306 S Nashville Ave · Sylacauga, AL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 45.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3 bedroom, 3 bathroom home with 2,022 square feet is a true handyman special ready for your vision! Packed with space and potential, this property is the perfect opportunity for buyers looking to build sweat equity and make a home their own. With a flexible layout and plenty of room to reimagine, the possibilities here are endless. Whether you’re an investor or a buyer not afraid to roll up your sleeves, this one is full of promise. Don’t miss your chance to turn this diamond in the rough into something special!
Key facts
- 0.49 acre lot
- Built 1955
- Listed 61 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $703 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $38k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 29.4% vs local median 4.3% in Sylacauga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#157 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A-; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Sylacauga City (town): math 20% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #63 of 129 in AL (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 189 units permitted in Talladega County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Talladega County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 45% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 29.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 82.68%
- DSCR
- 4.68
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $166,687
- List price
- $39,900
- Delta
- -76.06%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 306 Main Ave | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,968 (-3%) | 14mo | $27,500 | $14 | 77 |
| 401 Park St E | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,100 (+4%) | 10mo | $168,000 | $80 | 76 |
| 12 Montgomery Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,969 (-3%) | 8mo | $194,500 | $99 | 64 |
| 201 Bay St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 2,096 (+4%) | 11mo | $27,000 | $13 | 60 |
| 309 & 311 S Main Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,775 (-12%) | 8mo | $40,000 | $23 | 60 |
| 403 S Norton Ave | 0.43mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,091 (+3%) | 7mo | $193,000 | $92 | 59 |
| 205 S Norton Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,831 (-9%) | 11mo | $194,000 | $106 | 55 |
| 306 3rd St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 2,247 (+11%) | 15mo | $68,250 | $30 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 75.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.44×
- Total profit
- $38,403
- Equity at exit
- $5,949
- IRR
- 79.2%
- Equity multiple
- 9.18×
- Total profit
- $91,421
- Equity at exit
- $3,450
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35150
- Home prices YoY
- -7.9%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,350 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $850/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $703
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $726 | -5% $715 | +0% $703 | +5% $692 | +10% $681 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $597 | -5% $650 | +0% $703 | +5% $757 | +10% $810 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $723 | -0.5pp $713 | base $703 | +0.5pp $693 | +1.0pp $682 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 307 N Cannon Ave Sylacauga, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1540 | $1,350 | $0.88 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-16status $39,900 Pending 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $39,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $39,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $39,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $39,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $39,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $39,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $39,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $39,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-03price $39,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $49,900 534-char remark
Show marketing remark (534 chars)
This 3 bedroom, 3 bathroom home with 2,022 square feet is a true handyman special ready for your vision! Packed with space and potential, this property is the perfect opportunity for buyers looking to build sweat equity and make a home their own. With a flexible layout and plenty of room to reimagine, the possibilities here are endless. Whether you’re an investor or a buyer not afraid to roll up your sleeves, this one is full of promise. Don’t miss your chance to turn this diamond in the rough into something special!
-
2026-04-29price $59,900 534-char remark
Show marketing remark (534 chars)
This 3 bedroom, 3 bathroom home with 2,022 square feet is a true handyman special ready for your vision! Packed with space and potential, this property is the perfect opportunity for buyers looking to build sweat equity and make a home their own. With a flexible layout and plenty of room to reimagine, the possibilities here are endless. Whether you’re an investor or a buyer not afraid to roll up your sleeves, this one is full of promise. Don’t miss your chance to turn this diamond in the rough into something special!
-
2026-04-15$69,900 Active 534-char remark
Show marketing remark (534 chars)
This 3 bedroom, 3 bathroom home with 2,022 square feet is a true handyman special ready for your vision! Packed with space and potential, this property is the perfect opportunity for buyers looking to build sweat equity and make a home their own. With a flexible layout and plenty of room to reimagine, the possibilities here are endless. Whether you’re an investor or a buyer not afraid to roll up your sleeves, this one is full of promise. Don’t miss your chance to turn this diamond in the rough into something special!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $850 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $850 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 45% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$850
- − Insurance
- −$997
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,296
- − Management
- −$1,296
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $8,365
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,008
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,432/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sylacauga City
- NCES district ID
- 0103120
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,900
- Composite
- 26.64/100
- National rank
- #7170
- State rank
- #63 of 129 in AL
Livability — Sylacauga
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #157
- US rank
- #14297
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sylacauga, AL
- City population
- 17,118
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,118
Population outlook (Talladega County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 78,905 people
- By 2030
- 77,160 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 72,937 · -7.6%
- By 2050
- 68,279 · -13.5%
- By 2075
- 57,884 · -26.6%
- By 2100
- 47,220 · -40.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 32% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Hispanic 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Talladega
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.8) · D 32.9% · R 66.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.5pp · 2024: -33.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.8 2020: R+25.5 2016: R+25.6 2012: R+16.0 2008: R+18.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -20.65%
- Current HPI
- 240.527
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
-28.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $49,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $59,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-15 Listed $69,900 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $850 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…