425 E Bradford St · Marion, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.3/30.0
- ARV discount +12.4/15.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$62,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers strong potential for rental income or resale. The solid layout provides a great foundation with room to add value through updates. Featuring a detached garage and a fenced-in backyard, this property is ideal for investors or buyers looking to build equity.
Key facts
- Fenced-in backyard
- Detached garage
- 6,534 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $62k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $179 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($809 rent vs $62k).
- Recommended offer: $55k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#337 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Marion Community Schools (town): math 18% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #277 of 301 in IN (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 52 units permitted in Grant County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $429 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grant County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 179 days — a 12% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $52k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 179 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.38%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $69,581
- List price
- $62,000
- Delta
- -10.90%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 416 E Bradford St | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (-6%) | 1mo | $76,200 | $93 | 88 |
| 612 E Bradford St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 825 (-4%) | 10mo | $49,900 | $60 | 75 |
| 214 W Wharton Dr | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (0%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $150 | 66 |
| 807 E Marshall St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (0%) | 14mo | $120,000 | $139 | 64 |
| 609 E Wiley St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (0%) | 8mo | $94,000 | $109 | 61 |
| 832 E Sherman St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 848 (-2%) | 10mo | $80,000 | $94 | 60 |
| 707 Crestview Dr | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+11%) | 6mo | $108,500 | $113 | 59 |
| 717 E Walnut St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 912 (+6%) | 6mo | $32,500 | $36 | 59 |
| 1008 N Quarry Rd | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-11%) | 1mo | $116,500 | $152 | 50 |
| 1104 E Marshall St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 925 (+7%) | 8mo | $87,500 | $95 | 47 |
| 610 W Buckingham Dr | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+11%) | 9mo | $125,000 | $130 | 44 |
| 1212 N Quarry Rd | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 972 (+12%) | 13mo | $134,000 | $138 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $1,394
- Equity at exit
- $9,244
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $16,033
- Equity at exit
- $5,361
Cash invested: $17,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46952
- Home prices YoY
- -29.9%
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $809 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$325
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,306/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$170
- Net cashflow
- $179
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $214 | -5% $197 | +0% $179 | +5% $162 | +10% $144 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $115 | -5% $147 | +0% $179 | +5% $211 | +10% $243 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $210 | -0.5pp $195 | base $179 | +0.5pp $163 | +1.0pp $147 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,500
- Closing costs
- $1,860
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 805 N Washington St Unit 10 Marion, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $575 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 715 E Sherman St Marion, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1085 | $1,050 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-14days on market $62,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $62,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $62,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $62,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $62,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $62,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $62,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $62,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $62,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $62,000 291-char remark
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers strong potential for rental income or resale. The solid layout provides a great foundation with room to add value through updates. Featuring a detached garage and a fenced-in backyard, this property is ideal for investors or buyers looking to build equity.
-
2026-04-13price $67,000 291-char remark
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers strong potential for rental income or resale. The solid layout provides a great foundation with room to add value through updates. Featuring a detached garage and a fenced-in backyard, this property is ideal for investors or buyers looking to build equity.
-
2025-12-16$68,000 Active 291-char remark
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers strong potential for rental income or resale. The solid layout provides a great foundation with room to add value through updates. Featuring a detached garage and a fenced-in backyard, this property is ideal for investors or buyers looking to build equity.
-
2021-12-20soldstatus $52,000 416-char remark
Show marketing remark (416 chars)
The charm of yesteryear with arched doorways. Enter the enclosed front porch, (measuring 13-7 X 9'-3") and walk into the living room or the dining room. Bedroom 2 has walk-in closet. Spacious kitchen with lots of cabinet space. Range and refrigerator remain/not warranted. Appears to be dry, partial basement with dehumidifier. 80% Trane gas forced air furnace in basement. The detached garage measures 18 X 21.
-
2021-11-13$59,900 416-char remark
Show marketing remark (416 chars)
The charm of yesteryear with arched doorways. Enter the enclosed front porch, (measuring 13-7 X 9'-3") and walk into the living room or the dining room. Bedroom 2 has walk-in closet. Spacious kitchen with lots of cabinet space. Range and refrigerator remain/not warranted. Appears to be dry, partial basement with dehumidifier. 80% Trane gas forced air furnace in basement. The detached garage measures 18 X 21.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,306 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,306 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,705
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,473
- − Property taxes
- −$1,306
- − Insurance
- −$310
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$776
- − Management
- −$776
- − Depreciation
- −$1,804
- Taxable income
- $1,260
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$302
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,847/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1806390
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,415
- Composite
- 17.13/100
- National rank
- #9115
- State rank
- #277 of 301 in IN
Livability — Marion
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #337
- US rank
- #13006
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marion, IN
- County
- Grant County · 41,561 people
- City population
- 41,561
- Metro
- Marion, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,189
- Household income
- $52,880
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 662.0
Population outlook (Grant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 64,394 people
- By 2030
- 62,145 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 57,252 · -11.1%
- By 2050
- 52,968 · -17.7%
- By 2075
- 45,986 · -28.6%
- By 2100
- 39,400 · -38.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Grant
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.8) · D 28.2% · R 70.0% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.1pp · 2024: -41.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.8 2020: R+38.8 2016: R+39.5 2012: R+22.0 2008: R+13.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.69%
- Current HPI
- 180.1174
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Marion, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+3.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $62,000 IRMLS
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $67,000 IRMLS
- 2025-12-16 Listed $68,000 IRMLS
- 2021-12-20 Sold (MLS) $52,000 IRMLS
- 2021-11-13 Listed $59,900 IRMLS
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,306 · +7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…