🏷️ Likely Rental
309 W Cypress St · Fitzgerald, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 98.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a solid investment opportunity with reliable rental income. Currently tenant-occupied and generating $500 per month, the property provides immediate cash flow for investors. The layout includes a functional living space, practical kitchen, and comfortable bedrooms. The property also features a chain-link fenced yard, adding convenience and security. With steady occupancy in place, this home is ideal for those seeking a low-maintenance addition to their portfolio with consistent income potential.
Key facts
- 0.31 acre lot
- Built 1978
- Listed 54 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $470 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($967 rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.8% vs local median 5.0% in Fitzgerald — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#513 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
- Ben Hill County (rural): math 19% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #145 of 174 in GA (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Ben Hill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ben Hill County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $45k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.77%
- DSCR
- 2.99
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $65,000
- List price
- $45,000
- Delta
- -30.77%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 W Orange St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,047 (+8%) | 2mo | $94,870 | $91 | 68 |
| 612 W Magnolia St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 1,102 (+14%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $59 | 58 |
| 612 W Magnolia St Unit NA | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 1,102 (+14%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $59 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.80×
- Total profit
- $22,651
- Equity at exit
- $6,710
- IRR
- 48.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.63×
- Total profit
- $58,292
- Equity at exit
- $3,891
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31750
- Home prices YoY
- -8.0%
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $967 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $468/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$203
- Net cashflow
- $470
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $496 | -5% $483 | +0% $470 | +5% $457 | +10% $445 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $394 | -5% $432 | +0% $470 | +5% $508 | +10% $546 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $493 | -0.5pp $482 | base $470 | +0.5pp $458 | +1.0pp $447 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $45,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $45,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $45,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $45,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $45,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $45,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $45,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $45,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $45,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $45,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $45,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $45,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $45,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $45,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $45,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-13status Active 535-char remark
Show marketing remark (535 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a solid investment opportunity with reliable rental income. Currently tenant-occupied and generating $500 per month, the property provides immediate cash flow for investors. The layout includes a functional living space, practical kitchen, and comfortable bedrooms. The property also features a chain-link fenced yard, adding convenience and security. With steady occupancy in place, this home is ideal for those seeking a low-maintenance addition to their portfolio with consistent income potential.
-
2026-05-13price $45,000 535-char remark
Show marketing remark (535 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a solid investment opportunity with reliable rental income. Currently tenant-occupied and generating $500 per month, the property provides immediate cash flow for investors. The layout includes a functional living space, practical kitchen, and comfortable bedrooms. The property also features a chain-link fenced yard, adding convenience and security. With steady occupancy in place, this home is ideal for those seeking a low-maintenance addition to their portfolio with consistent income potential.
-
2026-04-17$48,500 Active 535-char remark
Show marketing remark (535 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a solid investment opportunity with reliable rental income. Currently tenant-occupied and generating $500 per month, the property provides immediate cash flow for investors. The layout includes a functional living space, practical kitchen, and comfortable bedrooms. The property also features a chain-link fenced yard, adding convenience and security. With steady occupancy in place, this home is ideal for those seeking a low-maintenance addition to their portfolio with consistent income potential.
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2006-07-14soldstatus $28,000
-
1992-08-27soldstatus $22,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $468 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $468 · $39/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,603
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$468
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$928
- − Management
- −$928
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $5,223
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,254
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,387/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ben Hill County
- NCES district ID
- 1300360
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,617
- Composite
- 16.47/100
- National rank
- #9186
- State rank
- #145 of 174 in GA
Livability — Fitzgerald
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #513
- US rank
- #23277
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fitzgerald, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,582
Population outlook (Ben Hill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,426 people
- By 2030
- 15,788 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 14,582 · -11.2%
- By 2050
- 13,351 · -18.7%
- By 2075
- 10,301 · -37.3%
- By 2100
- 7,652 · -53.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 35% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ben Hill
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.0) · D 33.8% · R 65.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.3pp toward R · 2008: -13.7pp · 2024: -32.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.0 2020: R+26.2 2016: R+27.6 2012: R+14.9 2008: R+13.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -17.36%
- Current HPI
- 200.1257
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+100.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — TBOR
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $45,000 TBOR
- 2026-04-17 Listed $48,500 TBOR
- 2006-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
- 1992-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $22,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $468 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…