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16101 N El Mirage Rd #25
C+ Composite 61.85
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.9/30.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

16101 N El Mirage Rd #25 · El Mirage, AZ 85335
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,501 sqft · SingleFamily · 355 Days on market
Built 2025 Good condition $113/sqft · 83% above area ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This beautiful home nestled on a corner directly across from the Community Center located in the Coppersun community in El Mirage, AZ offers 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Built in 2023 by Cavco, this home features an open floor plan 10Ft ceiling, 8 ft doors, crown molding, a cozy living room, separate dining room for entertaining, a master bedroom with an en-suite bathroom with a large tub and shower, a modern kitchen with all appliances included, and a convenient laundry room. The exterior boasts a carport for parking and a patio for outdoor enjoyment. Coppersun is a vibrant community in El Mirage, AZ offering residents a variety of amenities and activities. Residents can enjoy a clubhouse for social gatherings, a swimming pool for hot days, and a fitness center for staying active. The community also features walking paths, picnic areas, and organized events to bring neighbors together. Located near shopping, dining, and entertainment options, Coppersun provides a comfortable and convenient place to call home in the heart of Arizona.

Key facts

  • Built 2025
  • Listed 354 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $416 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 4.5% in El Mirage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#112 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Dysart Unified District (4243) (suburban): math 34% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #73 of 249 in AZ (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 132 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 355 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $149,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 355 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
9.23%
Cash-on-cash
10.50%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$93,067
List price
$169,900
Delta
82.56%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12238 W Ironwood St 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,680 (+12%) 4mo $341,000 $203 70
12121 W Desert Ln 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,407 (-6%) 7mo $335,000 $238 68
12105 W Ocotillo Ln 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,680 (+12%) 3mo $387,000 $230 66
15608 N Factory St 0.41mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,492 (-1%) 13mo $300,000 $201 64
16044 N Factory St N 0.37mi 3/1.5 1,400 (-7%) 7mo $285,000 $204 63
15633 N Factory St 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,316 (-12%) 3mo $332,500 $253 60
15205 N Honcho Ct 0.55mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,495 (-0%) 10mo $350,000 $234 58
12008 W Acapulco Dr 0.47mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,642 (+9%) 3mo $369,990 $225 55
12056 W Caribbean Ln 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,642 (+9%) 10mo $322,100 $196 53
12681 W Cottonwood St 0.68mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,444 (-4%) 6mo $315,000 $218 52
11758 W Acapulco Ln 0.65mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,642 (+9%) 2mo $360,000 $219 47
14808 N EL Frio St 0.73mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,642 (+9%) 6mo $350,000 $213 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.9%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-6,727
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
2.1%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$6,170
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85335

Home prices YoY
-13.3%
Rents YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
132
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,013 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax est. 1.5%
$212 /mo · $2,548/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$423
Net cashflow
$416

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,486
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $534 -5% $475 +0% $416 +5% $358 +10% $299
Rent -10% $257 -5% $337 +0% $416 +5% $496 +10% $575
Rate -1.0pp $502 -0.5pp $460 base $416 +0.5pp $372 +1.0pp $328

