 in NY (top 17%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($670k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $143k; list at $680k implies a 376% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 40% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.09%
- DSCR
- 0.73
- GRM
- 11.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $912,163
- List price
- $679,777
- Delta
- -25.48%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49 Atlantic Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,269 (-2%) | 1mo | $715,000 | $563 | 85 |
| 33 Cherry Ln | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 | 1,224 (-5%) | 5mo | $714,000 | $583 | 71 |
| 53 Atlantic Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,125 (-13%) | 1mo | $635,000 | $564 | 66 |
| 119 Broadmoor Ln | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,330 (+3%) | 6mo | $680,000 | $511 | 58 |
| 294 Curtis Ave | 0.11mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 1,125 (-13%) | 2mo | $1,600,000 | $1,422 | 55 |
| 99 Roosevelt Ct | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,409 (+9%) | 9mo | $760,000 | $539 | 55 |
| 262 Fairfield Ave | 0.61mi | 4/1.0 | 1,226 (-5%) | 12mo | $615,000 | $502 | 53 |
| 25 Winnie Ct | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 | 1,161 (-10%) | 7mo | $860,000 | $741 | 50 |
| 132 Gordon Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,200 (-7%) | 6mo | $755,000 | $629 | 45 |
| 223 Fairfield Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,398 (+8%) | 14mo | $575,000 | $411 | 39 |
| 268 Fairfield Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,146 (-11%) | 7mo | $695,000 | $606 | 39 |
| 215 Jerome Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,130 (-12%) | 11mo | $688,000 | $609 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.10×
- Total profit
- $-171,557
- Equity at exit
- $101,357
- IRR
- -24.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.20×
- Total profit
- $-228,136
- Equity at exit
- $58,775
Cash invested: $190,338 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11514
- Home prices YoY
- -19.7%
- Active inventory
- 15
- Price-to-rent
- 11.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,812 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,565
- Tax from tax record
- −$919 /mo · $11,034/yr
- Insurance
- −$283
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,011
- Net cashflow
- $-966
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $169,944
- Closing costs
- $20,393
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 Cherry Ln Carle Place, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $4,800 | $3.92 | 1d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 191 Raff Ave Mineola, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $4,500 | $3.00 | 1d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 220 Pershing Pkwy Mineola, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $4,750 | $3.06 | 1d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 80 Old Country Rd Mineola, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $3,200 | $2.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1299 Corporate Dr Westbury, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1073 | $5,167 | $4.81 | 1d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 50 Albertson Pl Mineola, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $4,750 | $3.11 | 1d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 998 Stewart Ave Garden City, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1508 | $6,000 | $3.98 | 1d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 367 Columbus Pkwy Mineola, NY | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1611 | $5,350 | $3.32 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 248 Fulton St Westbury, NY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1000 | $5,000 | $5.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 159 Harrison Ave Unit C Mineola, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $5,300 | $2.91 | 2d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending 762-char remark
Show marketing remark (762 chars)
Discover this unique Expanded Cape single-family residence nestled in the heart of Carle Place, New York. Perfectly situated in the highly regarded Carle Place Union Free School District. People love the easy access to top-rated education just minutes away. Key features include:1st Floor Primary Bedroom with full bath downstairs, Partial attic for extra storage, Convenient driveway and garage parking, updated boiler, roof and electric service. Located in the desirable hamlet of Carle Place in the Town of North Hempstead, Nassau County, this home offers a quiet neighborhood vibe while being close to shopping, parks, and major parkways for an easy commute to Manhattan and beyond. Don't miss your chance to own this one-of-a-kind home in a prime location!
-
2026-05-07price $679,777 762-char remark
Show marketing remark (762 chars)
Discover this unique Expanded Cape single-family residence nestled in the heart of Carle Place, New York. Perfectly situated in the highly regarded Carle Place Union Free School District. People love the easy access to top-rated education just minutes away. Key features include:1st Floor Primary Bedroom with full bath downstairs, Partial attic for extra storage, Convenient driveway and garage parking, updated boiler, roof and electric service. Located in the desirable hamlet of Carle Place in the Town of North Hempstead, Nassau County, this home offers a quiet neighborhood vibe while being close to shopping, parks, and major parkways for an easy commute to Manhattan and beyond. Don't miss your chance to own this one-of-a-kind home in a prime location!
-
2026-04-30$699,777 Active 762-char remark
Show marketing remark (762 chars)
Discover this unique Expanded Cape single-family residence nestled in the heart of Carle Place, New York. Perfectly situated in the highly regarded Carle Place Union Free School District. People love the easy access to top-rated education just minutes away. Key features include:1st Floor Primary Bedroom with full bath downstairs, Partial attic for extra storage, Convenient driveway and garage parking, updated boiler, roof and electric service. Located in the desirable hamlet of Carle Place in the Town of North Hempstead, Nassau County, this home offers a quiet neighborhood vibe while being close to shopping, parks, and major parkways for an easy commute to Manhattan and beyond. Don't miss your chance to own this one-of-a-kind home in a prime location!
-
2026-04-20historical $699,777 762-char remark
Show marketing remark (762 chars)
Discover this unique Expanded Cape single-family residence nestled in the heart of Carle Place, New York. Perfectly situated in the highly regarded Carle Place Union Free School District. People love the easy access to top-rated education just minutes away. Key features include:1st Floor Primary Bedroom with full bath downstairs, Partial attic for extra storage, Convenient driveway and garage parking, updated boiler, roof and electric service. Located in the desirable hamlet of Carle Place in the Town of North Hempstead, Nassau County, this home offers a quiet neighborhood vibe while being close to shopping, parks, and major parkways for an easy commute to Manhattan and beyond. Don't miss your chance to own this one-of-a-kind home in a prime location!
-
2000-09-01soldstatus $142,870
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $11,034 · $919/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,261 · $938/mo
- Expected delta
- +$227/yr (+$19/mo · 2.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 40% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $57,746
- − Mortgage interest
- −$38,078
- − Property taxes
- −$11,034
- − Insurance
- −$3,399
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,620
- − Management
- −$4,620
- − Depreciation
- −$19,775
- Taxable loss
- −$23,779
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,707
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,884/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carle Place Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3606540
- Math proficiency
- 74% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 68% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $93,519
- Composite
- 64.39/100
- National rank
- #546
- State rank
- #99 of 590 in NY
Livability — Carle Place
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #801
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Carle Place, NY
- City population
- 4,421
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,421
Population outlook (Nassau County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,409,302 people
- By 2030
- 1,431,482 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 1,471,607 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 1,502,845 · +6.6%
- By 2075
- 1,575,403 · +11.8%
- By 2100
- 1,554,356 · +10.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Asian 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 6% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Russian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 60% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Spanish 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Nassau
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.2 2020: D+9.5 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.88%
- Current HPI
- 321.7934
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+375.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $679,777 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Listed $699,777 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Coming Soon $699,777 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $142,870 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2024): $11,034 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…