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310 W 1st St
D Composite 44.39
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

310 W 1st St · Roswell, NM 88203
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 119 Days on market
Built 1908 2,250 sqft lot ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This cozy little duplex is full of recent updates. New paint on both the inside and outside. As well as in the garage and basement. 2 new window AC/Heating units. They are currently not in the windows. They are in the closet for the buyer to put in when they are ready. A new floor heater as well. It has a bonus room that can be used as a sunroom or a bedroom. New double paned windows as well as new carpet in the bonus room. Original hardwood floors in the rest of the home except for the bathroom which has tile. The washer hookup is in the garage. This is a cozy little home just waiting for some company:)

Key facts

  • Recent updates
  • New paint
  • New floor heater

Tags

RECENT UPDATESNEW PAINTNEW WINDOW AC HEATING UNITSNEW FLOOR HEATERBONUS ROOMNEW DOUBLE PANED WINDOWS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $84 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $103k (17.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (17.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#8 in NM, #4,339 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Roswell Independent Schools (town): math 11% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #16 of 29 in NM (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Missouri Ave Elementary (math 12% / reading 57%, grade F, #46 of 68 statewide, top 67%, 301 students, 100% FRL); Mesa Middle (math 6% / reading 41%, grade F, #22 of 27 statewide, top 81%, 422 students, 100% FRL); Goddard High (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #59 of 110 statewide, top 53%, 1,155 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 181 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 88 units permitted in Chaves County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $103,330 (17.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
7.10%
Cash-on-cash
2.88%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.8%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-14,960
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
-2.7%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-6,410
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 88203

Home prices YoY
-34.1%
Active inventory
181
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,033 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$25 /mo · $305/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$217
Net cashflow
$84

Break-even live

Break-even rent $927
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $155 -5% $119 +0% $84 +5% $49 +10% $13
Rent -10% $2 -5% $43 +0% $84 +5% $125 +10% $166
Rate -1.0pp $147 -0.5pp $116 base $84 +0.5pp $52 +1.0pp $19

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1013 W 13th St Apt A Roswell, NM 1.0 1.0 650 $800 $1.23 45d 1 1.13mi
602 S Woody Dr Unit A Roswell, NM 1.0 1.0 550 $1,150 $2.09 45d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-25
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-25
    status Active
  3. 2026-02-04
    status Pending
  4. 2025-12-18
    price $124,900
  5. 2025-12-05
    listed $128,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$305 · $25/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$999 · $83/mo
Expected delta
+$695/yr (+$58/mo · 228.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,400
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$305
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$992
− Management
−$992
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable loss
−$1,143
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$274
After-tax cash flow
$1,281/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Roswell Independent Schools
NCES district ID
3502250
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▲ 23.00%
Median HH income
$38,848
Composite
26.21/100
National rank
#7262
State rank
#16 of 29 in NM

Livability — Roswell

Score
75/100
State rank
#8
US rank
#4339

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Roswell, NM
County
Chaves County · 56,277 people
City population
56,277
Metro
Roswell, NM
Population (ZIP)
28,753
Household income
$42,207
Rent vs Own
34.7% rent · 65.3% own
Severe rent burden
995.0

Population outlook (Chaves County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
66,122 people
By 2030
66,351 · +0.3%
By 2040
66,818 · +1.1%
By 2050
66,928 · +1.2%
By 2075
65,474 · -1.0%
By 2100
58,943 · -10.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (65%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 65% White 31% Two or more races 22% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 58%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
62% English-only · Spanish 38%

Political lean MEDSL · Chaves

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.8) · D 26.8% · R 71.6% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.7pp · 2024: -44.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.8 2020: R+41.3 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+32.4 2008: R+24.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -78.30%
Current HPI
151.1401
Rent YoY
Metro
Roswell, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-2.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-25 Pending NMMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Relisted NMMLS
  • 2026-02-04 Pending NMMLS
  • 2025-12-18 Price Changed $124,900 NMMLS
  • 2025-12-05 Listed $128,000 NMMLS

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $305 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…