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12134 W Ironwood St El Mirage, AZ 3.0 2.0 1680 $1,950 $1.16 25d 1 0.12mi
12121 W Ironwood St El Mirage, AZ 3.0 2.0 1680 $1,999 $1.19 25d 1 0.15mi
12128 W Tara Ln El Mirage, AZ 4.0 3.0 2117 $2,145 $1.01 19d 1 0.17mi
12128 W Tara Ln El Mirage, AZ 4.0 3.0 2117 $2,145 $1.01 2d 1 0.17mi
12204 W Ocotillo Ln El Mirage, AZ 4.0 3.0 2117 $1,949 $0.92 24d 1 0.23mi
15620 N El Mirage Rd Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.5 1310 $1,599 $1.22 25d 2 0.31mi
15204 N El Frio Ct El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.5 1978 $2,019 $1.02 3d 1 0.50mi
16629 N Greasewood St Surprise, AZ 2.0 1.5 1052 $1,462 $1.39 2d 3 0.55mi
16520 N Greasewood St Surprise, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.5 1267 $1,850 $1.46 2d 17 0.55mi
15109 N Verbena St El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.0 1642 $1,869 $1.14 44d 1 0.57mi
14809 N El Frio Cir El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.0 1700 $2,300 $1.35 25d 1 0.75mi
14809 N El Frio Cir El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.0 1459 $2,199 $1.51 22d 1 0.75mi
14715 N 124th Ave El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.0 1534 $2,010 $1.31 44d 1 0.80mi
14815 N Tonya Cir El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.0 1642 $2,040 $1.24 44d 1 0.80mi
12817 W Cottonwood St Surprise, AZ 2.0 1.0 1795 $1,300 $0.72 4d 1 0.82mi
12438 W Hearn Rd El Mirage, AZ 3.0 2.0 1308 $1,595 $1.22 24d 1 0.85mi
12437 W Via Camille El Mirage, AZ 3.0 2.0 1534 $1,875 $1.22 17d 1 0.88mi
11759 W Banff Ln El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.5 1495 $2,000 $1.34 44d 1 0.89mi
12532 W Saint Moritz Ln El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.0 1534 $1,875 $1.22 6d 1 1.00mi
11402 W Hutton Dr Surprise, AZ 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,800 $1.12 25d 1 1.01mi
11417 W Amber Trl Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1130 $1,750 $1.55 6d 1 1.03mi
12945 W Greenway Rd El Mirage, AZ 2.0 2.0 1060 $1,300 $1.23 24d 4 1.04mi
11345 W Loma Blanca Dr Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1368 $1,930 $1.41 44d 1 1.06mi
12574 W Lisbon Ln El Mirage, AZ 3.0 2.0 1058 $1,700 $1.61 5d 1 1.07mi
16608 N 113th Dr Surprise, AZ 4.0 2.0 1571 $1,900 $1.21 44d 1 1.09mi
12537 W Redfield Rd El Mirage, AZ 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,795 $1.12 25d 1 1.10mi
11554 W Mule Deer Ct Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1963 $1,816 $0.93 44d 1 1.12mi
15426 N Cactus Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 1.0 1376 $1,634 $1.19 44d 1 1.15mi
11755 W Thompson Ranch Rd El Mirage, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 936 $2,771 $2.96 2d 1 1.20mi
13029 W Lisbon Ln El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.5 1949 $1,860 $0.95 2d 1 1.32mi
17447 Avenue of the Arts Unit 2 Surprise, AZ 2.0 2.0 1078 $1,732 $1.61 25d 1 1.33mi
17447 Avenue of the Arts Unit 3 Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1183 $1,822 $1.54 25d 1 1.33mi
17590 N 114th Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 3.0 1737 $1,695 $0.98 6d 1 1.34mi
17590 N 114th Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.5 1737 $1,695 $0.98 25d 1 1.34mi
13007 W Mandalay Ln El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.5 2178 $2,095 $0.96 25d 1 1.35mi
12830 W Via Camille El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.5 2179 $2,145 $0.98 2d 1 1.37mi
13227 W Port au Prince Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1522 $1,759 $1.16 24d 1 1.39mi
13227 W Port au Prince Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1522 $1,709 $1.12 15d 1 1.39mi
17447 N Avenue of the Arts Surprise, AZ 2.0 2.0 1078 $1,813 $1.68 13d 1 1.40mi
17447 N Avenue of the Arts Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1183 $1,981 $1.67 2d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,900 Active 355 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,900 Active 354 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,900 Active 353 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,900 Active 352 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,900 Active 350 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,900 Active 346 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,900 Active 345 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,900 Active 344 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $169,900 Active 341 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,900 Active 340 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,900 Active 339 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,900 Active 338 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Active 337 DOM
  14. 2026-01-29
    status Active 1062-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1062 chars)

    This beautiful home nestled on a corner directly across from the Community Center located in the Coppersun community in El Mirage, AZ offers 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Built in 2023 by Cavco, this home features an open floor plan 10Ft ceiling, 8 ft doors, crown molding, a cozy living room, separate dining room for entertaining, a master bedroom with an en-suite bathroom with a large tub and shower, a modern kitchen with all appliances included, and a convenient laundry room. The exterior boasts a carport for parking and a patio for outdoor enjoyment. Coppersun is a vibrant community in El Mirage, AZ offering residents a variety of amenities and activities. Residents can enjoy a clubhouse for social gatherings, a swimming pool for hot days, and a fitness center for staying active. The community also features walking paths, picnic areas, and organized events to bring neighbors together. Located near shopping, dining, and entertainment options, Coppersun provides a comfortable and convenient place to call home in the heart of Arizona.

  15. 2025-12-18
    historical 1062-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1062 chars)

    This beautiful home nestled on a corner directly across from the Community Center located in the Coppersun community in El Mirage, AZ offers 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Built in 2023 by Cavco, this home features an open floor plan 10Ft ceiling, 8 ft doors, crown molding, a cozy living room, separate dining room for entertaining, a master bedroom with an en-suite bathroom with a large tub and shower, a modern kitchen with all appliances included, and a convenient laundry room. The exterior boasts a carport for parking and a patio for outdoor enjoyment. Coppersun is a vibrant community in El Mirage, AZ offering residents a variety of amenities and activities. Residents can enjoy a clubhouse for social gatherings, a swimming pool for hot days, and a fitness center for staying active. The community also features walking paths, picnic areas, and organized events to bring neighbors together. Located near shopping, dining, and entertainment options, Coppersun provides a comfortable and convenient place to call home in the heart of Arizona.

