928 Courthouse Rd #25 · Gulfport, MS
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- ARV discount +12.4/15.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bath condo located in the highly sought-after Racquet Club Townhouses. This desirable, low-maintenance complex offers easy living in a prime location close to shopping, dining, and entertainment. The well-designed kitchen features abundant cabinetry and storage, while the living area includes a convenient wet bar—perfect for entertaining. Enjoy relaxing on the covered back patio, plus the added benefit of a rear-entry garage for privacy and curb appeal. Well maintained grounds surround the complex. Bring your imagination and needed repairs to make this your home. * * This property is eligible under the First Look Initiative. All Owner Occupant offers will be re
Key facts
- Convenient wet bar
- Covered back patio
- Rear entry garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property condition: Fixer
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $430; HOA covers insurance, grounds maintenance, management, and pest control
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Garage faces rear; Paved parking; 1 garage space (2 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Fiber to the house
- Home design: Condominium; Multi-family structure; Two levels; Pets allowed
- Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar and slab foundation
- Exterior features: Private courtyard; Rain gutters
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator; Granite counters
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Heat pump; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Bookcases; Ceiling fans; Granite counters; Wet bar; French doors; Living room fireplace (see remarks)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in hall (laundry closet on main level); Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $61 ($736/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Gulfport School District (urban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #37 of 130 in MS (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Bayou View Elementary School (math 78% / reading 83%, grade A+, #2 of 375 statewide, top 0%, 682 students, 100% FRL); Bayou View Middle School (math 54% / reading 49%, grade C, #27 of 179 statewide, top 16%, 826 students, 100% FRL); Gulfport High School (math 42% / reading 36%, grade F, #54 of 197 statewide, top 28%, 1,728 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 67% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 57% at this address vs 42% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Gulfport School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 301 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 26% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.38%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $140,132
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -10.80%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-13,937
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $3,009
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39507
- Home prices YoY
- -27.1%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 301
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,671 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $652/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$430
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$351
- Net cashflow
- $61
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $132 | -5% $97 | +0% $61 | +5% $26 | +10% $-9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-71 | -5% $-5 | +0% $61 | +5% $127 | +10% $193 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $124 | -0.5pp $93 | base $61 | +0.5pp $29 | +1.0pp $-4 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 980 Courthouse Rd Unit 1605 Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1227 | $1,355 | $1.10 | 22d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 200 Commerce St Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1100 Snapper CT Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1553 | $1,775 | $1.14 | 22d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1400 Mill Rd Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1290 | $2,550 | $1.98 | 45d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3503 Hancock Ave Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 954 Old Towne St Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1533 | $1,900 | $1.24 | 15d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 477 Tegarden Rd Unit D Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1114 Washington Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1618 Courthouse Rd Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1168 | $1,400 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4801 Jefferson Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $1,800 | $1.68 | 22d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3209 F Ave Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 696 Hunters Glen Ln Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 22d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 124 30th 1/2 St Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1007 | $1,100 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1525 E Pass Rd Gulfport, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1070 | $1,519 | $1.42 | 22d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 986 Waterford Ln Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 229 Milray Ln Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.5 | 889 | $1,795 | $2.02 | 22d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1229 Century Oaks Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1200 | $2,600 | $2.17 | 22d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1270 Century Oaks Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1158 | $1,950 | $1.68 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1131 Century Oaks Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1156 | $1,800 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1276 Century Oaks Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1283 | $2,100 | $1.64 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1101 Century Oaks Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1330 | $1,700 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 153 Markham Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $3,000 | $1.82 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1100 Century Oaks Dr Unit A Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1156 | $2,200 | $1.90 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1215 Ocean View Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1710 | $2,895 | $1.69 | 22d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 125 Brentwood Blvd Gulfport, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $2,000 | $1.38 | 22d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1339 Foxwood Pl Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,375 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $430 · $5,160/yr
- Likely covers
- landscaping
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $125,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $125,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $125,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $125,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $125,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-04-30$125,000 Active 857-char remark
-
2026-04-15historical
-
2026-01-30price $115,000
-
2026-01-08status Active
-
2026-01-07historical
-
2025-08-26status Active
-
2025-08-25historical
-
2025-05-27$130,000 Active
-
2016-11-18soldstatus
-
2008-07-23soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $652 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $988 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$335/yr (+$28/mo · 51.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,046
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$652
- − Insurance
- −$1,422
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,604
- − Management
- −$1,604
- − HOA
- −$5,160
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$1,034
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$248
- After-tax cash flow
- $984/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gulfport School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801710
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,712
- Composite
- 34.38/100
- National rank
- #5213
- State rank
- #37 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gulfport
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #5010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gulfport, MS
- County
- Harrison County · 178,171 people
- City population
- 96,188
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,564
- Household income
- $54,657
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1059.0
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.48%
- Current HPI
- 181.6606
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.26%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-3.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Listed $125,000 MLSU
- 2026-04-15 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $115,000 MLSU
- 2026-01-08 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-01-07 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-08-26 Relisted — MLSU
- 2025-08-25 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-05-27 Listed $130,000 MLSU
- 2016-11-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2008-07-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $652 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…