125 W Mission St · Strawberry Point, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large 5 bedroom 1.5 bath 2 story property being offered in an upcoming online event. Full length covered front porch entry. There is a back yard concrete patio and detached 20 x 24 garage. Unfinished 978 SF stone basement. Radiant heating system. Property failed pressure test. Information believed accurate but not guaranteed. Auction begins on 05/23/26 and ends on 05/26/26 at 15:00 CST
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Detached garage
- 8,000 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $66k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $545 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $66k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#300 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Starmont Community School District (rural): math 62% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #202 of 289 in IA (top 70%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 48 units permitted in Clayton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $456 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clayton County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.97% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.47%
- DSCR
- 2.58
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $182,013
- List price
- $65,900
- Delta
- -63.79%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105 Locust St | 0.17mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,576 (+2%) | 21mo | $289,000 | $112 | 60 |
| 312 Westwood Dr. Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,321 (-8%) | 14mo | $229,500 | $99 | 50 |
| 206 Westwood Ave | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,211 (-12%) | 11mo | $202,000 | $91 | 48 |
| 210 Feulner St | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,740 (+8%) | 22mo | $170,000 | $62 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.31×
- Total profit
- $24,099
- Equity at exit
- $9,826
- IRR
- 38.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.57×
- Total profit
- $65,868
- Equity at exit
- $5,698
Cash invested: $18,452 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52076
- Home prices YoY
- -6.1%
- Active inventory
- 15
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,302 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$346
- Tax from tax record
- −$110 /mo · $1,316/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $545
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,475
- Closing costs
- $1,977
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $65,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-09pricedays on market $65,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $76,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $76,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $76,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $76,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $76,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $76,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $76,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $76,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-04-28price $86,000 388-char remark
Show marketing remark (388 chars)
Large 5 bedroom 1.5 bath 2 story property being offered in an upcoming online event. Full length covered front porch entry. There is a back yard concrete patio and detached 20 x 24 garage. Unfinished 978 SF stone basement. Radiant heating system. Property failed pressure test. Information believed accurate but not guaranteed. Auction begins on 05/23/26 and ends on 05/26/26 at 15:00 CST
-
2026-04-01$96,000 Active 388-char remark
Show marketing remark (388 chars)
Large 5 bedroom 1.5 bath 2 story property being offered in an upcoming online event. Full length covered front porch entry. There is a back yard concrete patio and detached 20 x 24 garage. Unfinished 978 SF stone basement. Radiant heating system. Property failed pressure test. Information believed accurate but not guaranteed. Auction begins on 05/23/26 and ends on 05/26/26 at 15:00 CST
-
2024-10-20price $79,900
-
2024-10-11price $99,900
-
2015-02-12soldstatus $63,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,316 · $110/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,316 · $110/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,618
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,691
- − Property taxes
- −$1,316
- − Insurance
- −$330
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,249
- − Management
- −$1,249
- − Depreciation
- −$1,917
- Taxable income
- $5,865
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,408
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,138/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Starmont Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1927270
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 68% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,213
- Composite
- 54.75/100
- National rank
- #1319
- State rank
- #202 of 289 in IA
Livability — Strawberry Point
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #300
- US rank
- #5806
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Strawberry Point, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,231
Population outlook (Clayton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,656 people
- By 2030
- 15,986 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 14,554 · -12.6%
- By 2050
- 13,187 · -20.8%
- By 2075
- 11,131 · -33.2%
- By 2100
- 9,733 · -41.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clayton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.5) · D 32.2% · R 66.7% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -51.7pp toward R · 2008: 17.2pp · 2024: -34.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.5 2020: R+28.8 2016: R+22.8 2012: D+6.9 2008: D+17.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -16.49%
- Current HPI
- 254.78
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+36.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $86,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-04-01 Listed $96,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-10-20 Price Changed $79,900 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-10-11 Price Changed $99,900 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2015-02-12 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,316 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…