  16. 2025-11-19
    status Active 1062-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1062 chars)

    This beautiful home nestled on a corner directly across from the Community Center located in the Coppersun community in El Mirage, AZ offers 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Built in 2023 by Cavco, this home features an open floor plan 10Ft ceiling, 8 ft doors, crown molding, a cozy living room, separate dining room for entertaining, a master bedroom with an en-suite bathroom with a large tub and shower, a modern kitchen with all appliances included, and a convenient laundry room. The exterior boasts a carport for parking and a patio for outdoor enjoyment. Coppersun is a vibrant community in El Mirage, AZ offering residents a variety of amenities and activities. Residents can enjoy a clubhouse for social gatherings, a swimming pool for hot days, and a fitness center for staying active. The community also features walking paths, picnic areas, and organized events to bring neighbors together. Located near shopping, dining, and entertainment options, Coppersun provides a comfortable and convenient place to call home in the heart of Arizona.

  17. 2025-11-19
    historical 1062-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1062 chars)

    This beautiful home nestled on a corner directly across from the Community Center located in the Coppersun community in El Mirage, AZ offers 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Built in 2023 by Cavco, this home features an open floor plan 10Ft ceiling, 8 ft doors, crown molding, a cozy living room, separate dining room for entertaining, a master bedroom with an en-suite bathroom with a large tub and shower, a modern kitchen with all appliances included, and a convenient laundry room. The exterior boasts a carport for parking and a patio for outdoor enjoyment. Coppersun is a vibrant community in El Mirage, AZ offering residents a variety of amenities and activities. Residents can enjoy a clubhouse for social gatherings, a swimming pool for hot days, and a fitness center for staying active. The community also features walking paths, picnic areas, and organized events to bring neighbors together. Located near shopping, dining, and entertainment options, Coppersun provides a comfortable and convenient place to call home in the heart of Arizona.

  18. 2025-09-23
    price $169,900 1062-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1062 chars)

    This beautiful home nestled on a corner directly across from the Community Center located in the Coppersun community in El Mirage, AZ offers 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Built in 2023 by Cavco, this home features an open floor plan 10Ft ceiling, 8 ft doors, crown molding, a cozy living room, separate dining room for entertaining, a master bedroom with an en-suite bathroom with a large tub and shower, a modern kitchen with all appliances included, and a convenient laundry room. The exterior boasts a carport for parking and a patio for outdoor enjoyment. Coppersun is a vibrant community in El Mirage, AZ offering residents a variety of amenities and activities. Residents can enjoy a clubhouse for social gatherings, a swimming pool for hot days, and a fitness center for staying active. The community also features walking paths, picnic areas, and organized events to bring neighbors together. Located near shopping, dining, and entertainment options, Coppersun provides a comfortable and convenient place to call home in the heart of Arizona.

  19. 2025-05-15
    listed $189,900 Active 1062-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1062 chars)

    This beautiful home nestled on a corner directly across from the Community Center located in the Coppersun community in El Mirage, AZ offers 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Built in 2023 by Cavco, this home features an open floor plan 10Ft ceiling, 8 ft doors, crown molding, a cozy living room, separate dining room for entertaining, a master bedroom with an en-suite bathroom with a large tub and shower, a modern kitchen with all appliances included, and a convenient laundry room. The exterior boasts a carport for parking and a patio for outdoor enjoyment. Coppersun is a vibrant community in El Mirage, AZ offering residents a variety of amenities and activities. Residents can enjoy a clubhouse for social gatherings, a swimming pool for hot days, and a fitness center for staying active. The community also features walking paths, picnic areas, and organized events to bring neighbors together. Located near shopping, dining, and entertainment options, Coppersun provides a comfortable and convenient place to call home in the heart of Arizona.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,160
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$2,548
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,933
− Management
−$1,933
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable income
$2,437
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$585
After-tax cash flow
$4,412/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This well-maintained single-family home in El Mirage, AZ is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed. It offers a modern kitchen, bathrooms, and living spaces, and is located in a vibrant community with amenities.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Upgrade lighting fixtures — Modern lighting can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior ambiance

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Upgrade lighting fixtures — Modern lighting can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior ambiance

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dysart Unified District (4243)
NCES district ID
0402690
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$58,033
Composite
32.76/100
National rank
#5634
State rank
#73 of 249 in AZ

Livability — El Mirage

Score
63/100
State rank
#112
US rank
#15164

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
El Mirage, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
36,088
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
36,088
Household income
$78,050
Rent vs Own
30.3% rent · 69.7% own
Severe rent burden
669.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 50% White 35% Two or more races 28% Black 6% Native American 1% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 37%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada
Languages at home
66% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -52.81%
Current HPI
342.6503
Rent YoY
▲ 0.08%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-29 Relisted Zillow
  • 2025-12-18 Delisted Zillow
  • 2025-11-19 Relisted Zillow
  • 2025-11-19 Delisted Zillow
  • 2025-09-23 Price Changed $169,900 Zillow
  • 2025-05-15 Listed $189,900 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…