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309 W Cypress St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 74.4
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$45,000

309 W Cypress St · Fitzgerald, GA 31750
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 968 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 54 Days on market
Built 1978 0.31 ac lot $46/sqft · 31% below area Est $65k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a solid investment opportunity with reliable rental income. Currently tenant-occupied and generating $500 per month, the property provides immediate cash flow for investors. The layout includes a functional living space, practical kitchen, and comfortable bedrooms. The property also features a chain-link fenced yard, adding convenience and security. With steady occupancy in place, this home is ideal for those seeking a low-maintenance addition to their portfolio with consistent income potential.

Key facts

  • 0.31 acre lot
  • Built 1978
  • Listed 54 days

Tags

CHAIN-LINK FENCED YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $45,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$65,000) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $470 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($967 rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.8% vs local median 5.0% in Fitzgerald — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#513 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Ben Hill County (rural): math 19% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #145 of 174 in GA (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Ben Hill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ben Hill County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $45k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $43,650 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.15%
Cap rate
18.83%
Cash-on-cash
44.77%
DSCR
2.99
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$65,000
List price
$45,000
Delta
-30.77%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
110 W Orange St 0.17mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,047 (+8%) 2mo $94,870 $91 68
612 W Magnolia St 0.36mi 2/1.0 1,102 (+14%) 2mo $65,000 $59 58
612 W Magnolia St Unit NA 0.36mi 2/1.0 1,102 (+14%) 2mo $65,000 $59 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
41.8%
Equity multiple
2.80×
Total profit
$22,651
Equity at exit
$6,710
10-year hold
IRR
48.0%
Equity multiple
5.63×
Total profit
$58,292
Equity at exit
$3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31750

Home prices YoY
-8.0%
Active inventory
124
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$967 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax from tax record
$39 /mo · $468/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$203
Net cashflow
$470

Break-even live

Break-even rent $372
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $496 -5% $483 +0% $470 +5% $457 +10% $445
Rent -10% $394 -5% $432 +0% $470 +5% $508 +10% $546
Rate -1.0pp $493 -0.5pp $482 base $470 +0.5pp $458 +1.0pp $447

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $45,000 Active 54 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $45,000 Active 53 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $45,000 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $45,000 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $45,000 Active 49 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,000 Active 48 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 46 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $45,000 Active 45 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 42 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 41 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 40 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 39 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $45,000 Active 36 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 35 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 34 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 33 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 32 DOM
  18. 2026-05-13
    status Active 535-char remark
    Show marketing remark (535 chars)

    This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a solid investment opportunity with reliable rental income. Currently tenant-occupied and generating $500 per month, the property provides immediate cash flow for investors. The layout includes a functional living space, practical kitchen, and comfortable bedrooms. The property also features a chain-link fenced yard, adding convenience and security. With steady occupancy in place, this home is ideal for those seeking a low-maintenance addition to their portfolio with consistent income potential.

  19. 2026-05-13
    price $45,000 535-char remark
    Show marketing remark (535 chars)

    This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a solid investment opportunity with reliable rental income. Currently tenant-occupied and generating $500 per month, the property provides immediate cash flow for investors. The layout includes a functional living space, practical kitchen, and comfortable bedrooms. The property also features a chain-link fenced yard, adding convenience and security. With steady occupancy in place, this home is ideal for those seeking a low-maintenance addition to their portfolio with consistent income potential.

  20. 2026-04-17
    listed $48,500 Active 535-char remark
    Show marketing remark (535 chars)

    This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a solid investment opportunity with reliable rental income. Currently tenant-occupied and generating $500 per month, the property provides immediate cash flow for investors. The layout includes a functional living space, practical kitchen, and comfortable bedrooms. The property also features a chain-link fenced yard, adding convenience and security. With steady occupancy in place, this home is ideal for those seeking a low-maintenance addition to their portfolio with consistent income potential.

  21. 2006-07-14
    soldstatus $28,000
  22. 1992-08-27
    soldstatus $22,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$468 · $39/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$468 · $39/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,603
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$468
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$928
− Management
−$928
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$5,223
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,254
After-tax cash flow
$4,387/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ben Hill County
NCES district ID
1300360
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$30,617
Composite
16.47/100
National rank
#9186
State rank
#145 of 174 in GA

Livability — Fitzgerald

Score
55/100
State rank
#513
US rank
#23277

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fitzgerald, GA
Population (ZIP)
18,582

Population outlook (Ben Hill County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
16,426 people
By 2030
15,788 · -3.9%
By 2040
14,582 · -11.2%
By 2050
13,351 · -18.7%
By 2075
10,301 · -37.3%
By 2100
7,652 · -53.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Black 35% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ben Hill

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.0) · D 33.8% · R 65.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.3pp toward R · 2008: -13.7pp · 2024: -32.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.0 2020: R+26.2 2016: R+27.6 2012: R+14.9 2008: R+13.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -17.36%
Current HPI
200.1257
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Relisted TBOR
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $45,000 TBOR
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $48,500 TBOR
  • 2006-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
  • 1992-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $22,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $468 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…