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3210 Old Jacksonville Hwy
B Composite 71.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

3210 Old Jacksonville Hwy · Tyler, TX 75701
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,956 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1961 Est $305k · 48% under ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable family home conveniently located inside the Loop. 4/2.5/2 home with nearly 2000 sf . .. Living room with fireplace; 2 bedrooms downstairs and 2 bedrooms upstairs; formal living and dining combo; separate utility room; and storage room in the garage. Nice size back yard and circle drive in front. Make an appointment to see today!

Key facts

  • Bathrooms remodeled
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1961

Tags

BATHROOMS REMODELED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the Garden Oaks subdivision

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached or detached 2-car garage
  • Home design: Single-family detached residence; Two-story
  • Construction: Brick veneer construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Patio

Interior

  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace (1)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $425 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.6% in Tyler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#147 in TX, #4,181 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, commute F.
  • Tyler ISD (urban): math 39% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #449 of 826 in TX (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Woods El (math 54% / reading 51%, grade C-, #720 of 4,322 statewide, top 17%, 756 students, 48% FRL); Hubbard Middle (math 47% / reading 45%, grade D+, #462 of 1,662 statewide, top 28%, 869 students, 62% FRL); Tyler Legacy H S (math 34% / reading 49%, grade F, #767 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 2,594 students, 58% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 327 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 595 units permitted in Smith County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Smith County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $160,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
9.48%
Cash-on-cash
11.38%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$305,136
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3206 Old Jacksonville 0.04mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,889 (-3%) 11mo $239,000 $127 77
3902 Darrell Ln 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,916 (-2%) 15mo $299,500 $156 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.66% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.5%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$2,600
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
11.8%
Equity multiple
1.96×
Total profit
$43,189
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75701

Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
327
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,056 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$294 /mo · $3,526/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$432
Net cashflow
$425

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,518
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $515 -5% $470 +0% $425 +5% $380 +10% $334
Rent -10% $262 -5% $344 +0% $425 +5% $506 +10% $587
Rate -1.0pp $506 -0.5pp $466 base $425 +0.5pp $383 +1.0pp $341

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3301 Brookside Dr Tyler, TX 4.0 2.0 2328 $2,250 $0.97 15d 1 0.28mi
1692 Alamo Xing Tyler, TX 4.0 2.0 1610 $2,300 $1.43 15d 1 0.51mi
1224 S Azalea Dr Tyler, TX 3.0 1.0 1276 $1,300 $1.02 15d 1 0.58mi
1107 Dogwood St Tyler, TX 3.0 1.5 1620 $1,475 $0.91 22d 1 0.67mi
401 Woodland Hills Dr Tyler, TX 3.0 2.5 2612 $3,200 $1.23 45d 1 0.71mi
2302 Walton Rd Tyler, TX 3.0 2.0 1248 $1,600 $1.28 22d 1 0.83mi
117 Ridgecrest Dr Tyler, TX 3.0 2.0 1571 $2,150 $1.37 45d 1 0.84mi
2720 S Broadway Ave Tyler, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1064 $1,330 $1.25 15d 14 0.93mi
3210 S Donnybrook Ave Tyler, TX 3.0 2.0 1584 $1,945 $1.23 22d 1 1.00mi
3106 S Donnybrook Ave Tyler, TX 3.0 1.0 1251 $1,525 $1.22 15d 1 1.00mi
2002 S Robertson Ave Tyler, TX 3.0 2.5 1992 $1,800 $0.90 45d 1 1.02mi
328 Brookwood Dr Tyler, TX 4.0 2.0 1985 $2,300 $1.16 45d 1 1.12mi
711 W 6th St Tyler, TX 3.0 2.0 1854 $1,850 $1.00 15d 1 1.16mi
509 Winchester Dr Tyler, TX 4.0 2.0 1960 $2,400 $1.22 15d 1 1.19mi
3712 Colony Park Dr Tyler, TX 3.0 2.0 1802 $1,850 $1.03 15d 1 1.23mi
3206 Bain Pl Tyler, TX 3.0 2.5 1840 $1,895 $1.03 45d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    listed $160,000 Active
  2. 2024-05-21
    soldstatus Closed 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    Affordable family home conveniently located inside the Loop. 4/2.5/2 home with nearly 2000 sf . .. Living room with fireplace; 2 bedrooms downstairs and 2 bedrooms upstairs; formal living and dining combo; separate utility room; and storage room in the garage. Nice size back yard and circle drive in front. Make an appointment to see today!

  3. 2024-04-10
    historical 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    Affordable family home conveniently located inside the Loop. 4/2.5/2 home with nearly 2000 sf . .. Living room with fireplace; 2 bedrooms downstairs and 2 bedrooms upstairs; formal living and dining combo; separate utility room; and storage room in the garage. Nice size back yard and circle drive in front. Make an appointment to see today!

  4. 2024-04-02
    listed $190,000 Active 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    Affordable family home conveniently located inside the Loop. 4/2.5/2 home with nearly 2000 sf . .. Living room with fireplace; 2 bedrooms downstairs and 2 bedrooms upstairs; formal living and dining combo; separate utility room; and storage room in the garage. Nice size back yard and circle drive in front. Make an appointment to see today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,526 · $294/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,526 · $294/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 61% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,675
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$3,526
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,974
− Management
−$1,974
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable income
$2,785
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$668
After-tax cash flow
$4,431/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tyler ISD
NCES district ID
4843470
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,090
Composite
32.69/100
National rank
#5650
State rank
#449 of 826 in TX

Livability — Tyler

Score
75/100
State rank
#147
US rank
#4181

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tyler, TX
County
Smith County · 180,570 people
City population
127,842
Metro
Tyler, TX
Population (ZIP)
36,344
Household income
$66,401
Rent vs Own
40.0% rent · 60.0% own
Severe rent burden
1116.0

Population outlook (Smith County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,890 people
By 2030
261,665 · +5.1%
By 2040
286,114 · +15.0%
By 2050
308,006 · +23.8%
By 2075
354,171 · +42.3%
By 2100
372,828 · +49.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Smith

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.6pp toward R · 2008: -39.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.1 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+39.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -299.78%
Current HPI
207.238
Rent YoY
▲ 3.66%
Metro
Tyler, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-15.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $160,000 GTAR
  • 2024-05-21 Sold (MLS) GTAR
  • 2024-04-10 Delisted GTAR
  • 2024-04-02 Listed $190,000 GTAR

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $3,526 · +7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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