1885 Lexington Ave Unit 5A · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.6/30.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- Appreciation +6.6/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$375,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
$7,500 BUYER CREDIT | 2 BED + IN-UNIT W/ D | EAST HARLEM Own a thoughtfully designed 2-bedroom home in East Harlem with a rare financial advantage. For a limited time, the seller is offering a $7,500 credit (6 months of maintenance) for offers submitted and accepted by June 30th. Set within the well-established Lancaster Lexington Cooperative, this light-filled residence offers a calm retreat moments from the energy of the surrounding neighborhood. A gracious entry foyer with generous storage leads into an expansive living and dining area, where hardwood floors and oversized windows create an inviting and well-balanced atmosphere. The galley kitchen is efficiently designed with ample cabin
Key facts
- Full size appliances
- Ample cabinetry
- Gracious entry foyer
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed in the building
- Financial info: 29 units in the building (multi-unit property)
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $1,250.88
Exterior
- Home design: 7-story building named Lancaster Lexington
- Construction: Building has elevators
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 134.25 x 67.79; Lot area approximately 6,564
Interior
- Bedrooms: Information not provided
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Total of 5 rooms
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $375k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $571 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $375k).
- Recommended offer: $341k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 71 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,585/mo this rent would consume 149% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 3992% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $15k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
- New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $105k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($341k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.52%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.23% appreciation · 5.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $102,107
- Equity at exit
- $173,524
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.17×
- Total profit
- $332,892
- Equity at exit
- $271,300
Cash invested: $105,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10035
- Home prices YoY
- 1.0%
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,585 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,967
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$469 /mo · $5,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$156
- HOA
- −$1,250
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,173
- Net cashflow
- $571
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $93,750
- Closing costs
- $11,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77 E 110th St Unit 1322508P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 990 | $6,360 | $6.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 319 E 109th St Unit 1021947P New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 818 | $7,260 | $8.88 | 5d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1635 Lexington Ave Unit 6D New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1112 | $6,000 | $5.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 5 Lincoln Ave Bronx, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1011 | $5,134 | $5.08 | 1d | 183 | 0.74mi |
| 2413 3rd Ave Bronx, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 857 | $3,948 | $4.60 | 11d | 23 | 0.78mi |
| 122 E 102nd St Unit 1021896P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $5,429 | $7.32 | 16d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 230 W 126th St Unit 20C New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $4,555 | $5.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 312 W 121st St Unit 5-A New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $4,655 | $5.82 | 11d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 508 Manhattan Ave Unit 2C New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $4,699 | $5.87 | 11d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 312 W 121st St Unit 4C New York, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $4,854 | $5.39 | 7d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 506 Manhattan Ave Unit 1A New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $4,699 | $5.87 | 11d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 132 W 134th St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $4,500 | $6.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1501 Lexington Ave #932 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 583 | $5,580 | $9.56 | 3d | 2 | 1.06mi |
| 30 Morningside Dr #2096 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 780 | $9,000 | $11.53 | 3d | 2 | 1.06mi |
| 1 Morningside Dr New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1655 | $8,145 | $4.92 | 1d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 175 E 96th St Unit 1251683P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $6,380 | $10.63 | 2d | 2 | 1.10mi |
| 215 E 96th St Unit 688 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 717 | $7,960 | $11.10 | 2d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 420 Central Park W Unit 6K New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $8,000 | $7.55 | 22d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 215 E 95th St #1293 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 740 | $6,100 | $8.24 | 1d | 2 | 1.15mi |
| 53-55 E 95th St Unit 4A New York, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 803 | $7,495 | $9.33 | 7d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 300 W 135th St Unit 9G New York, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1032 | $5,500 | $5.33 | 4d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 345 E 94th St #1470 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 710 | $7,570 | $10.65 | 3d | 3 | 1.25mi |
| 543 W 122nd St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1057 | $10,995 | $10.40 | 2d | 7 | 1.27mi |
| 118 E 91st St Unit 1022052P New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 592 | $6,180 | $10.44 | 7d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1377 Lexington Ave Unit 5CC New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 796 | $5,100 | $6.41 | 19d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 50 W 97th St #1739 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $6,560 | $8.20 | 6d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 808 Columbus Ave New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 773 | $9,876 | $12.78 | 1d | 31 | 1.41mi |
| 354 E 91st St #648 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 692 | $6,840 | $9.88 | 1d | 2 | 1.42mi |
| 202 W 102nd St Unit 1053014P New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 538 | $10,000 | $18.59 | 22d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 788 Columbus Ave #1323 New York, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 900 | $6,320 | $7.02 | 24d | 2 | 1.44mi |
| 235 E 89th St Unit 1495783P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 699 | $7,443 | $10.65 | 20d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 308 W 107th St Unit 1239985P New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 559 | $8,500 | $15.21 | 22d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 200 E 89th St Unit 12G New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $5,000 | $7.69 | 17d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 814 Amsterdam Ave #1019 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $5,270 | $6.59 | 24d | 2 | 1.48mi |
| 915 W End Ave #1020 New York, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 851 | $7,375 | $8.67 | 1d | 2 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $1,250 · $15,000/yr
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-13days on market $375,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $375,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $375,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $375,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $375,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $375,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $375,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-02-15$375,000 Active
-
2025-07-09price $399,999
-
2025-06-09price $499,999
-
2025-04-14price $515,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $67,024
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,006
- − Property taxes
- −$5,625
- − Insurance
- −$1,875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,362
- − Management
- −$5,362
- − HOA
- −$15,000
- − Depreciation
- −$10,909
- Taxable income
- $1,885
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$452
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,398/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- New York County · 1,599,927 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,862
- Household income
- $45,121
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3992.0
Population outlook (New York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,825,725 people
- By 2030
- 1,904,611 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 2,052,719 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 2,206,601 · +20.9%
- By 2075
- 2,509,427 · +37.4%
- By 2100
- 2,702,933 · +48.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 42% Black 35% White 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 6% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 16% Dominican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 54% English-only · Spanish 34% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · New York
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 82.4% · R 17.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 72.2pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+74.5 2016: D+77.2 2012: D+69.6 2008: D+72.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.23%
- Current HPI
- 317.1637
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.62%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
-27.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-15 Listed $375,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2025-07-09 Price Changed $399,999 RLS at REBNY
- 2025-06-09 Price Changed $499,999 RLS at REBNY
- 2025-04-14 Price Changed $515,000 RLS at REBNY
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…